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Eric Prime

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    Stronger

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, filmlover said:

    This is now at 98% on RT. I think it can do $3M+ this weekend being one of the first prestige-y movies of the fall to open.

    I'm honestly shocked at how strong the reviews are. It didn't look awful or anything, but I expected it to be around the 70s on RT, but almost 100%? Instantly interested. Hopefully, I'll have the time to see it soon.

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by CoolEric258

    Quote

    20th Century Fox’s sequel Kingsman: The Golden Circle from director Matthew Vaughn, is looking at a three-day comfortably in the high $40M range, possibly $50M at 4,000-plus sites with help from premium large format and Imax screens.

     

     Lego Ninjago will easily be behind with anywhere from $31M-$44M per a variety of tracking services; however, the best bet is that the third WB animated Lego pic will arrive in the high $30Ms on 4,000 sites. 


    And Warner Bros. will definitely have a solid No. 3 slot with New Line’s It, which should easily bag around $30M, -50% in its third weekend for a $270M running cume.

     

    Competitors think Friend Request will be a loner at the B.O. with a $4M weekend at 2,550 theaters, but ES insiders believe otherwise with a $8M-$10M three-day start.

     

    David Gordon Green’s Stronger starring Jake Gyllenhaal as Boston Marathon bombing survivor Jeff Bauman opens at 575 locations via Roadside Attractions with a projected take around $2M.

     

    http://deadline.com/2017/09/kingsman-golden-circle-lego-ninjago-1202173819/

    • Like 2

    Wonder Wheel | Woody Allen | Kate Winslet | December 1 | Amazon to distribute

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Also, we got a plot summary:

     

    Quote

    WONDER WHEEL tells the story of four characters whose lives intertwine amid the hustle and bustle of the Coney Island amusement park in the 1950s: Ginny (Kate Winslet),  an emotionally volatile former actress now working as a waitress in a clam house; Humpty (Jim Belushi), Ginny’s rough-hewn carousel operator husband; Mickey (Justin Timberlake), a handsome young lifeguard who dreams of becoming a playwright; and Carolina (Juno Temple), Humpty’s long-estranged daughter, who is now hiding out from gangsters at her father’s apartment. Cinematographer Vittorio Storaro captures a tale of passion, violence, and betrayal that plays out against the picturesque tableau of 1950s Coney Island.

     

     

    Best Picture predictions-2017!

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    The major three fall festivals have all wrapped up, and painted a better picture of the Oscar landscape. What really makes the race interesting is how, Best Actor and Supporting Actress aside, there's no clear frontrunner or obvious contender. Last year, all the attention from the fests were on La La Land and to a lesser extent Moonlight. The year before created a giant frontrunner with Spotlight. This year? I can't think of an obvious winner for a good chunk of the major awards, especially Best Picture, and we still don't know how Last Flag Flying, Wonder Wheel, The Post, or The Phantom Thread will factor into the competition.

     

    I'm basically gonna copy what Clay did a couple weeks ago, and analyze each film that has been seen already and its chances and see where they land for the above-the-line categories. If I didn't list a movie, assume that I think it's dead.

     

    Battle of the Sexes: The movie has solid reviews and everyone has raved about Emma Stone. The real hurdle the movie will have to face is its September release date, and Fox Searchlight having two frontrunners. It definitely won't get Best Picture, and I'm a little shaky about Best Actress, but it'll rack up a few noms at the Globes

     

    Big Sick: Will definitely rack up a few noms at the Globes, and maybe even an Original Screenplay nod at the Oscars. Holly Hunter also seems likely to get into Supporting Actress. Maybe Best Picture, but Amazon's other movies would probably have to bomb in order for that to happen.

     

    Breathe: Maybe Garfield gets a nom on account of how awful Best Actor is, but that's really about it.

     

    Call Me By Your Name: Picture and Adapted Screenplay are locks. No question about that. Timothee Chalamet is 90% guaranteed to get in, and Director also has a great shot. Supporting Actor is the more interesting one. A lot of people think Michael Stuhlbarg will get in over Armie Hammer, which I don't really get. Hammer has more material and is more important to the story, so it makes more sense, to me at least, he would get the nom. But of course, I haven't seen the movie, so maybe Stuhlbarg really is a scene stealer. :P

     

    Darkest Hour: Oldman's winning this. It's basically like J.K. Simmons in Whiplash. Nobody else comes close to his buzz. Picture is also a lock, as is likely Director and Screenplay (Don't know if it's adapted or original)

     

    Disaster Artist: James Franco has been praised for his portrayal as Tommy Wiseau, making him a lock for Best Actor. Sadly, A24 will probably put their money on Lady Bird and Florida Project, so a Best Picture nom is unlikely.

     

    Downsizing: As time goes on, the underwhelming "mehness" from most critics and fest-goers, have moved this from contender to a dud. Picture, Director and Screenplay are out, as I doubt Payne has the clout to make that happen. But I still think there's a decent shot Hong Chau could get in. Yes there have been a lot of complaints about her stereotypical character, but the Supporting Actress race is weak. There's three major frontrunners (Janney, Metcalf, Spencer), a likely contender with Hunter, and...not really much else. Maybe Juno Temple will surprise us with Wonder Wheel, maybe Kristin Scott Thomas gets in due to the weak competition, maybe Brooklyn Prince is frauded into supporting, but the pickings are slim, and there seems to be enough passion with Chau's performance she gets sneaked in there. I'm sure I'll be wrong, but I think Chau could still get in there somehow.

