Not really
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Everything posted by Not really
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
On its 3rd weekend, JW made $54.5M DOM and $86M OS (140.5 combined). It went on to make another $351M from the same markets. On its 3rd weekend, FK made $148M DOM and $111.9M OS (259.9 combined). I think it should be able to make another $485M including Japan. -
I'm surprised @Brainbug hasn't reposted that one image to @MovieMan89 after the new estimates.
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If Universal can market the higher stakes & finale factor properly, it should increase from FK.
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I agree with this. I think JW3 will have a decent increase from FK worldwide, largely from OS.
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
Isn't China part of the 106.7 OS weekend? EDIT: Damn it Sam -
That's an oddly specific DOM estimate for FK.
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
But the feeling of "It did slightly under $1.2B" and "It did slightly over $1.2B" are vastly different to me. There must be a time when you've experienced something like this, right? -
Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
$1.2B. That gives me a far different feeling compared to $1.1B. -
Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
As much as I want to, I won't celebrate just yet. Japan will be the deciding factor in this. -
I love how JW2 changed from "Massive disappointment" to "Mild underperformance" in a weekend. What a ride.
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That's a good sign. I hope it increases to $60M+ on Friday and $150M+ for the weekend.
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Because JW wasn't as loved as TA and JP. I thought that would mean a worse start for FK, which will then have good legs due to the (presumably) great reception. But not enough to counter the low opening fully.
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It's not the best, but it's the most realistic one. Matching AoU's drop didn't seem likely to me.
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I know that, but it did drop from an all-time grosser, which JP and JW kind of was as well, so I decided to lower my standards.
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That's just my personal standard from the beginning. That, or a %drop similar to TLJ, which doesn't differ too far.
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I'd say a drop equivalent to TLW would be the standard of success. It's still likely to miss that, but not by a humongous margin compared to 2 days ago.
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Ah, the memories associated with the continuous tense of that word and how it was consistently proven wrong.
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That's a pretty good number. Should be on track for $135M+ on opening weekend, and probably closer to $140M.
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No, I know what you meant. I was agreeing with you and making a comment about the rather polarized discussion about this.
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It's surprisingly hard to understand that a movie doesn't have to flop to be a disappointment compared to expectations.
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I2 isn't locked yet to beat JW2 WW. I think FB2 has a better chance than WIR2 to get to 1B.
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Not gonna lie, I find myself in the same situation with FK as I did with TLJ. Objectively speaking, both films will make a ton of money for their respective studios. Relatively speaking, TLJ had a bigger drop than expected, and FK seems to be heading in that direction as well (we'll know soon after this weekend). It's a shame, because I loved FK and would like to see it do better at the BO. JW3 will have to step up in its audience reception to not fall below $1B WW (and for my future club to happen).
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That's good to know. So, in case I don't remember this forum exists by then and my would-be club happens, I just want to say that I called it.
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One question: When is it legally allowed by forum rules to make a "JW3 over SW9" club? Is it later this year or 2 years from now?
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Not really replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
That's fair enough. They're both animations and not quite as big as JP and SW, but they're close enough to make a comparison. There's also Jumanji. Also, they're not the sequel to the highly-anticipated return. They're just the highly-anticipated return. There's no I3 or FN3 yet.
