[Our hope is destroyed; there is nothing to go back to. Is Derby the only answer? | Week 24]

I'm glad to be back home where I can once again do some damage starting next weekend. They may have lost Dory, but I'll find my A-game. 

[Our hope is destroyed; there is nothing to go back to. Is Derby the only answer? | Week 24]

This is a very tough game to play when you're on a 2 week vacation away from a computer and reliable WiFi. But I figure every player on here will have a handful of weeks during the year where they are in the same position. Basically winged it again this week to get something in. 

[I try to believe in as many as six impossible things before the Derby | Week 23]

2 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

90.45%, which is terrible considering this bloody average. I hate all of you. 

 

Lol. That generally means a disaster for many next weekend, historically speaking. 

[I try to believe in as many as six impossible things before the Derby | Week 23]

Very surprised to see so many score well this week. 

[Hey guys, you ever see that really old movie, The Derby Strikes Back? | Week 21]

What a week! Doesn't get any easier over Memorial Day. Appreciate the congrats! 

[Hey guys, you ever see that really old movie, The Derby Strikes Back? | Week 21]

Wow. Totally didn't expect it to be this close! 

[If We Can't Accept Limitations, We're No Better Than The Derby | Week 20]

It's lights out on my Derby, thanks to The Darkness. 

[If We Can't Accept Limitations, We're No Better Than The Derby | Week 20]

Jmorphin and I did the right thing predicting $2m for The Darkness. No clue why people showed up for it. 

[Weekend Actuals (Page 67): Captain Pirate: Piracy War 72.6M | Jungle Book 17.1M | Money Monster 14.8M | The Darkness 5M | Mother's Day 3.3M]

Money Monster absolutely flew under the radar.  Good to see it will crack double digits, though I'm less excited to check it out as the reviews are trending more rotten.

 

The Darkness is DOA.  I didn't know a single person who was even aware it was coming out.

[If We Can't Accept Limitations, We're No Better Than The Derby | Week 20]

Based on previews, Money Monster may crack double digits after all.  Seemed to have little buzz outside of Cannes.

[If We Can't Accept Limitations, We're No Better Than The Derby | Week 20]

Maybe that No Prisoners squirrel will share his nut.

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

I need to have a short memory of this disaster. That was a brutal week. 

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

2 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

I saw it coming

But then again I'm blind.

 

I'll stop short of spraying myself with Windex next weekend, but I do have a handy blindfold.  I'll dust it off and give it a shot.

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

This weekend didn't follow any of the recent historical trajectories.  Films dropped hard on Thursday due to CA previews and yet the Friday increases were comparatively weak and the IMs were not fantastic outside of TJB and Mother's Day.  This was a total disaster week and really no way to see it coming beforehand.  Disney also didn't manipulate either TJB or Zootopia - presumably so CA so could hold onto every dollar in light of a solid but non record-setting performance.

[Weekend Thread | RTH pg 197...Mother's Day not kind to CW but very kind to JB and MD CW 42, JB 9,7, MDD 6.1,Hunts 1.48...puts CW at about 178M]

2 minutes ago, IMojammer said:

I'll disagree that fandango reports are complete fluff.  It's somewhat informative when they report that cap3 is selling better than ultron, indicates the possibility that it opens higher. Could be lower but probably not hugely lower.

 

However it's extremely informative when they don't report that a franchise movie is selling better than the previous entry, indicates that it will very likely open lower. That's the real value in fandango reports.

 

+1.  And in general, sequels are expected to outsell a predecessor.  It's the extent to which the current installment is surpassing another film that is the key piece of information that Fandango never provides.

[Weekend Thread | RTH pg 197...Mother's Day not kind to CW but very kind to JB and MD CW 42, JB 9,7, MDD 6.1,Hunts 1.48...puts CW at about 178M]

It'll have enough gas to surpass AoU - you can be certain Disney will make that happen.  Thinking $75m/$195m right now.  Mother's Day on Sunday will help a bit, though this likely isn't a first choice among most Moms.

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

Yeah - even on the computer sometimes, I'll have issues.  I'll change a predict, click 'save', and it reverts to the old one or completely erases the field.  Just chalked it up to a random bug.

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

CA:CW Derby Average - $176.73M.  Exciting weekend ahead! 

[Captain, while a great many people see you as a hero, there are some who prefer the word Derby. | Week 19]

Despite having 9 holdovers and a blockbuster opener, this is one of the most difficult weeks I remember predicting in a long time.  So many variables with the only certainty being CW blowing open summer's doors.

[Sometimes I want to punch you in your perfect Derby | Week 18]

Really something when you score 92.6% and still lose. Can do little but tip my cap. 

[Sometimes I want to punch you in your perfect Derby | Week 18]

I give next week's Derby a degree of difficulty of 9.0.  Start of the summer movie season, Mother's Day weekend, and the uncertainty of how much number-shifting (if any) Disney will do this weekend.

[Weekend Estimates (Page 13): Jungle Book 42.4M | Keanu and Huntsman 9.4M | Mother's Day 8.3M | Barbershop 6.1M | Ratchet 4.8M | CIVIL WAR OS OW 200.2M!!!! (Page 14)]

Hoping TJB performs more like Rio 2, HTTYD2, or The Croods this weekend and can touch low 40's.

[I can't help but notice there's this strange odor today... What is it, this scent? It's almost like some kind of Derby. | Week 17]

Simionski is certainly an emerging player who has the potential to be consistently competitive. 

[Derby Tournaments - 1st Tournament starts this week!!!]

Best of luck to our finalists this weekend!  Could come down to MFH/GND2 to decide this one!

[I can't help but notice there's this strange odor today... What is it, this scent? It's almost like some kind of Derby. | Week 17]

1 hour ago, ChipMunky said:

I mean, you do have another game to play

 

Sure, it's broken, but it works!

 

Haha, i play there, as well. Helps to see the rankings based on estimates during the weekend.