[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

What should help IW is that weather is predicted to be much worse than the last few weeks. Hopefully that will also help the other movies.

[JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE | 557.6 M overseas ● 962.1 M worldwide]

It's insane how Close to a Billion this movie is gonna come. The last huge surprise of 2017, which was the year of surprises it seems.

[Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - Coco 26.11M, JL 16.58M, Wonder 12.5M, T:R 9.65M, MOTOE 6.7M, LB 4.54M, 3BOEM 4.53M, TDA 1.22M]

This debate about JW being liked or not really irks me. It's a FACT that people loved it. It had better legs and a slightly bigger opening than The Avengers and nobody is denying that The Avengers is a beloved film. So why JW is not? Because it's not a Marvel/Disney movie? Its box office performance was arguably more impressive than TA, too, because literally nobody expected it to break records like it did. JW is at least as well-liked than TA, full stop.

Also, Ultron dropped considerably from TA despite that movie being so beloved. Same thing will happen for JW2, but not because of its reception, but because it was a giant pop culture event that - like TA - can't be replicated by its sequel.

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

21 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

yep but JL coming in lower than Wonder Woman, what a revolting development this is ...

It's gonna come in under Wonder Woman in most territories, though, so this isn't an outlier.

[THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide]

I don't really care about Ant-Man sequels (despite The Wasp), but gimme more Guardians, more Strange, more Black Panther and more Captain Marvel ASAP. I prefer those over 4th films (except maybe Iron Man 4 with the real Mandarin).

[Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!]

23 hours ago, Sam said:

I have learnt over the years I’ve been on here that a good 90% of posts that started with “mark my words” ended with nonsense.

I can confirm that I'm guilty of this

 

People are already throwing around a 3x for WW being "very likely". Just like with the movie's OW, you're just setting yourselves up for disappointment. This is not making 300m, mark my words. Not trying to sound like a hater, I HOPE I'm wrong and if I am, I'll be the first one to admit it, but right now I'm feeling pretty confident that this will top out at 280-285m.

[THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide]

It ultimately really doesn't matter whether Ragnarök will beat Homecoming, Guardians Vol. 2 or even WW. What matters is that it will significantly outgross TDW. With better exchange rates, Thor 4 (if they bring Hemsworth and Ruffalo back and maybe add another hero like Captain Marvel) could be a candidate for $1 billion.

[Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018]

18 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Jurrasic World 2 is gonna drop huge from the first one.

 

 

Was a flash in the pan and was a much more mediocre film compared to the avengers . 

Ultron dropped bigly from Avengers as well, so if you count JW as a flash in the pan, then so was Avengers. Also, JW actually had slightly better legs than Avengers despite opening slightly higher and facing (a lot) more competition. So JW being much more mediocre than Avengers is your opinion and does not reflect the GA's opinion.

[Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!]

Loving these numbers for all three films. Daddy's Home 2 is the first hit for Paramount since forever and if it has even somewhat solid legs, we're gonna see a third one.

[Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!]

Thor on track for a drop in the mid-50s, which is really good. 60m always seemed a bit optimistic after the weekday numbers. Daddy's Home 2 and MOTOE also doing well. The box office Needs this. Hopefully Coco can continue this streak.

[Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!]

I wonder if Daddy's Home 2 does somewhat well if it'll be the start to the Mel Gibson playing creepy dads cinematic Universe.

[WEDNESDAY NUMBERS| THOR- $6.15M (DOWN 44% FROM TUE)| BAD MOMS 2- $1.61M]

This obviously isn't a great drop by any stretch, but it's not that bad, either. It came off an inflated mini-holiday Tuesday. Now, if Thor stays flat or even decreases on Thursday we can start getting a bit worried, but considering the constellation that seems unlikely.

[Weekend Thread | Actuals (p.100) ~ Thor: Ragnarok - 122.744M, Bad Moms 2 16.759M, Jigsaw 6.558M, Boo 2 4.451M, Geostorm 3.194M | GOLD ACCOUNT SALE (1st post for details) | 91k PTA for Lady Bird]

Looks to be opening around SMH then. 300m is likely, but definitely not locked.

