Fake
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Posts posted by Fake
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The record I am looking for is $1B OW worldwide.
IW opened with
DOM: 257.7M
OS: 382.8M (China and Russia opened later)
China: 200.5M
Russia: 18.2M
For Endgame, the release schedule is practically the same except that China is releasing on OW. Russia is opening the following weekend
My predictions are:
DOM: 275M
CHN: 260M
OS: 440M (15% increase)
That adds up to 975M. It needs to find another 25M to hit the $1B mark. If Russia were releasing day-and-date, the record would have been much easier.
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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Even my prediction is $52mn approx, I am talking about people in trade and to be honest I won't be surprised with $60mn.
Regarding ticket prices, rates will be considerably higher than A:IW.
Most people in trade are totally ignorant actually.
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On 4/12/2019 at 7:40 PM, Charlie Jatinder said:
You never know. IW did 44mn in India, right. There are many in trade actually pitching 60mn.
I doubt it will be that high. Tax rates have been reduced since IW, which means the ticket rates are lower/similar even after inflation.
IW did 230 crore nett / 295 crore gross.
I would wager endgames does 275-300 crore nett / 325-355 crore gross, which in USD terms is $47-51m.
$50m is a realistic target IMO. $60m translates to something like 350 crore nett.
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Based on the presales pattern throughout the week, it looks like EG will have a huge OD day, then a large drop on Thu and then significant increases on Fri/Sat.
Previews: 125M
Wed: 450M
Thu: 250M
Fri: 325M
Sat: 400M
Sun: 200M
Total: 1750M
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2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
That's special.
But then I am thinking that you must be really strong to avoid relatives and parents on second day of marriage.
Congrats BTW.
Besides, let's move it to our Indian thread. That's embrassingly small.
Everybody is going back to my hometown by train on Saturday, and we are taking a flight the next day. So we have the evening all to ourselves; and what better way to spend that evening!
BTW back on topic, a new midnights record 10 days out! Not bad!
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Going to IMAX Noida on Saturday with my wife... Cuz i m gettinh married on Friday 26th April. It's the endgame of our love story.
I saw The Avengers with a friend
I saw Age of Ultron with my girlfriend.
I saw Infinity War with my fiance.
I will see Endgame with my wife.
All r the same person.
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How many midnight showings are expected to be there in total?? FF8 and IW both had 18-19k showings, while EG already has 22k listed.
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So 200M before the weekend begins. Will need to show good holds from here in order to reach 400M. 25M DOM + 40M OS is the minimum required to stay on track.
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DOM is looking good. Should do 150-160M.
OS-C OW was nearly 72M. Should finish with 180-190M.
China is fading fast and won't even make it to 45M. Japan will do 6-7M or so. So 50M from these two markets combined.
Overall looks to finish in 400M vicinity.
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Shazam! heading for 35-36M today (over 45% drop).
At this rate, it will finish with 300M or so.
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Should hit 100M for OS OW... (incl. 32M from China).
As for total.. China will finish with 50M or so. Rest of the markets should get 170-180M (incl Japan that's yet to release). Overall, 400M WW looks a bit difficult at this point, but there is a chance and I hope it gets there.
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1 hour ago, druv10 said:
I'm not Chinese but having seen the movie, it's missing the spectacle that Aquaman or Infinity War had. I personally loved it but I can see why it's not clicking with the Chinese audience.
Yeah... I felt that way too. It was more of a family comedy than a Superhero action movie.
That said.... Eagerly awaiting a Shazam vs Black Adam movie, if there ever is one. That will do gangbusters in China too.
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1 hour ago, cdsacken said:
400 million with 210 opening? Seems very optimistic for legs given the Maoyan rating. I was thinking more like 350 max.
Oh yes. Slipped my mind that the OW is inflated due to Friday.
$50M (336M) seems like where it will finish.
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29 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:
Assuming a midpoint of 2:30 heading to about 62-65 for the day. About a 33-36% drop. We’ll have more clarification in a few hours
Seems quite right. Shazam is at 28.65M @ 2PM compared to 49M at same point on Friday, so Sat is already more than 20M behind Friday. Current pace is around 75% that of Friday, so should add another 36M from here for 65M finish.
210-215M OW... 400M finish.
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Presales finishing with 24.5M. Quite a huge jump. Maybe the day being a holiday is skewing things.
Consequently, as for multiplier, I have no idea whether it will follow the normal 4-4.5x multiplier or not. We will have a fair idea after 2PM.
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With the presales not picking up pace... and Avengers releasing on 24th... I'm afraid 250/500 has started to look like the best case scenario for Shazam! , unless it gets exceptional WOM.
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7 hours ago, Olive said:
hard to get 300M average day as Sunday will be work-day.
What about something like:
Pre: 50M
Wed: 350M
Thu: 280M
Fri: 350M
Sat: 350M
Sun: 120M
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20 minutes ago, Olive said:
Review embargo not lift until 6AM 24th BJT.
And no midnights in Australia, so we suspect it will not have midnights in China too.
Still nothing has confirmed, I've heard Disney still want to schedule midnight shows
Hmm... Quite unusal opening it will be... Second week also seems unusual...
Hoping for 1.5b+ opening.
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17 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
Yes, Wednesday 24th. Likely no midnights. 5-day opening, but that Sunday is a workday.
No midnights? Why?
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Endgame got a final release date in China?
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On 3/27/2019 at 11:46 PM, Olive said:
Shazam's OD is holiday.
Maybe that's why Shazam's Sat and Sun presales are running far behind Ragnorak at same point of time while OD presales are a bit ahead.
So Saturday should see a small drop from Friday right? And Thursday previews should also be a bit stronger than normal.
Predictions:
Thu: 8-10M
Fri: 105-110M
Sat: 100-105M
Sun: 70-75M
Could hit 300M OW.
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Just under 50% drop this weekend. But next weekend drop could be higher due to Shazam releasing.
Probably gonna finish with 680M or so.
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Quite a large drop this weekend.
After weekdays, CM will be at 940M or so.
Next weekend should do around 45-50M WW.
1.1B looks a bit difficult as of now. I'd say something around 1.08B (400M DOM + 680M OS). Fantastic run, nonetheless.
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8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Yeah sure,
China - $139.3mn (till Thursday)
Korea - I rechecked it's ok.
Difference in china gross is minor and can be attributed to different exchange rates.
Btw China is looking to have a big drop this weekend ($6-7M). $150M should happen but i doubt that it can reach $155M.
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
in China At The Box Office
Posted
Yeah.... weird.