Jump to content

Pypa94

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    930

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Pypa94

  1. Pypa94
    .
  2. Pypa94
    As per BOM (ER on OD) - 5 days OW Avengers: Endgame $4,676,158 (+82,4%) ~ 18,022,380 PLN (+102,7%) Avengers: Infinity War $2,563,813 ~ 8,892,585 PLN EG Adm. 814 927 (+111,8%) --> ATP $5.74 ~ 22.11 PLN (USD is now 11% stronger) IW Adm. 387 611 --> ATP $6.61 ~ 22.94 PLN ------- That's strange for me, I thought that ATP will be much higher in local currency because of double features. I hoped for $5 million. Still, it exceeded all hopes and expectations, more than double previous record CBM/SHM in adm., in lc and almost in USD!
  3. Pypa94
    Poland too
  4. Pypa94
    http://boxoffice-bozg.pl/avengers-koniec-gry-zdominowalo-takze-polskie-kina-beda-w-sumie-dwa-miliony-podsumowanie-weekendu/ WEEKEND 26-28th of April Actuals Last weekend was dominated by Avengers: Endgame. From 730k cume adm. during weekend MCU movie has been seen by 548 204 adm (+50,5% over IW and previous SHM/CBM OW record). which is 75% of all ticket sold. Together with previews on Wednesday and OD on Thursday Marvel movie has collected 814 927 adm. [112 837 on Wed. (+114% over IW Wed.) and 153 886 on Thurs (+142% over IW Thurs.)]. (previews multiple to 5 days: IW 7,35, EG 7,22; OD to 5 days: IW 6,09, EG 5,30 - EG seems to be a bit more frontloaded). After OW EG is already 3rd biggest SHM/CBM! Behind only Avengers: Infinity War – 1,225 million and Deadpool 2 – 866k. (I guess Deadpool 2 has been already beaten and IW should be beaten on Sunday or sooner). EG OW is 16th best OW all time ahead of Hobbit. An Unexpected Journey (547 047 adm.). On 15th there is Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 558 974 adm. But EG beat TLJ OW + previews (814 927 vs. 781 848). The best April OW is now EG - beat FF7 390k (+40,5%) 5 days OW is 7th best start all time just behind: Kler (local), Hobbit trilogy, Pitbull. Niebezpieczne kobiety (local) and 50 Shades of Grey. Now how high can EG go? Based on IW legs EG could collect 2,5 million adm. but more realistic is between 1,85-2,1 million for now. Bad/ mixed weather during May's holiday (1st and 3rd are off from work and 1-3rd off for school and students) and because of teachers strike (most schools were off) EG had better numbers during morning and noon on Thursday and Friday. Captain Marvel after a nice increase this weekend but not great legs though will finish on 4th place as best SHM/CBM behind EG, IW and Deadpool 2.
  5. Pypa94
    TOP OW CBM all time (admission) Avengers: Endgame – ok. 548 000 Avengers: Infinity War – 271 279 Captain Marvel – 245 993 Avengers: Age of Ultron – 213 938 Deadpool 2 – 209 194 Deadpool – 206 096 Iron Man 3 – 201 733 Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2 – 191 309 Suicide Squad – 171 512 Captain America: Civil War – 166 965
  6. Pypa94
    Avengers: Endgame REVISED est. 548 000 FSS 814 000 5 days 16th best OW FSS Still waiting for actuals as I mentioned before it's awesome! Best OW in April, beat FF7 (390k) After only 4 full days and previews it's already top 3 CBM here in admission! Ahead are only Avengers: Infinity War (1,225 million) and Deadpool 2 (841k).
  7. Pypa94
    Is The Wandering Earth a good movie? It is on Netflix (at least in my country) now and I was wonder if is worth to see?
  8. Pypa94
    sooo close
  9. Pypa94
    OMG, OMG, OMG!!! http://boxoffice-bozg.pl/avengers-koniec-gry-z-rekordem-otwarcia-dla-ekranizacji-komiksu-superhero-w-polskich-kinach/ Yeah, you didn't hear any news from Poland in DHD update or other sources because EG didn't break OD, OW or biggest single day record, no... BUT EG shattered a record for SHM/CBM which IW had by approximately 103%(!!!) for FSS and 110% (!!!) for 4 day + previews (basically 5days)! IW FSS 271 279 5days 387 612 EG FSS est. 550 000 5days est. 815 000 OW FSS it is 16th or 17th best OW all time! And that's HUUGE because IW FSS OW is not even in the top 75 here...That OW put EG somewhere between The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey and Star Wars: The Last Jedi - you can see how big it is, SW and Middlearth are popular here the same as in rest Europe, maybe even above TLJ. If we consider OW as 5 days EG will be higher than TLJ, but lower than The Hobbit trilogy (boosted by Christmas holiday) also local movie Kler (absolute leader) and Fifty Shades of Grey (OW bosted by Valentine's Day), it is also higher than TFA! 815 000 probably put EG on 6th place best OW all time! Before the weekend I hoped for 420-440k over FSS and 650k over 5 days, this is truly insane! The same level as the rest of the world even without OD and OW records! With that OW 1,5 million tickets sold is locked, and 2 million is more and more possible. Let's wait for actuals and then crucial next weekend BUT FOR SURE NOW WE ARE IN THE ENDGAME! PS. Still don't know gross... and ATP too, TLJ had 4,9 million USD during OW, I think ATP is higher for EG and 5 days is bigger than TLJ so more than 5 million USD should've happened.
