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Water Bottle

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Blog Entries posted by Water Bottle

  1. Water Bottle

    Forum Update

    By Water Bottle,

    We have updated the site to 4.2.0! We are happy that we're finally live with this update for numerous reasons. Please note there may be some bugs so please don't hesitate to submit a support ticket or to PM Water Bottle/Telemachos.
     
    Please note of the following changes:
    [*] Autoembedding is back. No longer having to manually put stuff in if we support automatically embedding it!
    [*] Reactions instead of just likes. ALL REACTIONS ADD ONE LIKE POINT TO A USER'S LIKE COUNT. EVEN THE CONFUSED REACTION. All reactions count towards your like limit. I guess it's a reaction limit now.
    [*] Clubs are live. Anyone can create a club and they'll have SOME moderator privileges over that club area. I've created some clubs for popular franchises. If you wish to take over the club and have a clean record (no recent warnings or suspensions), let me know. Please know site rules still exist and violating these moderate privileges will lead to your club being taken away from you. Please one club per franchise unless you can justify it's own existence. Clubs don't have to be related to movies.
    [*] Franchise forums will close soon since clubs can take the place of it.
  2. Water Bottle

    UPDATE DONE

    By Water Bottle,

    The update is now done. The two major skins (movie background and the default skin) are now updated to be compatible with the latest version. The ad-free skin has yet to be updated.
     
    IMPORTANT CHANGES:
    You will be prompted when you log-in next or when you register to put in answers to security questions. These answers you will provide when you update key account info or when you try to use money to donate to the site.
    You will now get an e-mail when your e-mail or password changes. Please let the staff know using the contact us button if you did not request either change but get an e-mail.
    The default setting for all is to automatically follow threads you create or post in. You can change this setting under notification settings found in account settings.
    You will now get an embed message when you try to embed a video or picture but fail.
    If you are suspended, you will now get a page telling you why and for how long.
  3. Water Bottle

    Election Week Sale!

    By Water Bottle,

    Election Week Sale! From now until Friday, we have a discount on Gold Accounts! You can get a Gold Account for one month for $10 (rather than $15) or a Gold Account for one year for $110 (rather than $165)! Donate Today and keep us open!
     
    Finally for those in the United States, go vote!
  4. Water Bottle
    Hey guys!
     
    So we've made some changes to the franchise forums.
     
    I looked at which franchises were on the front page and which were sub-forums and have thus changed them accordingly.
     
    Star Wars got to stay on the main page because of Rogue One coming out in December.
    Star Trek got moved to the main page because of Star Trek Beyond, it's 50th anniversary, and upcoming television series.
    The DC movie forum got renamed to DC Media and was moved to the main page because of Suicide Squad.
    The Marvel Cinematic Universe forum got renamed to Marvel Media and got to stay on the main page because of Doctor Strange plus the upcoming Netflix Marvel shows and the new season of Agents of SHIELD in addition to the planned X-Men TV series.
    Harry Potter got moved to the main page because of Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.
     
    (Animation Station remains on the main forum due to the constant release of new animated films)
     
    I have also closed due to inactivity the Middle-Earth Tales sub-forum. The sub-forum might be re-opened if a new film set in the universe is made (it's the reason we're keeping the Fast and Furious forum alive even though it's dead of convos).
     
    I also went ahead and changed the descriptions of many of the franchise forums to better reflect their status.
  5. Water Bottle

    Preview Button

    By Water Bottle,

    Hi! We're still sorting out the skin theme upgrade! Turns out that the theme wasn't just upgraded to ensure compatibility with the latest version of Invision but also came with it's own changes we have to figure out.
     
    Anyways, I am happy to announce that the new forum software...has a brand new feature! Or rather the return of an old one! The preview button is back!
     

     
    The last button on that toolbar, the one that looks like a magnifying glass is over the page is the brand new preview button! This preview button will show you how your post will appear on desktops, on tablets, and on phones!
  6. Water Bottle

    UPGRADE

    By Water Bottle,

    We have upgraded to the latest version of the forum software. We are running an older version of the skin so please be patient as we manually upgrade that but until then expect some issues.
  7. Water Bottle
    We've disabled all third-party plug-ins to see if they improve site speed. This test will last 24 hours.
     
    Tapatalk access is also gone during that period.
     
