miketheavenger
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Posts posted by miketheavenger
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2 minutes ago, Firepower said:
It's not how things work. 300 WW would be a failure, especially if it includes China. It should make at least 500 WW to be successful and 600+ WW to guarantee a sequel, considering bad reception of the first one.
2 hours ago, a2k said:i don't know if they will be happy with 300 ww despite the profit, as the following movie in the franchise will carry a bigger budget and may not necessarily show growth.
if this one does not do 450-500 ww then the next one may not be greenlit. cause if V2 has a budget of 125-150, then the same/big less global cume as V1 may not be enough to show a decent profit.
i think V1 will make it to 500 ww (150 dom + 350 os).
Those are good points. I only thought about the comparatively low budget and didn't factor in the potentially bad reception. It remains to be seen whether audiences will agree with critics on this one, though judging from early reactions it seems like they will.
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Considering Venom only cost $100m to make, I'm sure Sony would be happy if it reaches $300m worldwide which should be possible.
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15 hours ago, Brainbug said:
Im just happy it will pass Minions.
Unfortunately, it won't quite pass Frozen. I really wonder btw, if Incredibles 2 couldn't beat Frozen WW, which Animation will?
Toy Story 4 I think will decrease from the third because no one was asking for it. Frozen 2 will likely also make less due to the first being such a phenomenon. I guess ultimately it's gonna be another film that no one is gonna see coming like it was the case with Frozen.
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Unfortunately, the 3rd trend is much worse due to the beautiful weather:
#1: Incredibles 2: 450k
#2: Klassentreffen 1.0.: 160k
#3: Ballon: 110k
#4: The Nun: 75k
#5: The House with a Clock: 42,5k
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2nd trend now has The Nun at 175k (a 30% drop!) and Predator at 100k.
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41 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
Yeah even though i didnt like the film, The Nuns OW is mightily impressive. Horror is just one a roll these last few years.
This might also change some people's predictions about Halloween. At this point I'd be surprised if that film opened below The Nun.
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Saturday trend is better for most films:
#1: The Nun: 250k
#2: DsMdW: 115k
#3: HT3: 75k
#4/5: Sauerkrautkoma/EQ2: 65k each
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3rd trend now has HT3 slightly ahead with 105k while Sauerkrautkoma and EQ2 remain at 100k. No big changes with the other films.
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2nd trend has EQ2 dropping to 120k (-38%) while MI6, HT3, Sauerkrautkoma and MM2 remain in the 100k range.
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The 3rd trend has almost everything increasing once more.
#1 MI6: 200k
#2: Sauerkrautkoma: 170k
#3/4: HT3/MM2: 150k
#5: Meg: 140k
Also Ant-Man and the Wasp has now passed the first movie's total and continues the streak of every MCU sequel or threequel outperforming its predecessors.
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12 minutes ago, Morieris said:
I can't keep up with the categorization of online personas, are Conservatives part of PC culture today.
Well, they're always the ones complaining about PC culture, yet when somebody says something they don't agree with, they also get offended very quickly. In Gunn's case the outrage does seem to come more from the conservative side, though. You're right.
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This is another example of how PC culture is ruining the internet. Gunn's tweets were stupid and it's baffling he didn't delete them much earlier, but him getting fired and probably being blacklisted in the industry forever is ridiculous. There is no evidence so far that Gunn is actually a rapist/paedophile, and since he has apologized for those tweets years ago this reaction is uncalled for IMO.
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People underestimate just how big Shrek used to be. Shrek 2 held the domestic animated record for 12 years. Not even TS3 or Frozen could reach it despite having years of inflation and 3D. And thanks to the Shrek is love, Shrek is life memes the franchise is still in people's minds. IMO a really good Shrek 5 could definitely do Incredibles 2 numbers (at least domestically).
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Almost a 40% increase for JW2!
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16 minutes ago, sfran43 said:
So JW2 increased from overseas estimates again? Nice.
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JW2 has so far always increased quite a bit throughout the weekend. I think that's a positive sign for word-of-mouth and it shows that the movie appeals to families, too.
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Adding my two Cents to the temperature debate:
I do prefer heat over cold, but only reasonably hot, like 25-30C. Anything much more than that, especially 40C+ like it seems to be in Canada right now is awful, especially if you have to work.
The usual temperatures in Spring and Autumn are very nice, though. Ideal to walk around in the nature without sweating or freezing.
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So with an opening in the high 140s 400m total isn't dead yet. Hopefully it can manage to get there in the end.
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Hopefully it hits 60m Friday and 150m for the weekend. If it does, 400m total will be back on, which would be great considering all the doom and gloom over the past few weeks.
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42 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:
A good quality CAM version of I2 has been leaked.. spreading like wildfire on Facebook and Torrent sites. Not sure how much impact it has...
It won't impact family audiences because Kids are unlikely to watch cam rips. However, I2 seems to skew more adult-friendly than most other animated films, so that might hurt it somewhat. Won't change the fact that this movie is a gigantic hit, though.
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I still don't understand why some people actually thought JW: FK would open below $100m. This is not a CBM or a Star Wars movie where a lack of online hype is worrying. Jurassic Park is one of the most GA-friendly franchises around and it will most likely remain that way going forward. I remember three years ago nobody expected JW to beat AoU, much less breaking the OW record at the time. But it seems like people have learned nothing since then.
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19 hours ago, GraceRandolph said:
Yikes with the way thing are going it’s looking possible that this movie will do under 1 billion.
No, it won't. Overseas looks to finish with at least 700m when all is said and done (probably more) and domestically it won't make less than 300m. 1 Billion is locked.
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Wow! That's an insane preview number for Incredibles 2? The question is how high can it go. It must be more frontloaded than most other animated films, but Dory's record is still easily going down, it seems.
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So Deadpool 2 will hit 300m after all? I knew people were overreacting to its second weekend drop. Look what happened to Spider-Man: Homecoming.
A drop right around 50% would actually be okay-ish for Solo, but it won't change the movie's fate as a gigantic disappointment.
Solid number for Ocean's 8. Should ultimately beat O12 and O13's totals.
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)
in International Box Office
Posted
2nd trend has no big changes:
#1: Venom: 450k
#2: Incredibles 2: 250k
#3: ASIB: 150k
#4: Klassentreffen: 110k
#5: Ballon: 90k