     

    Dunkirk: Picture and Director? Locks. That's about it though, outside of the technicals.

     

    Florida Project: DaFoe? In. Picture? I think A24's #1 will be Lady Bird, since Ronan's joint is more accessible.

     

    Get Out: I think this will still get into Best Picture. Not as confident as before, but I can see a lot of Academy voters being passionate towards the film. Original Screenplay is also very likely.

     

    I, Tonya: Janney's a lock, possibly for the win. Margot Robbie could get in, but the race is super competitive at the moment and it's hard to pick something.. I think there's an outside chance it could also nab Best Picture, but I don't trust Neon on handling the top prize.

     

    Lady Bird: A24's #1 contender. Picture is super likely, and Laurie Metcalf is a lock. I'm not gung-ho on Ronan, because of how competitive the race is, but I wouldn't be shocked if she got in the top 5.

     

    Molly's Game: Jessica Chastain is like Ronan and Robbie, where she might not be a total lock, but she's somewhere in the top 7 or 8. Screenplay nom is an obvious one.

     

    Roman J. Israel, Esq.: Controversial pick, but I think there's a possibility Denzel might sneak his way into Best Actor. He's beloved by voters, the Best Actor race is super weak, and even the negative reviews praise his work, especially for him playing against type. One could even argue Academy voters don't want a completely white Lead Actor/Actress lineup, and since he's the only real person of color that's a contender for the title...I know I sound crazy, but there's still some decent factors in his favor that I don't want to write him out completely, although I will admit, he isn't in my top 5 at the moment. But if Cranston/Carrell/Day-Lewis/Hanks go down, Denzel might be in there.

     

    The Shape of Water: The whole shebang. Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor (Shannon), Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay. Don't know if it will get a win, but it's secured nominations in all categories.

     

    Stronger: Gyllenhall might sneak in there, bc Best Actor race is weak, not completely confident, yadda yadda yadda

     

    Three Billboards: Its TIFF Audience win secures another whole shebang for Searchlight. Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay. Don't know if it'll win, but the TIFF love definitely shakes the game and turned everything around.

     

    Now, my predictions.

     

    Best Picture

    Call Me By Your Name

    Darkest Hour

    Dunkirk

    Get Out

    Lady Bird

    Last Flag Flying

    The Post

    The Shape of Water

    Three Billboards

    ALT: Wonder Wheel

     

    Winner: Um...I guess The Post? Truth be told, all of the contenders have severe advantages and disadvantages that make this a real crapshoot, although the top 4 will probably be some combination of CMBYN, Dunkirk, Post, and Shape of Water.

     

    Best Director:

    Guillermo Del Toro

    Luca Guadiningo

    Martin McDonagh

    Christopher Nolan

    Steven Spielberg

    ALT: Joe Wright

     

    Winner: Split between Del Toro and Nolan, but gun to my head, I'll choose Del Toro.

     

    Best Actor

    Timothee Chalamet

    Bryan Cranston/Steve Carell

    Daniel Day-Lewis

    Tom Hanks

    Gary Oldman

    ALT: Jake Gyllenhaal

     

    Winner: Gary Oldman. No doubt about it.

     

    Best Actress

    Sally Hawkins

    Frances McDormand

    Margot Robbie

    Meryl Streep

    Kate Winslet

    ALT: Saorise Ronan

     

    Winner: Umm...Streep? It's basically her, Winslet, or Hawkins.

     

    Best Supporting Actor:

    Willem DaFoe

    Laurence Fishburne

    Armie Hammer

    Sam Rockwell

    Michael Shannon

    ALT: Michael Stuhlbarg

     

    Winner: Probably Rockwell. I dunno.

     

    Best Supporting Actress:

    Hong Chau

    Holly Hunter

    Allison Janney

    Laurie Metcalf

    Octavia Spencer

    ALT: Kristen Scott Thomas

     

    Winner: Janney. No contest.

     

    Best Original Screenplay:

    The Big Sick

    Darkest Hour (Is it original?)

    Get Out

    The Shape of Water

    Three Billboards

    ALT: Wonder Wheel

     

    Winner: Three Billboards I guess.

     

    Best Adapted Screenplay:

    Call Me By Your Name

    The Disaster Artist

    Last Flag Flying

    Molly's Game

    The Post

    ALT: Mudbound

     

    Winner: The Post.

    • Like 3

    LEGO's Ninjago | Lego Movie Spin-off | September 22, 2017 | Trailer on page 3

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

    Not a single theater around me is holding Thursday night showings. That seems concerning.

    To be fair, Hotel Transylvania 2, Peanuts and Kung Fu Panda 3 didn't have Thursday previews and they did fine. (To be honest, I don't really understand why some studios even have previews for some of their kids movies on school nights in the first place)

    • Like 3
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