    UPDATE: We've re-enabled Tapatalk for now.
  8. Water Bottle

    February 2016

    By Water Bottle,

    Water Bottle's Monthly Movie Guide
    January 2017
     
    February 5, 2016
     
    The Choice (Adaption)
    Genre: Romance
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: Teresa Palmer (Star Power: 0.87), Tom Wilkinson (0.46)
    Director: Ross Katz (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Bryan Sipe (Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: Peter Safran (Producer Power: 1.19)
     
    Logline: Travis Parker falls in love with his brand new neighbor Gabby Holland (Teresa Palmer).
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 11.44/27.51: A confusing marketing campaign (I saw a trailer and had no real idea what the movie was about) and the recent box office performance of Nicholas Sparks doesn't inspire much confidence. I believe the only people who will choose to see this movie are the Sparks die-hard fans.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 38%: Nicholas Sparks movies simply don't get good reviews. That seems to be a rule and there's nothing whatsoever to suggest that the Choice is going to break that mold to get a fresh from the site.
     
    Hail, Caesar! (Original)
    Genre: Comedy
    Movie Stars: George Clooney (1.02), Ralph Fiennes (Star Power: 1.16), Jonah Hill (Star Power: 1.44), Scarlett Johannson (Star Power: 1.24), Channing Tatum (Star Power: 1.22)
    Minor Stars: Josh Brolin (Star Power: 0.85), Frances McDormand (Star Power: 0.61), Tilda Swinton (Star Power: 0.47)
    Director: The Coen Brothers (Director Power: 0.57)
    Writers: Joel & Ethan Coen (Collective Writer Power: .50)
    Important Producers: Joel & Ethan Coen (Producer Power: 0.55), Tim Bevan (Producer Power: 0.37), Eric Fellner (Producer Power: 0.41)
     
    Logline: Eddie Mannix (Josh Brolin) is a Hollywood fixer who has to collect $100,000 to rescue movie star Baird Whitlock (George Clooney) after a kidnapping.
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 36.33/96.84: This is a very difficult movie to predict since there is a lot of star power and the Coen brothers do have a fanbase BUT it is a comedy that in it's second weekend will face not one, not two, but three different comedies. This will mean it's second weekend drop will be harsher than normal and I believe that will stop the moving from hitting the $100 million mark.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 66%: The Coen Brothers are great directors who have made some might fine films but they aren't perfect and this movie got stuck in February for a reason. I imagine this means the movie is good but it's not great.
     
    Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (Adaptation)
    Genre: Horror Comedy
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: Lena Headey (Star Power: 0.55)
    Director: Burr Steers (Director Power: 0.63)
    Writers: Burr Steers (Writer Power: 0.94)
    Important Producers: Natalie Portman (Producer Power: 0.49)
     
    Logline: Elizabeth Bannet and Mr. Darcy must fight off zombies as they discover their romantic feelings toward each other.
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 7.96/17.03: Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter opened to $16 million and made a total of $37 million in June. This suggest there's a limited audience for this kind of movie. There's plenty of other comedies coming out this month so this movie suffers a lot of competition. I don't see this doing well at all.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 49%: Reviews have started to come in and I have a feeling it's going to stay negative. If it's lucky it'll stay within the 50% range: one that suggests the movie is mediocre instead of bad. This has to be better than the Nicholas Sparks movie, right?
     
    February 12, 2016
     
    Deadpool (Franchise)
    Genre: Superhero Action Comedy
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: Ryan Reynolds (Star Power: 0.92)
    Director: Tim Miller (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Paul Wernick & Rhett Reese (Collective Writer Power: 1.50)
    Important Producers: Simon Kinberg (Producer Power: 2.53) and Lauren Schuler Donner (Producer Power: 1.47)
     
    Logline: Wade Wilson (Ryan Reynolds) is a mercenary who is left with superpowers after an experiment. He hunts down the man who nearly destroyed his life.
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 57.86/158.47: The X-Men franchise is pretty popular and while Deadpool could have benefitted from more high-profile X-men characters, there's no reason to believe this movie won't do well. A strong marketing campaign definably sets Deadpool apart even if it's R rating will limit it to adults, teenagers and apathetic parents.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 41%: Ryan Reynolds so far appears to be cursed to appear in only badly recieved superhero movies (remember Green Lantern? X-Men Origins: Wolverine?) and the humor frankly seems juvenile. That might make it true to the comic but that doesn't mean it will make it a good movie.
     
