Infernus

April 29, 2018

Woohoo!! What a weekend this was. The ultimate roller coaster ride of box office figures....

And it has ended the best way possible!!

Both the records in the bag.

630m in one weekend...Goddamn

And to think this would have been easily over 800 with China.

Just absolutely fucking mind blowing.

And the WOM seems to be off the roof everywhere. I think the legs are going to surprise us just like the numbers this weekend.

I'd say even 1.8B WW is not completely out of bounds now

April 27, 2018

Australia:

1) Avengers: Infinity War – $60m

2) Incredibles 2- $33m

3) JW- $31m

April 26, 2018

Partial 16,000 - Incredibles 2

Partial 8,000 - Mission Impossible

Partial 5,000 - Hotel Transylvania

Full 1,000 - Slender man

April 26, 2018

Part A:

1. April 27

2. June 22

3. May 25

Abstain from Part B

April 26, 2018

Part A:

1. Will Avengers Open to more than $210M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Avengers Open to more than $250M? 2000 Yes

3. Will Avengers Open to more than $230M? 3000 Yes

4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 Yes

5. Will Will Avengers' Sunday be more than 5 times higher than second place's weekend gross? 5000 Yes

6. Will Black Panther finish in a higher position this weekend than last weekend? 1000 Yes

7. Will Rampage drop less than 50%? 2000 No

8. Will truth or dare stay above blockers? 3000 No

9. Will any film in the top 10 drop more than 70%? 4000 Yes

10. Will Ready player One's PTA stay above $2000? 5000 No

11. Will Super Troopers increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 Yes

12. Will Quiet Place drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 Yes

13. Will I Feel pretty make more than $9M? 3000 No

14. Will Isle of Dogs increase more than 175% on Friday? 4000 No

15. Will the top 12 make more than $300M? 5000 Yes

16. Will Traffic stay above Isle of Dogs? 1000 No

17. Will I feel Pretty have the worst PTA in the top 5? 2000 No

18. Will Bharat Ane Nenu drop less than 60%? 3000 No

19. Will Blockers make more than $1.25M on Saturday? 4000 No

20. Will there be rioting in the streets when IW 'only' makes $185M? 5000 Yup

Bonus:

12/20 3000

13/20 5000

14/20 8000

15/20 12000

16/20 16,000

17/20 20,000

18/20 26,000

19/20 32,000

20/20 40,000

Part B:

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points

2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points

1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 255m

2. What will Ready Player One's Sunday gross be? 1.06m

3. What will Black Panther's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 2,300

Part C:

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

1. Avengers Infinity War

3. Rampage

6. Ready Player One

8. Black Panther

9. Truth or Dare

11. Traffik

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

1/6 4,000

2/6 10,000

3/6 18,000

4/6 25,000

5/6 36,000

6/6 - 50,000

April 26, 2018

Week 1 : Yes

April 26, 2018

1. C

2.A

3. C

4. Abstain

5. Abstain

6. Abstain

April 26, 2018

A: Domestic top 15:

1) Avengers: Infinity War - 650M

2) Jurassic World - 430M

3) Incredibles 2 - 400M

4) Solo - 380M

5) Deadpool 2 - 340M

6) Ant-Man and Wasp - 230M

7) MI - 180M

8) Hotel Transvylvania 3 - 155M

9) Skyscraper - 140M

10) Oceans 8 - 130M

11) Mamma Mia - 110M

12) Christopher Robin - 100M

13) Purge - 80M

14) Equalizer 2 - 75M

15) The Meg - 70M

Backup 16*) Spy Who Dumped Me - 60M

*Only used if a film above exits the game

B: Top 7 Domestic OW:

1) Avengers - 255M

2) Jurassic World - 180M

3) Deadpool - 150M

4) Solo - 135M

5) The Incredibles - 125M

6) Ant Man and the Wasp 70M

7) Mission Impossible - 50M

Backup 8*) Hotel Transylvania- 46M

*Only used if a film above exits the game

C: Worldwide top 12:

1) Avengers: Infinity War ~ 1.75B

2) Jurassic World: FK ~ 1.2B

3) The Incredibles 2 ~ 900M

4) Deadpool 2 ~ 830M

5) Solo: A Star Wars Story ~ 830M

6) Ant-Man and the Wasp ~ 715M

7) Mission Impossible: Fallout ~ 650M

8) Hotel Transylvania 3 ~ 460M

9) Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! ~ 450M

10) Skyscraper ~ 400M

11) The Meg- 300M

12)Ocean's 8 ~ 300M

Backup 13*)

*Only used if a film above exits the game

D: China

1) Avengers - 300m

2) Jurassic World - 240m

3) The Meg - 150m

4) Mission Impossible - 145m

5) Ant Man - 125m

backup 6*) Skyscraper 100m

*Only used if a film above exits the game

E: Multipliers

1) MI: Fallout - 3.45m

2) Hotel Transylvania - 3.4

3) Incredibles 2 3.2

4) Disney's Christopher Robin - 3.2m

5)

backup 6*)

*Only used if a film above exits the game

F: Cumulatives

Top 15 Domestic) 3.5B

Top 7 OW) 950M

Top 12 Worldwide) 8.7B

Top 5 China) 1B

G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS

RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:

A: 100M The First Purge

B: 200M Mission Impossible Fallout

C: 300M Deadpool 2

D: 400M Incredibles 2

E: 500M Jurassic World

RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:

A: $1.5B Jurassic World

B: $1B INCREDIBLES 2

C: 800M Solo

D: 600M Mission Impossible

E: 400M Skyscraper

RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month:

A: April Avengers: Infinity War

B: May Solo: A Star Wars Story

C: June Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

D: July Ant-Man and the Wasp

E: August Christopher Robin

April 30, 2017

15 hours ago, Eevin said:

To close out the night, I thought we'd end with two films more adherent to modern taste (though, for these two films, "taste" is a very loose term).

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#186

The Twilight Saga: New Moon (2009)

"Well, I'm nearly one hundred and ten. It's time I settled down."

Rank adjusted for inflation: 192

Lists: 11

Average rank: 31.93

Rotten Tomatoes: 28%

I've never seen a Twilight film, nor will I ever, nor will I ever pretend to, so this write-up will be a bit more brief. New Moon exploded after the surprisingly leggy original film, breaking the then-midnight record and scoring $142m in its opening weekend, the third-biggest at the time. It had god-awful legs afterward and collapsed, a trend commonly seen in popular YA films like Harry Potter, The Hunger Games, Star Wars...some people like these films. Most people don't. This is the only Twilight film on the list, so...cool?

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#185

Alice in Wonderland (2010)

"I like to achieve at least six impossible things before breakfast."

Rank adjusted for inflation: 159

Lists: 18

Average points: 19.838

Rotten Tomatoes: 52%

To everyone who thought that Avatar relied too much on spectacle over story, Disney made Alice in Wonderland - a cold, cynical corporate nightmare that made $1 billion worldwide in 2010 because people like bright co2010lors. When I saw this in the theaters seven years ago, garbage me with no taste instantly named it my second-favorite movie. The more I've watched it over the years, though, the more I've seen how much of a total mess this movie is. I'm pretty sure this is singlehandedly what killed Johnny Depp's desire to try. Its visuals, though stunning, fail to cover up the fact that it's a creepy, narratively incoherent film that can't make up its mind on whether it wants to be a horror film or a family film. It is the thing that everyone is afraid Hollywood will become - an endlessly repetitive, joyless jumble of fun colors.

I'm not particularly proud of the fact that these are the only two films yet on the list that I have seen. To add to that, I Saw them both for the first and only time on the same night, back to back, on the night of New Year's Eve 2010-11. Quite a coincidence....

Hated both of them instantly.

April 26, 2017

16 minutes ago, Kalo said:

Infernus, I get where your coming from, and I had some reservations about how to score this, but I feel like based off of countdowns I've seen so far, this scoring is the most accurate, if someone can only put it a top 10 it most likely means they haven't seen nearly as many shows as someone who puts a top 100, also anyone can throw a top 10 down, putting a list of 100 is alot of work and there is usually more care that goes into those lists, and besides the #1 is still getting just as much weight no matter the list size. I probably won't be able to put a top 100. I'll be lucky if I can make it to 75.

Alright then. I still can't say I agree since it doesn't necessarily have to mean that the person with a bigger list has watched more shows but I'd rather not argue further. Its ok with me if that's how you want to do it.

April 26, 2017

1 hour ago, 4815162342 said:

Basically it rewards people who submit short lists by valuing each of their picks more.

For example, you have a list of 10 and a list of 100. If you use the same scoring system for both, you have a situation where the last place show on one list is worth 91, and the last place show on the other is worth 1. The last place ranking on a list should always be worth only 1, and you go from there.

Yes, thats exactly what I have a problem with and what I pointed out in my post. Why so? Why must there be so much difference in the value given to the 10th ranked show of these two lists?

In both the cases the 10th ranked show is the 10th best show that that person has ever seen. Lets say both the list's makers had seen an equal number of shows (which I believe is what we must assume since we have no other knowledge of this), the former having made a smaller list only because he had lesser free time and lesser excitement for this or something. In such a case why must a show deemed by one to be the 10th best they have ever seen be given lesser value than a show deemed the same by someone else just because they made a bigger list?

Basically this deems the former's list worthless. His say on the 10th best show ever is worth only 1 point compared to the latter's 91. What's even the point of it then?

April 26, 2017

12 hours ago, 4815162342 said:

Disagree completely. The shorter a list, the more likely it will have a disaparate and outsized impact on any final result if it is scored similarly to a more substantial list.

How/Why?

April 25, 2017

Why that scoring though? That scoring gives too much weight to the total number of shows you put in your list. The difference in the points for rank 10 from a list of 10 and that from a list of even the very next order - 25, is too much.

I see the sense in giving more worth to a bigger list as it might show that that lists maker must have had seen a lot more shows which does, ideally, mean that his rankings hold more value by default. But the difference in value is a little too much here. And anyways that point doesn't hold up perfectly here anyway. There could be loads of other reasons why someone made a smaller list such as scarcity of time.

In the end its your list and your choice and I'll be submitting one anyway if I find the time but I really think we should have another scoring method.

January 23, 2017

Best Picture

1 MoonLight

2 Manchester by the sea

3 La La Land

4 Arrival

5 Lion

6 Fences

7 Hacksaw Ridge

8 Silence

9 Hell or High Water

10 Hidden Figures

Alt Jackie

Best Actor

1 Casey Affleck

2 Ryan Gosling

3 Denzel Washington

4 Andrew Garfield

5 Viggo Mortenson

Best Director

1 Damien Chazelle ("La La Land")

2 Barry Jenkins ("Moonlight")

3 Kenneth Lonergan ("Manchester by the Sea")

4 Marin Scorcese (Silence)

5 Denis Villeneuve ("Arrival")

BEST ACTRESS

1 Amy Adams

2 Isabel Huppert

3 Emma Stone

4 Natalie Portman

5 Meryl Streep

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1 Mahershala Ali

2 Jeff Bridges

3 Lucas Hedges

4 Dev Patel

5 Hugh Grant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1 Fences

2 Manchester

3 Moonlight

4 Lion

5 Hidden Figures

BEST ANIMATED FILM

1 Zootopia

2 Kubo and the Two Strings

3 Moana

4 Finding Dory

5 Kimi No Na Wa

Alt: The Red Turtle

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1 Moonlight

2 Arrival

3 Fences

4 Hidden Figures

5 Lion

Alt:Nocturnal Animals

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1 Manchester

2 La La Land

3 Hell or High Water

4 Jackie

5 Lobster

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1 Jungle Book

2 Dr Strange

3 Rogue One

4 Arrival

5 Fantastic Beasts

Alt: Civil War

BEST MAKEUP AND STYLING

1 Deadpool

2 Florence foster jenkins

3 Star Trek Beyond

Alt Hail Ceasar

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1 La La Land

2 Silence

3 Moonlight

4 Arrival

5 Jackie

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1 La La Land

2 Moonlight

3 Jackie

4 Lion

5 Rogue One

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1 La La Land (city of stars)

