[FANTASY BOX OFFICE - 2017 Discussion Thread | Grey Ghost Wins!]

Big thanks to @JJ-8 for running this game. It is much appreciated.

 

And also congrats to @grey ghost for winning it this year. 

[April 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread | And so everything is now available (unless its gone of course ;P )]

A Quiet Place - 100%

[Winter Game Week 19 - It's all so close]

Part A:

 

1. Will Death Wish Open to more than $15M? YES

2. Will Death Wish Open to more than $18M? NO

3. Will Red Sparrow make more than $15M? YES

4. Will Red Sparrow make more than $18M? NO

5. Will Red Sparrow open at number 2? YES

 

6. Will Black Panther make more than $65M? NO

7. Will Game Night make more than $10M? YES

8. Will Peter Rabbit stay above Annihilation? YES

9. Will Fifty Shades drop more than 62%? NO

10. Will 15:17 stay above Every Day? NO

 

11. Will Jumanji fall more than 30%? YES

12. Will Game Night have a PTA above $2,350? YES

13. Will Three BIllboards finish above the Post AND Shape of Water? YES 

14. Will Suicide Squad repeat at the Oscars because it is just that great? NO

15. Will we ever survive until summer? YES

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Red Sparrow make for its 3 day? $17.424M

2. What will Fifty Shades' change be? -52.0%

3. What will Annihilation's PTA be for the Weekend? $3 195

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Red Sparrow

5. Peter Rabbit

7. Jumanji

9. Greatest Showman

11. 15:17 to Paris

12. Three Billboards

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 20: FRIDAY

[March 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread | last few days for gods not dead....]

Red Sparrow - 15%

[Winter Game Week 18 - The Week Tele has been waiting for...]

Part A:

 

1. Will Annihilation Open to more than $12M? YES

2. Will Annihilation Open to more than $15M? NO

3. Will Game Night make more than $12M? YES

4. Will Game Night make more than $15M? YES

5. Will Game Night open at number 2? YES

 

6. Will Black Panther make more than $85M? YES 

7. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $10M? YES

8. Will The Cured have a PTA above $9,000? YES

9. Will Every Day make more than $4M? NO

10. Will 15:17 stay above Greatest Showman? YES

 

11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? NO

12. Will Jumanji have a PTA above $2,000? YES

13. Will Maze Runner stay above The Post? NO

14. Will Winchester drop more than 65%? YES

15. Will Moral Kombat lose its crown as better Annihilation film this weekend? YES

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Game Night make for its 3 day? $20.096M

2. What will Black Panther's change be? -50.2%

3. What will Greatest Showman's PTA be for the Weekend? $2 235

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Game Night

4. Annihilation

6. Jumanji

7. 15:17 to Paris

10. Early Man

12. The Shape of Water

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 19: NO

[February 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread]

Game Night - 15% (should be 50% of budget now?) 

[March 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread | last few days for gods not dead....]

Love, Simon - 40%

[Winter Game SOTM 13 - Give it up for the little guy... Deadline Thursday 15th 11:59pm]

Game Night – $32M

Annihilation - $25M

Red Sparrow - $24M

Early Man - $17M

Death Wish - $9M

Samson - $9M

Every Day - $8M

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 18: DOCTOR STRANGE

[WInter Game Week 17 - The last big weekend arrives]

Part A:

 

1. Will Black Panther Open to more than $125M? YES

2. Will Black Panther Open to more than $175M? YES

3. Will Black Panther make more than $150M? YES

4. Will Black Panther's biggest single day make more than the 2nd-5th placed films' combined 3 day totals? YES

5. Will Black Panther make more than 38% of its gross on Friday? YES

 

6. Will Early Man make more than $4M? YES

7. Will Early Man make more than $6M? YES

8. Will Samson make more than $4M? NO

9. Will Samson make more than $6M? NO

10. Will Samson make more than Early Man on Sunday? NO

 

11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? NO

12. Will Jumanji have a smaller percentage drop than Greatest Showman? NO

13. Will Winchester stay above The Post? YES

14. WIll Hostiles stay above 12 strong? NO

15. Will Matt Damon show up to protect Wakanda from dragons? NO

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Black Panther make for its 3 day? $205.922M

2. What will Peter Rabbit's change be? -30.6%

3. What will Shape of Water's PTA be for the Weekend? $2 001

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

4. Jumanji

5. Early Man

7. Greatest Showman

9. Maze Runner 3

11. La Boda de Valentina

12.  Shape of Water

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[WInter Game Week 16 - Peter Rabbit Freed]

Part A:

 

1. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $35M? YES

2. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $50M? NO

3. Will 50 Shades make more than $42.5M? NO

4. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $14M? YES

5. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $19M? YES

 

6. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $12M? NO 

7. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $16M? NO

8. Will Fifty Shades make more than the other two main releases combined? YES

9. Will Maze Runner stay within $1M of Jumanji? NO

10. Will Winchester stay above Greatest Showman? NO

 

11. Will Hostiles stay in the top 8? NO

12. Will the Female Brain have a PTA above $12,000? YES

13. Will 12 Strong have a PTA above $1,400? NO

14. WIll Shape of Water cross $50M? YES

15. Will watching Peter Rabbit turn out to be more masochistic than anything shown in 50 Shades? PROBABLY

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will 50 Shades make for its 3 day? $37.250M

2. What will Maze Runner's change be? -42.1%

3. What will The Winchester's PTA be for the Weekend? $1 934

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. 15:17 to Paris

5. Greatest Showman

6. Maze Runner 3

8. Shape of Water

10. Hostiles

12. 12 Strong

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 17: YES

[February 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread]

Fifty Shades - 100%

Peter Rabbit - 75% (or as much as I can if my calculations are wrong) 

I believe both should be 50% off since there is a week till the release. 

Also I should have the money if the new rule that in February we get one million per every 50 million gained in 2017 is valid.  

[Winter Game Week 15 - Time to start thinking about the Win... Chester]

Part A:

 

1. Will Winchester Open to more than $9M? NO

2. Will Winchester Open to more than $12M? NO

3. Will Maze Runner make more than $11M? NO

4. Will Maze Runner make more than $14M? NO

5. Will Maze Runner stay in 1st place? NO

 

6. Will Jumanji drop more than 22%?  YES

7. Will Hostiles stay above the Post? YES

8. Will  Greatest Showman finally drop below its OW total? YES

9. Will 12 Strong stay above Den of Thieves? NO

10. Will Paadmavaat stay in the top 10? NO

 

11. Will Star Wars' PTA stay above $2000? NO

12. Will Paddington increase more that 215% on Friday? YES

13. Will Shape of Water increase more than 150% on Saturday? NO

14. Will the top 2 films make more than $25M? NO

15. In a shock twist, will Winchester turn out to be a Cloverfield spinoff? NO 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Winchester make for its 3 day? $8.514M

2. What will Jumanji's change be? -33.7%

3. What will Paddinton's PTA be for the Weekend? $1 453

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

1. Jumanji

3. Winchester

4. Greatest Showman

6. The Post 

9. 12 Strong

11. I, Tonya

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 16: NO

[Winter Game SOTM 12: It's time for Oscar to shine - Deadline Thursday 1st: 11:59pm]

1. Shape of Water

2. Three Billboards

3. Coco

4. Darkest Hour

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 15: YES

[Winter Game Week 14 - A Cure for Deathness]

Part A:

 

1. Will Maze Runner Open to more than $20M? YES

2. Will Maze Runner Open to more than $25M? NO

3. Will Hostiles make more than $4M? YES

4. Will Hostiles make more than $6.5M? YES

5. Will Maze Runner at least double the weekend gross of 2nd place? NO

 

6. Will Jumanji make more than $12M? YES

7. Will 12 Strong Stay ahead of Den of Thieves? YES

8. Will  Greatest Showman drop a dizzying 22.5% or more this weekend? NO

9. Will Paddington have one of the two best percentage drops in the top 12 (excluding increases)? NO

10. Will The Commuter have a PTA above $1,800? NO

 

11. Will Forever My Girl stay above Phantom Thread? NO 

12. Will Star Wars increase 100% on any day of the weekend? NO

13. Will The Post increase more than 65% on Saturday? NO

14. Will The Post stay in the top 6? YES

15. Will the Cure for Death turn out to be Hugh Jackman because Greatest Showman is Life? YES  

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Maze Runner make for its 3 day? $22.256M

2. What will Greatest Showman's Percentage change be? -17.8%

3. What will Insidious' PTA be for the Weekend? $1,287

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Jumanji

4. The Post

6. 12 Strong

7. Den of Thieves

9. Paddington 2

12. Star Wars

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Winter Game SOTM 11: Another day at the Races: Deadline Thursday 25th 11:59pm]

1. Jumanji  (5.2)  vs  Guardians of the Galaxy 2  (1.4) 10,000

2. Greatest Showman  (2.4)  vs War For The Planet of the Apes  (1.7) 10,000

3. Black Panther  (1.3)  vs Justice League  (4.1) 10,000

4. Maze Runner  (1.4)  vs  Insidious Last Key  (3.1) 10,000

5. 12 Strong  (2.2)  vs  Den of Thieves  (1.8) 10,000

6. Peter Rabbit  (1.9)  vs Paddington 2  (4.8) 10,000

[February 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread]

Another 5% in Black Panther

[Winter Game Week 13 - Den of 12 Girls]

Part A:

 

1. Will 12 Strong Open to more than $12M? YES

2. Will 12 Strong Open to more than $15M? NO

3. Will Den of Thieves Open to more than $5M? YES

4. Will Den of Thieves Open to more than $7M? NO

5. Will Phantom Thread Expand to more than $3.25M? YES

 

6. Will Jumanji stay at number 1? YES

7. Will The Post stay at number 2? YES

8. Will The Commuter stay above Greatest Showman? NO

9. Will Insidioua drop more than 57%? YES

10. Will Star Wars have a PTA above $2,750? NO

 

11. Will Jumanji's Total overtake Thor Ragnarok's by the end of Saturday? YES

12. Will Molly's Game stay above Coco? YES

13. Will Greatest Showman have a weekend higher than its OW total? YES

14. Will Paddington increase from its 3 Day weekend position this weekend (Finish top 6)? YES

15. Will Daniel Day Lewis relent and play Daniel Day Lewis one last time in Deadpool 2? NO

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Forever My Girl make for its 3 day? $1.75M

2. What will Paddington's Percentage change be? -19.2%

3. What will Phantom Thread PTA be for the Weekend? $3 702

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

1. Jumanji

2. The Post

4. Greatest Showman

7. Star Wars

9. Den of Thieves

11. I, Tonya

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Question of the Week Winter Survival Thread - It's Here!!!]

WEEK 14: NO

[February 2018 | Investments & Monthly Thread]

Black Panther - as much as I can buy at the moment (I think it's 70 or 75%)