  10. Pypa94
    Now after the weekend Avengers: Endgame dropped a bit and now it's 8,6/10 (35 049) but still this awesome! In ranking based on a weighted average, EG has 8,03/10 and it has climbed already from spot #76 (7,97/10) to #42 just in one day. The more votes will come, the more EG will climb. IW is on spot #32 there with average 8,2/10 but the weighted average 8,08/10
  11. Pypa94
    @RtheEnd do you have access in Polish Box Office? Is there a chance for some numbers here?
  12. Pypa94
    At least 1500 shows across the country (maybe close 1800 even don't have accurate data) Afternoon shows are pretty packed, IMAX almost sold out, 4DX at least 75%, VIP the same I hope for 60-70k at least today PS. Yesterday was over 100k I think (need to wait till Monday to confirm though)
  13. Pypa94
    MCU WOM (votes) Avengers: Endgame - 8,7/10 (5 979) Avengers: Infinity War 8,2/10 (144 819) Thor: Ragnarok - 7,8/10 (139 254) Iron Man - 7,6/10 (343 340) Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2 - 7,6/10 (137 051) The Avengers - 7,5/10 (294 831) Captain America: Civil War - 7,5/10 (153 123) Guardians of the Galaxy - 7,4/10 (214 975) Iron Man 3 - 7,4/10 (218 563) Iron Man 2 - 7,3/10 (234 798) Avengers: Age of Ultron - 7,3/10 (178 269) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 7,3/10 (166 714) Doctor Strange - 7,3/10 (166 012) Spider-Man: Homecoming - 7,2/10 (115 087) Captain Marvel - 7,1/10 (45 831) Thor: The Dark World - 7,0 (170 647) Ant-Man - 7,0/10 (139 205) Thor - 6,9/10 (211 873) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 6,9/10 (60 051) Captain America: The First Avenger - 6,7/10 (165 066) Black Panther - 6,7/10 (111 678) Incredible Hulk - 6,5/10 (104 299)
  14. Pypa94
    WOM is great here! 8,7/10 out of 6k votes Best here is The Shawshank Redemption 8,75/10, EG could be 2nd with that score but they have some algorithm here and for place in chart we have to wait for more votes. Ps. At least 10k votes, so later today or tomorrow maybe
  15. Pypa94
    Oh boy! 10/10 is minimum, I can't anything below that, I've already said too much 😅
  16. Pypa94
    I like IW even more now so great prepare for EG 😜 8 min of rest and here we go! 💪
  17. Pypa94
    First screenings at 4:30pm starts now here in 6 IMAX screens (double feature) and of course I'm here 😅 DK if they are full sold but more than 95% for sure See you in 6h PS. On 6:30pm next 45 double features across country 2D and VIP Then from 7pm to about 11pm more than 550 shows more only EG
  18. Pypa94
    Poland with chance of 1 million$ why not 😅
  19. Pypa94
    Poland has big previews today 24th, with about 1/5 maybe even 1/4 of OW (last year IW ratio was lower than 1/7)
  20. Pypa94
    yep, IW is ONLY CBM with more than 1 million tickets sold, so yes EG is making (for now) its own league, a way higher level! EG can have 1 million after 10 days, and over IW after 12 days and still 2 weeks of almost clear run over 2 million
  21. Pypa94
    LAST UPDATE for previews on 24th Wednesday In about 15h first screenings starts (IMAX double feature IW+EG) In my calculations, I add a small cinema chain (5% of the market) so now I have 71% share. All seats Free seats Sold seats Saturation% 99131 31782 67289 67,88% (71% of market) Multiplying it by share presales are more than 94k! There are at least 557 shows today. normal double screening All shows 512 45 2D sub 332 36 2D dub 125 3D 36 IMAX 6 6 4DX 9 VIP 4 3 I noticed 11 full sold out shows and another 40 sold over 90%! Insane numbers for me. I think final saturation could be close to 85% so we might have a chance for EVEN high end of my expectations 120k but for confirmation probably we'll have to wait until Monday at least (some numbers in USD should be available sooner but admissions could only be guessed from it, dk average ticket price, inflated a lot by eg. double screenings). In the evening after my double IMAX screening, I will check numbers for 25th, not so widely as now because of tons shows during the day, but I'll check some big cinemas across the country and all big formats like IMAX, VIP, 4DX, ScreenX and ATMOS. THANOS came here to take half of the box office (in the SHM/CBM standard), the Rescue Team aka Avengers will take nice revenge on him with a healthy increase or almost doubling its numbers? Previews of EG=2xIW --> 105 422 (95% chance I think) 5day of EG=2xIW --> 775 224 (20% chance) Cume of EG=2xIW --> 2 450 500 (0,5% chance)