2 Moana

3 Trolls

4 La La Land (audition)

5 Zootopia

BEST SOUND EDITING

1 La La Land

2 Hacksaw Ridge

3 Arrival

4 Rogue One

5 Jungle Book

BEST COSTUME

1 La La Land

2 Jackie

3 Silence

4 Florence Foster Jenkins

5 Fantastic Beasts

BEST Production Design

1 La La Land

2 Arrival

3 Fantastic Beasts

4 Jackie

5 Silence

Alt: Rogue One

BEST FILM EDITING

1 La La Land

2 Hacksaw Ridge

3 Moonlight

4 Manchester by the Sea

5 Arrival

BEST SOUND Mixing

1 La La Land

2 Hacksaw Ridge

3 Arrival

4 Rogue One

5 Jungle Book

December 30, 2016

As for Anime of the Year, it easily goes to Re:Zero for me. It was absolutely awesome with the only downside being that it was a tad too sadistic quite some times.

Erased lost all of its momentum in the second half.

Yuri on Ice was good but I am unable to see what made it special....I just saw it as a good but nothing-that-unique sports anime. The music throughout was good especially the opening and Ending themes, animation was pretty good and the routines did seem somewhat unique and well realized through the character narrative during them but other than that the whole layout seemed pretty generic.

Maybe 8/10 overall.

I seriously want to understand what others saw in it.

December 30, 2016

On 12/29/2016 at 8:10 AM, Boxx93 said:

Garden Of Words is a fucking masterpiece. Even for a 45 minute film is just beautiful to watch.

Yup, Absolutely beautiful. And the characters are incredibly well developed and realized in that short span of time. You get attached. My favorite shinkai film (still haven't seen Kimi No wa though).

December 21, 2016

Wow I was pretty sure it would make it to the the top 10 but first? Thats quite surprising. Not that I disagree much. Its a great great film, another one of Pixar's masterpieces. But I'd probably place it somewhere near 15. Except for Toy Story 3 I'd place it below all the other films in the top 11 and a few others from the rest of the list.

The best animated film for me though is easily Grave of the Fireflies. Simply putting it...its a flawless film. The most perfect film I have ever seen, animated or otherwise.

December 2, 2016

On 10/8/2016 at 0:55 AM, chasmmi said:

106th - Whisper of the Heart

69pts - 5 votes, 1 top 5, 1 top 10 (2014: 174th: Up 68)

Right so this one is Ghibli, I know that at least.

I am going to fly through most of the next few as I want to break into the top 100 before sleep and I have not watched any of them so have little I can really comment on.

This film received two top 10 votes from its 5 which suggests it deserves some consideration and love, but I also feel there are another 11 Ghibli films I can say similar for too. That be the problem.

The early films so far seem to be indicating that franchises are dropping places and Foreign/artsy stuff is what be benefitting.

If only I had got to this thread in time....

This should have been in the top 100 atleast. Its got few of the most beautiful scenes in the world of animation and is probably the best of the lesser known Ghibli films.

December 2, 2016

David Fincher - Se7en, Fight Club, Gone Girl

Peter Jackson - LOTR 1, 2, 3

And

Christopher Nolan- The Dark Knight, Memento, Inception

Or

Pete Docter - Inside Out, Up and Monsters Inc

September 8, 2016

20 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Don't worry, it is already noticed and fixed in the grand scheme of things, it is just too awkward right now to change it on this post. We have about 47 tables on the go right now.

They will change to the horrible number they actually are eventually.

Just out of curiosity, What horrible number is that?

September 8, 2016

Spoiler

Wait.... whats up with all those -20k scores for SOTM 10? How did these guys get that?