    How to be Single (Adaptation)
    Genre: Romantic Comedy
    Movie Stars: Leslie Mann (Star Power: 1.18), Rebel Wilson (1.68)
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Christian Dittier (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Dana Fox, Abby Kohn, and Marc Silverstein (Collective Writer Power: 3.31)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: Sex and the City but with Rebel Wilson and Leslie Mann?
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 52.35/176.79: While Deadpool is appealing to men, How to be Single will take the women. Rebel Wilson will add yet another hit to her resume and introduce Alison Brie to a larger movie-going audience. I feel like this is a good counter-programing move to the male-oriented comedies.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 40%: It's February, the director isn't promising, and Dana Fox has a habit of writing hits that are poorly received. This is all to suggest that How to be Single will not be a well received movie.
     
    Zoolander 2 (Franchise)
    Genre: Comedy
    Movie Stars: Ben Stiller (Star Power: 1.46), Owen Wilson (Star Power: 1.39), Will Ferrell (Star Power: 1.42), Kristen Wiig (Star Power: 1.01)
    Minor Stars: Penelope Cruz (Star Power: 0.52)
    Director: Ben Stiller (Director Power: 0.95)
    Writers: John Hamburg, Ben Stiller, Nick Stoller, and Justin Theroux (Collective Writer Power: .57)
    Important Producers: Ben Stiller (Producer Power: 0.95), Scott Rudin (Producer Power: .69), Clayton Townsend (Producer Power: 0.98)
     
    Logline: Derek Zoolander (Ben Stiller) re-unites with Interpol to take down an assassin of famous musical celebrities.
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 26.13/97.40: You know what's in right? Superhero movies. It's facing Deadpool and that's going to hurt Zoolander 2-especially since the first movie was only a modest hit in theaters. Will Ferrell has only gotten more famous since the first movie and the first movie remains popular so it should still increase from the first movie's adjusted gross.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 55%: The first movie had a good, if not spectacular, reception. It's hard to make a satisfying comedy sequel: it's almost impossible to do that when more than ten years have passed. It does have a talented team and Ben Stiller is a good directo so expect a mild reaction to this.
     
    February 19, 2016
     
    Race (Original)
    Genre: Biographical Sports Drama
    Movie Stars: Jason Sudeikis (Star Power: 1.30)
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Stephen Hopkins (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Joe Sharpnel & Anna Waterhouse (Collective Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: Jesse Owens overcomes racism as he competes at the 1936 Berlin Games.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 11.28/31.07: This should do well for a sports movie as it has Americans beating Hitler at the Berlin Games while being an inspirational story about a black man who struggled with the times he lived in by excelling. It's a great American story.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 33%: The writers and the director give me pause behind-the-scenes as well as the lack of a strong producer. A February release suggests that Focus Features doesn't have a lot of confidence in the final product.
     
    Risen (Adaptation)
    Genre: Epic Historical Drama
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Kevin Reynolds (Director Power: 0.94)
    Writers: Kevin Reynolds & Paul Aiello (Collective Writer Power: 0.14)
    Important Producers: Patrick Aiello (Producer Power: 0.24)
     
    Logline: Clavius must investigate the mad claim of a risen Jewish messiah while having to squash an uprising in Jerusalem.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 11.07/39.99: Christian movies have done well recently and a story that concentrates on Jesus' resurrection should play well with that crowd for a decent box office gross. Alas, this spiritual sequel isn't an actual sequel to the Passion of the Christ otherwise this could do a lot better.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 43%: Alas, Christian audiences don't exactly hold these kind of movies to high standards. With Easter a month away from the release of this movie (being the exact right time to release this movie) suggests to me Colombia Pictures doesn't have confidence in this movie.
     
    The Witch (Original)
    Genre: Horror
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Robert Eggers (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Robert Eggers (Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: A Puritan family living alone at the edge of New England fear their daughter is a witch as they suffer an attack from an unknown evil.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 0.27/12.50: This movie will likely have a limited release before it expands. The movie should more than recoup it's $1 million budget as it builds up word of mouth.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 91%: It got a great reception already at Sundance and the marketing looks amazing. I'll be shocked if this movie turns out to have a mixed or negative critical reception. More exciting is this points to a strong directing career for Robert Eggers.
     