[Weekend Thread | Actuals (p.100) ~ Thor: Ragnarok - 122.744M, Bad Moms 2 16.759M, Jigsaw 6.558M, Boo 2 4.451M, Geostorm 3.194M | GOLD ACCOUNT SALE (1st post for details) | 91k PTA for Lady Bird]

I saw Ragnarok on Tuesday and it was really fun and funny. I agree that's it's upper mid-tier for Marvel, about the same as SM:H. GotG Vol. 2 and Logan are still the best CBMs of the year, though.

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

When I saw Thor yesterday, my theatre was packed. I'm not surprised all the movies are doing really well.

[THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide]

I think 450-500m total is the most likely range, which would be great.

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

Saturday estimates:

#1: FJG3: 1.575 million admissions

#2: Jigsaw: 125k

#3: IT: 80k

#4: Snowman: 70k

#5: BR2049: 60k

 

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

FJG3 below the second film, which was expected, but it's still a monster and maybe it will increase over the weekend. Also solid for Jigsaw. The holdovers are obviously dying, but that's what happens when you have a mega opener.

[Weekend topic: BOM || Happy Death Day: $26.5M || Blade Runner: $15.1M || The Foreigner: $12.8M || IT: $6M || Annabelle: Creation at $300m WW]

I feel like this thread nicely sums up BOT. It's got everything, from @CJohn and @Blankments meltdowns to TDKR discussions to The Star discussion to people complaining about their favorite movies flopping/underperforming. If anybody new wants to join this forum, we should just show them this thread so they know what they're getting into. An initiation ritual, so to speak.

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

2nd trend:

#1: IT: 300k

#2: BR2049: 160k

#3: Kingsman 2: 85k

#4: AA: 80k

#5: Cars 3: 70k

[Weekend Thread | Actuals ~ BR2049 32.753M :((, TMBU 10.551M, It 9.972M, MLP:TM 8.885M, K:TGC 8.675M, AM 8.446M, TLNM 7.002 M, V&A 4.171M | All those posts will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die]

2 hours ago, McNerdy said:

I haven't seen it yet, so can't judge it. But I showed my brother the trailer and he was complaining that Hollywood lately only makes movies with people he doesn't know. 

I don't know how old your brother is, but how the fuck does he not know Harrison Ford???

[SPIDER-MAN: HOMECOMING | 546.0 M overseas ● 880.2 M worldwide]

I'm really happy they kept Michael Keaton alive. He was such ab awesome villain. Hopefully he reappears in the future.

[Weekend Thread | Actuals ~ BR2049 32.753M :((, TMBU 10.551M, It 9.972M, MLP:TM 8.885M, K:TGC 8.675M, AM 8.446M, TLNM 7.002 M, V&A 4.171M | All those posts will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

BR49 should have had a female lead instead of Gosling. Probably JLaw . Seriously she and Ford would have made a good pairing.

Don't challenge Futurist to actually stan for this movie.

[Weekend Thread | Actuals ~ BR2049 32.753M :((, TMBU 10.551M, It 9.972M, MLP:TM 8.885M, K:TGC 8.675M, AM 8.446M, TLNM 7.002 M, V&A 4.171M | All those posts will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die]

Obviously this opening is disappointing, but calling BR2049 a bomb when we haven't even seen OS numbers nor the actual DOM number is BOT overreacting at its finest. Let's at least wait until Monday before we declare it a bomb. Bomb is a strong word that's being used way too often for my taste.

[SPIDER-MAN: HOMECOMING | 546.0 M overseas ● 880.2 M worldwide]

10 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Not that much better.  WW & GOTG2 certainly weren't going to go from $408m and $473m O/S to $588m and $610m O/S with 2012/2013 exchange rates.

Yeah, you're right. I probably overestimated the impact. All three of these movies are massive successes even with current exchnage rates, so it wouldn't have made that big of a difference anyway.