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Everything posted by mfantin65
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
if it breaks 101 it should go straight to the mid 90s. It hasn't had a large retracement since the monster move up from 75. 5-7% bump. I expect a bad fed announcement or another fiscal probllem any day now that'll cause the dollar to drop. Every may-june some kind of fit hits the shan.Click on the three year tab and you'll see its due to test 95. A Fibonacci retracement would take it to 93.http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/JPY%3D/tab/2- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Holy shit he is in line w my number. He didnt use today's rate for the whole run, otherwise he would be close to 183m.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
How do presales for ladies day look?- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Up across the board last week. that clued us in on the weekend bump. yes, toho likely to decline but we want to see a hold or increase on the other three to have a shot at 8m. Wk10109.........6950 +13%Toho.....35574 +22%Movix.....9165 -0.3%Kinezo....6476 +9%TMK1....58195 +18%- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
TMK1 20036 +3%. down 6% without the Movix boost 1.10m Mon +12% 0.77m Tues -2% 183.17m Total Projection6.2m midweek8.0m weekend- why not? Could bump. who knows until presales +/-5%195.5m Total Projected Range276m Certain---- 12x Last weekend is the floor316m Likely------ 18x My gut here says HP7.2 #4WW beat361m Possible--- 24x E.T. beaten first run 401m Domestic--30x Within the realm of "anything is f-ing possible", like IM3 going down once was and now is foregone- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Wikipedia Spirited Away opened theatrically in Japan on July 27, 2001 by Japanese film distributor Toho, grossing US$229,607,878 to become the highest-grossing film in Japanese history.[33] It was the first film to have earned $200 million at the worldwide box office before opening in the United States.[34]I By 1.8b though? that's big. for just 1 or two holidays w just a 500m m weekend. Wiki said the 27th and I saw it somewhere else. Imdb does say the 20th- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Yesterday had a nice 12% surprise, today toho is below 10k for the first time. So goes the ups and downs of BO run and omni's waistline. Movix discount helped with that decline though. Should be close to flat from last tues w movix factored in. The rest of the numbers due out in 2h30m to determine tallytomorrow is the big day that will help determine the weekend.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
aren't they back to school on the 17th-21 when the spike happens? Two other sources say the 27th btw.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
numbers to beat 109....2241 -9% Toho...9724 -8%- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
it opened on july 27. The 10th weekend is sept 28-30 and week 7 looks a little large too- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
yes. That would be like obon which is week 4- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
so you split the week into two. I reduced to match the dollar figure. Your chart ends at 285 because of the extra 1.2b. I read that it had an expansion in the end of Dec right aftervtge table ends and made over 2.5b into new years then January. It makes sense then that that the last week of data, early Dec, be at 27.5b.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
wk1: ¥1.001 billion ($8.9 million)wk2: ¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.240 billion ($34.6 million)wk3: ¥890 million ($7.9 million), -09%, ¥7.220 billion ($59.0 million)wk4: ¥940 million ($8.4 million), +06%, ¥10.75 billion ($87.8 million)wk5: ¥890 million ($7.9 million), -06%, ¥13.26 billion ($109.3 million)wk6: ¥900 million ($8.0 million), +02%, ¥14.90 billion ($123.3 million)wk7: ¥785 million ($6.2 million), -13%, ¥17.13 billion ($148.5 million)wk8: ¥695 million ($6.3 million), -11%, ¥18.65 billion ($160.8 million)wk9: ¥650 million ($5.8 million), -07%, ¥19.98 billion ($171.7 million)wk10: ¥510 million ($4.6 million), -21%, ¥22.40 billion ($183.7 million)You see. 2.42 increase in cum with 510 weekend. In the last weekend of Sept? Summer is over. The us dollar cum only increases by only 12m. That doesnt match. Another odd thing is the mid weeks stay at 8m three weeks after summer is over then cut in 1/2 in Oct while the weekends slowly go down. Again, in the end frozen needs to get to 30b and right now w a weekend bump and monday up, a 16 weekend multiplier is most likely, especially w summer help. That puts it over 30byen $300m- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
2.2b is an error. No way it could have done that in first week of Oct w a 600m yen weekend. We both reduced it to 1.1 which fits in with the other weeks so it looks proper to compare. Either way it has to get to 30b.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
murgatroyd and I figured that spike didnt make sense. Its in the end of september and the US$ figure didnt match up with it in corpses table. I dropped that figure to 1b yen to match the $8m in his table. You can see the figure in my table on sunday late morning in the thread adjusted to $10 for todays currency. The yen was 25% weaker then. His chart also reflects the adjustment.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Wow. He jumped from never $244m and $215 projection to maybe $300m in one week. Welcome aboard the crazy train.I may have to raise my $316m lock. :bump:murgatroyd is staying with "not happening" for now. Upgrade! Hows that chart looking?- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
I saw somewhere that the dollar total was $182.5m. That would be at today's rate 101.50 yen.The yen has been mostly around 102.20 during the run. $181.3 m- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
TMK1 26148 +12% 1.1m Mon 182.4m Total Projection6.5m midweek- 6x Monday8.0m weekend- why not? Could bump. who knows until presales +/-5%195.8m Total Projected Range276m Certain---- 12x Last weekend is the floor316m Likely------ 18x My gut here says HP7.2 #4WW beat361m Possible--- 24x E.T. beaten first run 401m Domestic--30x Within the realm of "anything is f-ing possible", like IM3 going down once was and now is foregone- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Omni is going to have an aneurism if its true.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
avatar had 9months. that's typical in japan to delay dvd release they would sell more dvd in December marketing it as the #1 all time movie in Japan. they lost 100m in net revenue- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Why would they release it at the start of summer?! That could cost 100m in BO. they are lucky if they get that back in DVD- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
vod in English or Japanese?- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
; many countries have 25% of the population attend the all time movies. Maybe japan will finally do the same. 25% = 31m. $410m- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
So its a bump on its own accord. This wave is getting bigger.- 23,685 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
mfantin65 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Here is something bizarre. It requires two big ifs. Right now the dollar is breaking key support, down 1%. 80k bump for the weekend.If the dollar breaks down again and the yen returns to its all time highs by the end of the year to 76 and...If frozen gets to 400mWith the way subers calculates international BO by using the most recent exchange rate for the entire run. It would come to $533m.The Avengers WW would be surpassed on BOM. Lol- 23,685 replies
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