    February 26, 2016
     
    Eddie the Eagle (Original)
    Genre: Comedy Sports Drama
    Movie Stars: Hugh Jackman (Star Power: 1.75)
    Minor Stars: Taron Egerton (Star Power: 0.90), Christopher Walken (Star Power: 0.56)
    Director: Dexter Fletcher (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Sean Macaulay and Simon Kelton (Collective Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: Matthew Vaughn (Producer Power: 0.49)
     
    Logline: A totally nonathletic guy makes it his life mission to represent the UK in Olympic ski jumping because why not?
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 12.75/45.59: It's hard to imagine Americans being interested in this specific story nor has the marketing for this movie been impressive or even noticeable. I'm not sure there's a lot of awareness in this movie which will lead to a soft opening. Some word of mouth might give it good legs.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 35%: Brand new writers and a February release makes me skeptical that this movie is that funny. Even though early reviews are promising, this doesn't just strike me as one that's going to end with a positive rotten tomatoes score.
     
    Gods of Egypt (Original)
    Genre: Fantasy
    Movie Stars: Brenton Thwaites (Star Power: 1.47), Gerard Butler (Star Power: 1.15)
    Minor Stars: Chadwick Boseman (Star Power: 0.87), Geoffrey Rush (Star Power: 0.85)
    Director: Alex Proyas (Director Power: 1.00)
    Writers: Matt Sazama and Burk Sharpless (Collective Writer Power: 2.96)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: Bek (Brenton Thwaites) unites with Horus to stop Set (Gerard Butler) from ruling the Egyptian empire.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 42.96/121.00: I'm not sure that this is going to start a new franchise but I do feel like Gods of Egypt could become a low-end blockbuster hit. I don't feel like general audiences care about the whitewashing and this does have a lot of action plus people do like mythology. In an era where Marvel has turned Thor into a franchise, this could be a sign that there is an audience for this.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 50%: The movie itself might not be that good-and I feel like critics are really going to punish this movie for whitewashing even though this is a systemic problem not a movie problem. This isn't to say this movie would get a positive reaction if it wasn't for the whitewashing just that critics would be even harsher on the movie that they would already be.
     
    Triple 9 (Original)
    Genre: Crime Thriller
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: Casey Affleck (Star Power: 0.71), Chiwetel Ejiofor (Star Power: 0.83), Anthony Mackie (Star Power: 0.96), Woody Harrelson (Star Power: 0.94), Kate Winslet (Star Power: 0.86)
    Director: John Hillcoat (Director Power: 0.21)
    Writers: Matt Cook (Star Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: John Hillcoat (Producer Power: 1.95)
     
    Logline: A group of corrupt cops must kill a cop (Casey Affleck) to distract the police while a group of criminals pull off an impossible heist.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 13.59/48.61: I don't feel like marketing has been that strong in this movie plus it's premise is a complicated sell. This feels like a movie that will fall under the cracks of the audience's attention.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 50%: A February release probably means this former Blacklist script didn't translate to a good movie. It doesn't help that I haven't really heard anything about this movie. It does help that Hillcoat does make well received movies so Triple 9 probably isn't a bad movie: just a difficult one to market when it will only get a mixed reaction.
     
     
    Major February Films:
    Original Films: 6 (50.00%)
    Adaption: 4 (33.33%)
    Franchise: 2 (16.67%)
    Total Films: 12 Films
     
    Major 2016 Films:
    Original Films: 12 (52.17%)
    Adaption: 7 (30.43%)
    Franchise: 4 (17.39%)
    Total Films: 23 Films
  9. Water Bottle
    I am happy to say that the TBOT staff is officially launching the Box Office Theory Staff Blog! We'll be using this blog for multiple purposes: to talk about recent site changes, to create guides on how to navigate the new version of the site, as well as to answer some commonly asked questions. We might also post our opinions on the box office, promote community events and games, and generally use the blog to bring things to your attention. We're also hoping that we can revive interest in the blog feature of the site: the best way to do that is through leadership!
     
