Ent

$500 - $550 M. The duet Thor and Loki are more of a draw than CA, especially with women across South America and Asia. TA boost and IM3 trajectory suggests a 200+ % increase abroad. I am convinced at 95% this movie will reach 800M worldwide... if not more...

This is just terrific !

That was my bet all along. More like 650 - 700 millions.

I agree with you but i don't think FF6, Hangover III or Trek2 are of any competion for IM3 on the foreign front since it has the best configuration of all 4 movies in terms of date of release. IM3 is released two whole weeks before Trek2, the lesser competition which is released in Russia, english spoken countries and a dozen of little countries. FF6 and Hangover that are both more popular than Trek2 are both released a whole month after IM3. I beleive Trek2, FF6 and Hangover will be the ones to suffer more of the competition between each other because they will be released at the same time in the foreign front (for the rest of the OS market for Trek 2 including Asia, South America and Europe minus the UK). The overlaping between those three will increase the advantage of IM3 abroad to generate maximum cash without too much competition.

True but that would support the premise than TF3 huge boost from TF2 is the direct consiquence of the inclusion of that scene rather than 3D. My predictions is based on the fact that it's 3D that made TF3 rising from 52 % to 68% foreign wise and that the same gimmick alone can propel equally another blockbuster regardless of a special scene and this without even taking TA goodwill into the equation.

Even if Transformers franchise is critically a mess, the analogy with the Transformers franchise can be used to guauge IM3 potential reception abroad. 1) TF2 did disappoint like IM2 desappointed from their respective first movie, both reaching respectively 310+ millions for IM2 and 410+ millions abroad for TF2. 2) Both were in 2D. 3) Then they decide to include 3D for the third movie. I say if a mediocre TF3 could rise its foreign take from 52 % for TF2 to 68 % for TF3 just by the inclusion of 3D, 4 years ago, reaching 770 millions, i say it bodes well for IM3 on the foreign front using the same tool for a popular franchise. I therefore don't see why,the inclusion of 3D alone wouldn't push IM3 in the same way it did for TF3, and this without even including the new consumers from TA. It did 50% in the foreign front with IM2. It could very well behave like TF3 and rise this ratio abroad putting it at 66%. No matter what this ratio will rise anyway because of 3D and because of TA. The only unknown element, is how much it could rise. Since it is nearly guaranteed to reach $350 millions+ domestic, a 66% share representing the foreign box office will put it at $700 millions abroad. Personally that doesn't seem so foolish or untattainable to me.