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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu) Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 80 2102 16722 12.57% Total Seats Sold Today: 78 Comp 1.890x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-11 Before Release (18.34M) 2.430x of F9 T-11 Before Release (17.25M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah BW's not hitting 100M -
Near identical hold to Aladdin on its 5th weekend. And that film arguably had help from TS4 double features, so this is even more impressive IMO. It it continues to hold like Aladdin, it comes to 87.9M. 90M is a bit trickier to get through, and will really depend on the first two weeks of July. Late July has a lot more movies dropping, making it harder for the movie to maintain screens.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting (Thu) Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 80 2024 16722 12.10% Total Seats Sold Today: 110 Comp 2.040x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-12 Before Release (19.80M) 2.392x of F9 T-12 Before Release (16.99M) Think I'm just gonna scrap the final count stuff. Seems pretty pointless at this stage of the game. Things are looking very well here. -
2022 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric the Clown replied to Eric the Clown's topic in Box Office Discussion
Things are still hard to predict, but that's only because things are so logjammed together to the point where it just looks silly and some moves are destined to happen (at least I hope). Mission Impossible and John Wick really need to split up from each other, as do Indiana Jones and Black Adam. I guess just move John Wick to July 15 (I know Black Panther's a week later) and Black Adam to the first weekend of August. The Batman and Doctor Strange are also a little too close to my liking. Put Batman the weekend before President's Day. The Flash and Aquaman 2 are also kind of in bad positions too, but I have no idea where else you can put them. I guess Flash can bully Spider-Verse out of its October release (Spider-Verse to December I guess) while Aquaman just tries to co-exist with Avatar? IMAX/PLFs will be a real pain in the neck though, so I guess move it all the way to next year? I dunno. And I guess Little Mermaid, if it's coming out next year, can just get the Memorial Day slot. Maybe Mission: Impossible could move up the weekend before so both can get IMAX play. Doing all this really does make me not envy the studio execs scheduling all this stuff. Anyways, yeah, predictions (probably too optimistic), with some of the release date changes I proposed: 1. Avatar 2: 800M 2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever: 600M 3. Jurassic World: Dominion: 420M (weed) 4. Thor: Love and Thunder: 410M 5. The Marvels: 400M 6. The Batman: 390M 7. Aquaman 2: 355M 8. Doctor Strange 2: 350M 9. The Little Mermaid: 330M 10. Lightyear: 290M Indiana Jones 5: 230M Into the Spider-Verse 2: 190M Turning Red: 180M Mission: Impossible 7: 175M Black Adam: 160M John Wick 4: 155M Jordan Peele Movie: 140M Minions: The Rise of Gru: 130M Puss in Boots 2 (really?): 115M Scream 5: 110M DC League of Super Pets: 100M Creed III: 100M Sonic the Hedgehog 2: 90M Uncharted: 85M Halloween Ends: 80M Transformer: Rise of the Beasts: 80M Morbius: 70M Fantastic Beasts 3: 60M Don't know how much of an affect D+ Premier Access will have on this year in terms of what movies get it, but I guess dock all the Disneys like 20% or something in their gross. -
I've already got plans to bombard all these doubters with Timothee fancams if this does well and I can't wait. I do disagree with this. You are aware that people can be excited or interested in a movie and also predict it will do poorly at the box office, right? And last time I checked, this is a box office forum.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu) Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 80 1914 16722 11.45% Total Seats Sold Today: 64 Comp 0.494x of Godzilla vs. Kong's Final Count (4.79M) 1.983x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-13 Before Release (19.25M) 0.973x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu Final Count (4.67M) 0.370x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri Final Count (7.16M) 2.438x of F9 T-13 Before Release (17.31M) -
Well aware of that. However, I want to see stronger numbers because that says to me there is a strong demand and that stronger numbers are around the corner for films that have more hype and more going for them. I've said this before, but I am afraid that Memorial Day could have just been a fluke and that the summer (and maybe even beyond) will see muted openings. And while F9 will open better than Quiet Place 2, I feel that a number in the mid-60s, low-60s at the very least, would signal to me an appetite for moviegoing and suggest more confidence that Black Widow or Suicide Squad or Space Jam or whatever will see really strong results. Maybe the demand for this movie wasn't there and the market will be strong well into the end of the year. But at this point, I think seeing how other openers improve on themselves and their individual strengths say a lot more to me at this point in time. Of course, I'm saying this as one of the more pessimistic members here in regards to the box office. I'm still convinced theaters are going to go through a lot of hassles and that numbers could be depressed from now on, and it'll take a lot to convince me otherwise.