    Now that we got that out of the way, we are looking for a special position on the staff. We're looking for someone who is well-versed in database entry, someone who is good with HTML, and someone who has a lot of time on their hands and likes to keep things tidy. We need an Archives mod whose sole purpose is to keep the archives of this site in order. The recent update in the site means that we need someone who is comfortable using HTML to edit posts. If you want to help and feel you are qualified, please send me a PM.
  10. Water Bottle

    January 2016

    By Water Bottle,

    Water Bottle's Monthly Movie Guide
    January 2016
     
    January 8, 2016
     
    The Forest (Original)
    Genre: Horror
    Movie Stars: None
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Jason Zada (Director Power: 0)
    Writers: Sarah Cornwell, Nick Antosca, Ben Katai (Collective Writer Power: 0)
    Important Producers: David S. Goyer (Producer Power: 2.52)
     
    Logline: In Mount Fuji, Sara (Natalie Dormer) searches for her lost twin sister only to be haunted by the death of tormented souls.
     
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 5.24/12.26: For some reason, the first weekend of the year has become a time of the year to release a horror movie. I guess there's no better way to start the year then with fear since they can open decently. The Forest doesn't seem to really offer anything new to horror fans, there's some controversy over having a white girl in a setting where Japanese people continually commit suicide in real life, and it has no real star power. It's hard to see this movie doing that well or having good legs.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 21%: An unknown director and brand new freshman writers don't inspire confidence and it's not like David S. Goyer is actually known for making good horror films. The fact that it's dumped in January simply tells me that the movie won't be that good.
     
    January 15, 2016
     
    13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi (Adaptation)
    Genre: Action Thriller
    Major Stars: None
    Minor Stars: John Kransinski (Star Power: 0.42)
    Director: Michael Bay (Director Power: 5.18)
    Writers: Chuck Hogan (Writer Power: 0.99)
    Important Producers: Michael Bay (Producer Power: 4.19) and Erwin Stoff (Producer Power: 1.56)
     
    Logline: A group of Navy Seals attempt to defend the embassy from an attack by a group of militants in Libya.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 17.48/82.08: It's political election season and this movie is coming around as the Iowa caucus heats up. Expect to hear more about Benghazi and guess what...this movie is about Benghazi! How timely! The interest the movie will generate, even though it's directed by Michael Bay, should give it solid legs.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 56%: Give Michael Bay a good writer and he might actually make a good movie out of it. He's a good visual, action director after all and Chuck Hogan has written critically successful movies before. This might be better than Michael Bay's recent efforts but I currently have doubts that this will be fresh.
     
    Norm of the North (Original)
    Genre: Animated Comedy
    Major Stars: Rob Schneider (Star Power: 2.53)
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: Trevor Wall/Anthony Bell (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Jack Donaldson and Derek Elliot (Collective Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: A polar bear (Rob Schneider) becomes the mascot for a corporation.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 1.39/3.97: Rob Schneider can make movies that can get you a decent return on the investment but this is an animated feature that frankly screams “flop”. The lack of any established talent behind-the-scenes and it's January date makes me think Lionsgate is merely dumping this.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 25%: Rob Schneider simply isn't in good movies. It's why his star power is high but it also means that Norm of the North probably isn't going to be very good.
     
    Ride Along 2 (Franchise)
    Genre: Action Comedy
    Major Stars: Ice Cube (Star Power: 1.00), Kevin Hart (Star Power: 1.28)
    Minor Stars: Benjamin Bratt (Star Power: 0.74)
    Director: Tim Story (Director Power: 2.72)
    Writers:Phil Hay & Matt Manfred (Collective Writer Power: 1.94)
    Important Producers: Ice Cube (Producer Power: 1.52), Matt Alvarez (Producer Power: 1.42), Will Packer (Producer Power: 1.47), J.C. Spink (Producer Power: 1.99)
     
    Logline: Ben Barber (Kevin Hart) and James Payton (Ice Cube) are assigned to a case in Miami where they are asked to take down a drug lord (Benjamin Bratt).
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 37.85/95.81: The first movie was somehow a big hit despite poor critical and mixed audience reception. This suggests that this movie could potentially do well but it'll see a drop-off in totals from the first forgettable movie especially since comedy sequels rarely increase or even match their predecessor's performance.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 28%: Yes, the first movie was terrible and had 18% on Rotten Tomatoes but I'm hoping that for the sequel, they have been able to at least improve on the original. It can't be that hard...
     