  22. Pypa94
    Nope most of local movies legs are out of range, although some action movies and love comedies with mixed or bad wom has really ugly legs and even more frontloaded that Hollywood movies. IW had pretty good legs almost 3,2x from 5day OW, 4,5x from FSS. EG will be more frontloaded but also it could be watched by more new ppl who watched IW outside cinema. It will need at least 4x from 5day opening, possible but as I mentioned before 2nd weekend will be crucial. Upcoming premiers or should I say lack of premiers almost for a month till 24th of May and Alladin premiere is good sign (Pet Cemetary will took same adults which have already watched EG couple times, maybe Curse of the Llarona and Wonder Park on 10th too but it's a fraction). If not now when CBM movie would cross 2 million?! I sign my name on it 1,5 million is damn locked and 2 million is 50-50 for now
  23. Pypa94
    After 1989 (modern time) there were 64 movies with FSS (some movies 4 days because no one care to separate previews 😅) over 300k in polish box office. 18 of them are local movies, 1 over 900k, 1 over 800k, 5 over 700k, 3 over 600k, 9 over 500k, 13 over 400k, 32 over 300k. Only 3 or 4 of them didn't cross 1 million mark (eg. FF7, Twilight) Most of them crossed 1,5 million, to cross 2 mln locked number in OW is over 600k but some movies crossed that with lower opening (just over 300k too with local movie)
  24. Pypa94
    I think we should wait until next weekend to say something about chances for 2 million. OW (5day) could 1,5x bigger than IW but that still is not locking anything more than IW total (over 1.2 million) cause EG will be more frontloaded for sure (as we can see in presales for previews). 2nd weekend is part of holidays, so basically 5 days free, many ppl will choose small vacations in the countryside or abroad if the weather won't be bad. Weekdays could be worse than normally especially in the biggest cities and countryside. These are speculations. -----‐ Let's check history and some weather forecasts instead Last year IW during May holiday and weekend after it sold 422 919 tickets (281 655 weekdays + 141 264 weekend). The weather was mixed last year, that had positive impact on numbers for sure. This year the weather is going to be even worse! Storms across the country, a bit cold, this is not a good for trips. I think ppl will be "hiding" in shopping malls, cinemas, theaters and so on. MAY'S HOLIDAYS could be VERY helpful in "march" to 2 mln! IW after 2nd weekend had 810 531 this year I can see over 1 millon tickets sold Previews: 70-110k 105-125k (worst-best) Thursday 25th: 55-75k 75-90k FSS: 295-350k 425-475k 5 days OW: 420-525k (+8,5%-35,5% over IW) 605-690k (+54-68%) Weekdays with a holiday (this year only 1 day is off [1st of May] but many ppl usually take 2nd of May off too): 230-300k 2nd weekend (Friday is a holiday): 150k-250k After 2nd weekend: 800k-1075k The worst scenario is impossible I think xd Something in the middle maybe in high end is more likely to happen. EDIT: PREVIEWS IN HIGH END VERY POSSIBLE! so I changed my expectations! GO BIG OR GO HOME!
  25. Pypa94
    AVENGERS: ENDGAME passed with presales from 66% market whole previews day (100% market) of IW!!! (IW sold 52 711 tickets during previews day) All seats Free seats Sold seats Saturation% 81128 28389 52739 65,01% (66% of the market) If my math is right only presales for EG's previews day should bring about 90k and I'm hoping for strong walk-ins because of the discount day, especially in tier 2 and 3 cities. To sum up: 24th of April (previews): starts at 4:30 pm (IMAX double screening) with at least 550 (maybe 600) shows that day Numbers: 90k presales + 20k walk-ins (because of lack of new seats - saturation is already very high in polish standards)
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept