Eric the Marxist
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Posts posted by Eric the Marxist
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Quorum Updates
The Front Room T-15: 27.33% Awareness, 45.01% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-120: 47.83% Awareness, 57.12% Interest
Paddington in Peru T-148: 28.94% Awareness, 36.5% Interest
Blink Twice T-1: 38.32% Awareness, 47.35% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Crow T-1: 43.63% Awareness, 49.31% Interest
Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Forge T-1: 21.58% Awareness, 41.36% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
1992 T-8: 25.2% Awareness, 46.84% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
Afraid T-8: 25.78% Awareness, 48.26% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 43% chance of 10M
Piece by Piece T-50: 16.42% Awareness, 34.28% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 30% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Awareness: 25% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Terrifier 3 T-50: 24.44% Awareness, 40.59% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 61% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 69% chance of 10M
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2 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:
53,71 domestic, and 53,56 in china
Following Blue Beetle, which it has been holding better by comparison, it gets us to a second weekend (ignoring Blue Beetle's NCD-inflated Sunday of course) of 17.2M. Assuming these better holds continue, we might get to ~19M.
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10 minutes ago, elcaballero said:
I can definitely see the reaction to the trailer intro being... not great. The actual trailer content is pretty solid, if a little uninspired.
Definitely a hard one to predict, not sure what the expectations should be for this, but I have to imagine it at least has a good path to profitability.
This is one of the few times box office-wise where the term "wild card" really means something. You could tell me this is hella niche and only makes 25M, or it's a shocking breakout at around 120M and neither would surprise me. I guess now I'm somewhere in the middle and it'll do above Heron and below the first Pokémon? idk idk idk idk idk
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5 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Animation style is fine. But putting up about 20 seconds or so of LOTR live action footage as a bridge/lead in is... a choice.
If they had stuck to the live action ME map and then segued into an animated version of it, I think it would have been much better and pressed the same nostalgia buttons. Even non-actor shots of the landscape of Rohan/countryside would have worked well enough. But I think they tried to attach a bit too much Remember How Much You Loved LOTR onto this. Or at least I didn't like the way it was done.
Gut instincts still say mid 20s to mid 30s opener, but that's without looking at normie reception (as I already know which corners of Film Twitter are gonna love this).
Yeah, that was such a weird introduction. I guess it's in the Jacksonverse, but when you show footage from the old movies, and then show something completely different...it kinda feels like I'm being catfished, even if the actual movie looks fine enough.
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16 minutes ago, Bob Train said:
So do critics. NWH, Ralph 2 etc. prove critics like nostalgic callbacks and key jangling.
Well I like those movies too (and Romulus!), so like…guess I’m part of the problem. 🙃
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Honey, I think this new Crow movie has bigger problems than the name of the lead actress.
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If you're gonna show the trailer today, why not just show it right now? Weirdos.
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*whispers* The secret is that most audiences actually like member berries and callbacks and nostalgia pandering.
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1 hour ago, JimmyB said:
I don't think two late summer studio dumps like Blink Twice or Crow tells us anything. Two films that will open with low box office numbers and be gone soon after like Cuckoo.
Still funny if it happens tho
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https://deadline.com/2024/08/alien-romulus-blink-twice-channing-tatum-box-office-1236046878/
QuoteDisney is expected to own No. 1 for the ninth time this summer, the likelihood that its 20th Century Studios’ Alien: Romulus will have the upper tail above Deadpool & Wolverine‘s fifth weekend, $18M to $17M. Through Tuesday, the Fede Alvarez-directed Alien: Romulus counts a running box office of $50.6M.
It Ends with Us, from Sony/Wayfarer Studios, will become Blake Lively’s highest-grossing movie at the domestic box office, overtaking Green Lantern ($116.6M) — we’re not counting her secret cameo in D&W. The romantic drama directed by and starring Justin Baldoni is set to do around $13M.
These holdovers will prevail over three studio wide entries, all of which are expected to file in the single-digit millions. What about the overindexing of the summer? Won’t that prevail here against what tracking is seeing? No, because it’s late August, and many are in back-to-school mode. Comscore reports that 33% K-12 are on break, while 58% of colleges are out.