     
    January 22, 2016
     
    The 5th Wave (Adaptation)
    Genre: Sci-Fi Action
    Major Stars: None
    Minor Stars: Chloe Grace Moretz (Star Power: 0.75), Ron Livingston (Star Power: 0.30), Maria Bello (Star Power: 0.65), Liev Scheiber (Star Power: 0.61)
    Director: J. Blakeson (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: Akiva Goldsman, Susannah Grant, and Jeff Pinkner (Collective Writing Power: 1.22)
    Important Producers: Graham King (Producer Power: 1.13), Tobey Maguire (Producer Power: 0.38)
     
    Logline: Four waves of alien attacks have devastated the planet. Cassie Sullivan (Chloe Grace Moretz) must try to save her brother Sammy (Zackary Arthur) as she prepares for the final wave.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 10.58/23.28: Will the 5th Wave be the next Twilight/Hunger Games? Yeah, I don't think so. I know Hollywood is trying to make Chloe Grace Moretz a star but this is the wrong vehicle for her to breakout in and carry. I'm also not sold that the books have the rabit fanbase that both Twilight and Hunger Games had.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 52%: If Sony had any real confidence in The 5th Wave's ability to start a franchise, I doubt they would have put this movie in January rather than in April or March. Maybe they doubt that the fanbase can turn this movie into a hit...or maybe they made a mistake trusting a relatively unknown director with the entry. Whatever the case, it simply doesn't look like the movie will be anything to write home about.
     
    The Boy (Original)
    Genre: Horror
    Major Stars: None
    Minor Stars: None
    Director: William Brent Bell (Director Power: 5.09)
    Writers: Stacey Menear (Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: Roy Lee (Producer Power: 1.31), Gary Lucchesi (Producer Power: 0.80), Tom Rosenberg (Producer Power: 0.59%)
     
    Logline: An American nanny (Laura Cohen) is hired to care for a porcelain doll...that might actually be alive.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 12.46/24.53: This might satisfy that New Year's horror crave demand that the Forest might not have met and I think the trailer for this has been good. Plus William Brent Bell has directed two really bad movies that have done solid business.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 29%: William Brent Bell has yet to show he's capable of hitting the double digits so this might be a bit optimistic but he does have more experience under his belt now. One can only hope.
     
    Dirty Grandpa (Original)
    Genre: Comedy
    Major Stars: Robert DeNiro (Star Power: 1.08), Zac Efron (Star Power: 1.08)
    Minor Stars: Aubrey Plaza (Star Power: 0.20)
    Director: Dan Mazer (Director Power: 0.00)
    Writers: John Phillips (Writer Power: 0.00)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: Jason (Zac Efron) is tricked into driving his grandfather (Robert DeNiro) to Florida.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 5.33/11.30: This seems incredibly low doesn't it? After the bomb that was We Are Your Friends, Zac Efron's ability to get a young audience is certainly doubtful. Robert DeNiro is far beyond his prime days of selling tickets. I simply don't see this doing well especially with a rather lackluster trailer.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 42%: Okay, I don't think this looks to be that good but...it did manage to attract a decent cast and critics liked Dan Mazer's last big-budget comedy project, Bruno, and I thought that looked terrible. So this might actually be a half-decent movie that the marketing hasn't sold me on.
     
    January 29, 2016
     
    Fifty Shades of Black (Original)
    Genre: Spoof
    Major Stars: Marlon Wayans (Star Power: 1.38)
    Minor Stars:
    Director: Michael Tiddes (Director Power: 1.59)
    Writers: Rick Alvarez and Marlon Wayans (Collective Writer Power: 2.27)
    Important Producers: Rick Alvarez (Producer Power: 1.88) and Marlon Wayans (Producer Power: 1.6)
     
    Logline: “Hey you know that movie they made that started out as crappy fan-fiction for Twilight? Yeah, that Fifty Shades of Grey movie that is pretty much already a self-parody? Let's make a movie spoofing it. Trust me, it's gonna be a goldmine.”
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 22.07/73.53: Spoof movies can be hit-and-miss not only in quality but also in box office gross. If the Paranormal Activity spoof can make $40 million (where the peak of the movies was at $107 million) then I'm going to guess this movie has the potential to do better (since Fifty Shades of Grey did $166 million) and it feels like something people would be willing to make fun off. On the other hand, it could also do less than a total of $10 million. Spoofs are hard to predict but let's assume all goes well and audiences want to see a movie making the same jokes they've probably already made with their friends.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 29%: Most of these spoof movies are terrible so it would be surprising if someone finally made a good one.
     
