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tokila

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Everything posted by tokila

  1. how are things looking for today? Yesterday we had reports of long lines building and sellouts. More of that? Personally think Tuesday will be down 10% or so.
  2. ya this is outperforming even typical December drops. Avatar made more in Jan of 2010 than it did in DEC of 09. That is where TFA will lose ground. But it will be so far ahead before we get to Jan that it will not matter.
  3. you missed my caveat at the end. Mainstream Box office reporters and analyst.
  4. even you had a 40 mil Monday based off of a 260+ mil weekend. Your predictions were great. But also highlight how unique TFA has been performing.
  5. yea. After the upward revision of Sunday it seemed Plausible. . Even with Avatar holds it would have been in the upper 30s, not 40ish. After seeing the Saturday totals no one would have predicted a 40m Monday. No one. Sunday gave us hope. Even then the hope became a 35 mil monday.
  6. yes. which to me is equally impressive. No one thought you could do a summer like opening, let alone take the record in December. Once TFA did that, people started to assume it would behave more like a summer movie. Now it is showing it is not. When I say people I am referring to mainstream box office reporters/analyst. This movie has HP8 front loading with Return of the King Legs(or better).
  7. I could see this. It will hit a wall where everone that wants to see it will have. But I dont see it coming before 2nd week of January. By that point Avatar will be danger close. Right now I dont see this falling below 800mil. 1 bil is still going to need a special run from here on out.
  8. AND! Goodwill for the film will be through the rough. AOTC DID NOT have that going for it safe to say.
  9. this was the best 3D non CGI film I have ever seen. Yes Avatar and maybe a few of the Pixar films had better 3D, but not for live action. All of my repeat viewings will be in 3D. I saw it in 2D my 2nd timeit felt like a step down and it is really for me the 1st film since Avatar I prefer to see in 3D. I believe others feel the same way. I think WOM of will be "you should see this in 3D"
  10. ya its 2015's version of 1977. It looks much deferent, but the effect is essentially the same. Trends TFA will start. 1. Return to practical effects, less CGI (god bless TFA for this) 2. Studious experimenting with launching tentpoles outside of traditional months. 3. Bunch of scifi movies just got greenlit.
  11. its interesting you mention John Carter. I believe that its flop in Feb of 2012 is what really gave the the "kick in the arse" to go out in get Star Wars.
  12. TFA is to box office what Starkiller base is to near by stars. Sucks it dry.
  13. we will see. Most massive opening movies fall on 1st tuesday from Monday (even the leg master Avatar). Also I am not sure how much of this massive monday was spillover. Anything over 35 million and I will be ecstatic. Anything over 32 I am happy with. Avatar like drop we are looking at 38-39 million. Return of the king drop we are looking at 36-37 million. That said TFA had better monday holds than either of those 2 movies.
  14. Oh so in 4 days its JJ Abrams biggest movie by about 20 freaking million.
  15. all but Thursday. CMAS eve will prevent this. I am thinking 24-25 mil for CMAS eve.
  16. AOTC unadjusted will fall tomorrow.40 mill puts us at 288 or so. It would just need 22 million for this. I think worst case tomorrow is a 20% drop (this is assuming monday was bolster by massive spillover which I am not sure of) that would be 32 million. I am think it will be closer to an 8% drop. which gets us 37mil.FYI. Avatar was operating at a much lower level (16 million monday) and it still dropped 1.8%
  17. if it goes for the middle of that (40mil) it will have beaten the old Monday record (which was set on a major moviegoing holiday) by about 32-33%.
  18. YES! Freaking amazing. Deadspin's 160mil weekend 2 is "deadon" now.
  19. Not sure about that. Here on Hawaii I am already seeing a some sellouts for Wed, but none for tuesday. Granted, Tuesday will be more for walkup to get the best prices. Reserved seating is about 50% sold (all the best seats) for our one theater that does that.
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