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Quorum Updates
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-16: 68.59% Awareness, 66.09% Interest
Kraven the Hunter T-114: 23.02% Awareness, 40.15% Interest
Den of Thieves: Pantera T-142: 19.15% Awareness, 35.18% Interest
The Monkey T-184: 20.17% Awareness, 40.67% Interest
F1 T-310: 20.55% Awareness, 37.19% Interest
Blink Twice T-2: 35.93% Awareness, 46.89% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Crow T-2: 44.05% Awareness, 50.11% Interest
Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 50% chance of 10M
Bagman T-30: 18.83% Awareness, 43% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 17% chance of 10M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M
Transformers One T-30: 40.97% Awareness, 48.08% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 85% chance of 30M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 80% chance of 30M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M
Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M
The Wild Robot T-37: 26.06% Awareness, 40.15% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M
Animation/Family Awareness: 67% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M
Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M
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This is like an episode of Nathan for You. Would love to know what the goal was using fake review quotes when you could just…find actual negative reviews at the time.
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Moderation
@Belakor we’re not doing this “disrespect the fans” crap. Do this again, you’re getting a thread ban.
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26 minutes ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:
It's so absurd. You have these people online who hate loudly musicals because of the lack of "realism". If they were all about stuff like Mike Leigh and Kelly Reichardt films, okay. But you know they're just stanning every other CGI-fest action/superhero/fantasy movie.
And their definition of the genre is pretty narrow. "Musicals" to them are sung-through, or only target female audiences, and all the Disney animated classics don't count as musicals in their minds for...reasons. Their definition conveniently excludes any musical movie they actually might have liked. They just really want the world to know they hate that "theatre kid" crap.
Also, if Harley and Joker are fantasizing anyway, then why wouldn't they imagine themselves having good/great voices? Maybe because the lack of polish will seem more "real" to the anti-musical bros: "It's not a musical, it's a drama with occasional expressive singing!" "Come see the mansical (it won't lower your T-levels, we promise)!"Wish I could like this twice. Gotta suck to be too insecure in your masculinity and hate musicals.
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1 hour ago, Arlborn said:
The biggest problem with this is that it goes very much against your earlier post; TV is the only way I can see them exploring stuff outside the Skywalker era.
If Star Wars goes the way of movies only then I am pretty sure we’ll be stuck with Skywalker stuff for the rest of our lives.
That was always going to happen. People claim they want to "move on" or see new eras and timelines and never see the Skywalker era again. But that's a lie. Star Wars fans, and general audiences for that matter, just want to see nostalgia slop. Stuff to point at the screen and go "OMG IT IS THING FROM CHILDHOOD"
Literally every time one of these shows has trended, it's because they bring back some old legacy character that makes the fans go crazy. Nobody cared about Ahoska until Anakin popped up. When weird creepy deepfake Luke popped up in Mandalorian, looking as plastic as the action figures he was based on, Star Wars nerds were hooting and hollering that it was the return to the old Luke they knew and loved. Hell, even Grogu only got big because he was Baby Yoda. If he wasn't based off Yoda, nobody would give a shit about him.
And this isn't just a Star Wars thing. Audiences largely just want nostalgia slop for anything and everything. There's a reason why RDJ as Doctor Doom trended as hard as it did. And alas, there's nothing we can do to stop it. Because audiences refuse to enjoy anything unless it's got member berries. Ah well.
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Moderation
Not the Star Wars/Acolyte thread. I kno where this is gonna go. Don’t even try.
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23 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:
Disney should have released Deadpool 3 instead of Mufasa on this date. Probably would've went above Maverick DOM, but oh well.
Oh the humanity.
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6 minutes ago, TomThomas said:
She still looks 15.
You still look 15.
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26 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
You heard me!
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3 minutes ago, baumer said:
I never heard of her before civil war but I'm definitely going to try to find some more of her work. She definitely has a presence and I thought she was just perfect for Romulus.
I was introduced to her in last year's Priscilla, the only Elvis movie that matters. Amazing movie right there, and I knew from her performance she was gonna go somewhere. I guess I was right!
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2 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
Corpse Bride isn't neatly as popular as Caroline.
True. But it costs nothing to do a re-release, and Corpse Bride merch is everywhere in Spirit Halloween that I would assume WB could get a couple million out of it. It's no Nightmare Before Christmas of course, but very few things are.
Kingdom of the Planet Of The Apes | May 10, 2024 | Wes Ball to develop and direct
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
This is so fucking cool.