    The Finest Hours (Adaption)
    Genre: Historical Drama Thriller
    Major Stars: Chris Pine (Star Power: 1.24), Eric Bana (Star Power: 1.01)
    Minor Stars: Casey Affleck (Star Power: 0.72), Ben Foster (Star Power: 0.37)
    Director: Craig Gillespie (Director Power: 0.43)
    Writers: Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson (Collective Writing Power: 0.0)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: A Coast Guard rescue mission in 1952 to save the crews of two oil tankers.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 6.05/12.88: Disney is advertising this movie a lot despite having dumped it in January. I think they expect the movie to break out but after the performance of In the Heart of the Sea, I'm not really confident in the movie's chances. I also think the other military movie of the month, Benghazi, will cut into The Finest Hours' appeal.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 55%: The movie doesn't look bad, it simply looks very pedestrian and average. I wouldn't be surprised if the reviews reflect that.
     
    Jane Got a Gun (Original)
    Genre: Western
    Major Stars: Natalie Portman (Star Power: 1.43)
    Minor Stars: Ewan McGregor (Star Power: 0.87)
    Director: Gavin O'Connor (Director Power: 0.34)
    Writers: Brian Duffield, Anthony Tambakis, Joel Edgerton (Collective Writer Power: 1.55)
    Important Producers: Natalie Portman (Producer Power: 0.49)
     
    Logline: Jane (Natalie Portman) seeks revenge for her husband's death (Noah Emmerich) after a dangerous gang leader (Ewan McGregor) killed him in a duel.
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 10.10/22.83: Box Office Mojo currently has this as wide but the prediction would obviously change if Weinstein starts this out on a limited release. The Western genre remains largely dormant and while there is still box office appeal for these kind of movies (True Grit), I'm not sure Jane Got a Gun will break the trend and become a hit.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 56%: Gavin O'Connor has made some good movies and it has a pretty good cast but it is being released in January-if this was really spectacular, there's no way Oscar-greedy Weinstein would be opening it in January. This tells me there's problems with the movie.
     
    Kung Fu Panda 3 (Franchise)
    Genre: Animated Action Comedy
    Major Stars: Jack Black (Star Power: 1.12), Angelina Jolie (Star Power: 1.44), Jackie Chan (Star Power: 1.07), Seth Rogen (Star Power: 1.40), Lucy Liu (Star Power: 1.33), Bryan Cranston (Star Power: 1.13)
    Minor Stars: Dustin Hoffman (Star Power: 0.86), Kate Hudson (Star Power: 0.76)
    Director: Alessandro Carloni/Jennifer Yuh Nelson (Director Power: 2.56)
    Writers: Jonathan Aibel and Glenn Berger (Collective Writing Power: 3.01)
    Important Producers: None
     
    Logline: Po (Jack Black) must reunited with his family and a village of pandas in order to defeat an ancient, evil spirit (J.K. Simmons).
     
    WB's Box Office Prediction: 30.87/119.44: The second Kung Fu Panda saw a significant drop from the first movie (165 million compared to 215 million) and they both opened in summer. There's way less competition in January but that's because it's January. Not to mention it's been five years since the last entry. Kung Fu Panda 3 should still be a blockbuster hit but it's going to see yet another drop.
    WB's Rotten Tomatoes Prediction: 77%: The last two Kung Fu Panda movies were certified fresh and the trailers to this movie have actually been funny. I'd say that the third movie will get good reviews but it won't be as good as the first two movies.
     
    January Outlook: Star Wars will dominate January especially with relatively weak competition. The strongest January movie will be Kung Fu Panda 3 both critically and box office-wise. Overall, it looks like a weak start for 2016 films.
     
    Wide January Films:
    Original Films: 6 (54.55%)
    Adaption: 3 (27.27%)
    Franchise: 2 (18.18%)
    Total Films: 11 Films
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