September 7, 2016

23 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Ok let's get the pain of SOTM 12 out the way before the glory of SOTM 13...

All you have to do is predict their total domestic gross by the end of the game. Easy

For each film you make a prediction for, you will receive 20,000 points. However you will lose 1000 points for every percent that you miss the actual total by.

All deductions will be rounded down. So a missed prediction of 4-4.999% will all result in a 4000 point deduction from the original 20k (so scoring 20k is possible if you are less than 1% out from the final total..

Bonuses:

If all of your predictions are within 10%, you will score 2000 bonus points per film predicted

If all of your predictions are within 5%, you will score 4000 bonus points per film predicted

If all of your predictions are within 2.5%, you will score 8000 bonus points per film predicted

You can abstain for 2000 points. Deadline is this Thursday midnight as usual.

THATONEGUY: 14000

BCF: 12000

24LOST: 11000

WRATH: 2000

JJ99: 2000

DAMIENROC: 2000

GREYGHOST: 2000

WRATHOFHAN: 2000

GLASSFAIRY: 2000

DARKELF: 2000

MOVIEMAN: 2000

NARNIA: 2000

LAGUY: 2000

CHEWY: MINUS 8000

TELE: MINUS 15000

KAYUMANGGI: MINUS 15000

SIMION: MINUS 30000

BLANKMENTS: MINUS 53000

CHASMMI: MINUS 55000

JAKE: MINUS 72000

INFERNUS: MINUS 79000

JJ8: MINUS 131000

(This is closer to the swing I think the previous question deserved...)

But, but...My calculations bring out my score to be -53k

	My prediction	actual	% diff	score
mechanic	19.5	15.825	23.22274882	-3
ben hur	35	24.453	43.13172208	-23
kubo	35	36.625	4.436860068	16
sausage party	60	89.604	33.03870363	-13
pete's dragon	100	66.251	50.94111787	-30
				Total=-53k

September 7, 2016

"If you call a film to hit the top 15 and it misses, you will lose points for missing the top 15 and you will lose DOUBLE points if the gross misses by more than the 40 million allotted to you "

What?!

September 7, 2016

And Final scores for SOTM 10 -

Rankings -

	Lights out	sausage	nine lives	dory	ben hur	jason bourne	Bad Moms	suicide squad
24lost	5	14	11	14	abstain	14	abstain	15
baumer	3	15	17	8	15	2	14	13
bcf26	11	6	4	15	8	4	1	8
blankments	6	16	10	10	abstain	abstain	6	11
chasmmi	12	7	13	4	11	11	4	abstain
DAJK	2	8	5	5	12	10	15	10
damienroc	8	abstain	2	17	4	5	8	4
dark elf	13	9	6	2	7	12	13	abstain
grey ghost	15	13	8	13	6	9	5	9
infernus	9	10	1	16	3	1	10	2
JakeGittes	17	11	12	6	10	16	abstain	5
JJ-8	10	1	14	7	14	6	2	6
jj-99	4	5	16	9	2	13	12	1
MovieMan89	1	2	15	3	13	8	9	14
Telemachos	14	12	3	11	9	7	11	3
TheOnemechanic	16	3	7	1	1	3	7	12
WrathOfHan	7	4	9	12	5	15	3	7

	Score (in thousands)
TheOnemechanic	-24
infernus	-25
damienroc	-28
bcf26	-29
JJ-8	-33
WrathOfHan	-35
jj-99	-36
DAJK	-37
MovieMan89	-37
glassfairy	-40
Narniadis	-40
Exxdee	-40
kayumanggi	-40
simionski	-40
Telemachos	-44
chasmmi	-45
dark elf	-45
blankments	-48
grey ghost	-51
baumer	-55
JakeGittes	-56
24lost	-60

September 7, 2016

I just remembered about and looked at SOTM 12 (the 20,000 points thing) and man, almost everybody who didnt abstain is losing massively there. Most people predicted Pete's dragon around 100m, thats -30k right there! Its going to really benefit all the abstainees. Some of us, like me, are losing 50k....

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