titanic2187
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Posts posted by titanic2187
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Up 100k from estimate. With its GG win, it probably will go closer to 45m. If you truly understand the movie, it is not just about death and grief, it is about our movie industry nowadays. Hope people can find the meaning of the movie in a illogical storytelling style
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30 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:
The old HFPA wouldn't have been choosing Heron over Spider-Verse for sure. I feel like the Academy voters are closer to HFPA than the new Golden Globes voting body especially when it comes to Animated Feature, so I wouldn't count AtSV out yet.
Well, They did have their first non-English and international animation winner 17 years before Parasite took Oscar by the storm. Also, Academy selection of nominees have been always regarded a better bunch by critics and industry. Yes they have bias when come to winner but their nominees have been cool. They managed to pick some niche international works like princess kaguya , I lost My body, Boy n the Hood, Persepolis, Chico & Rita. From here I don't see the Academy has preference closer to old HFPA.
ATSV is still very much frontrunner but Heron is obviously challenging its dominance. I still have ATSV as predicted winner because Miyazaki's refusal to campaign and he didn't bother showing up at GG. Also, Sony has realised the favour for ATSV is slipping away and they are stepping up their campaign too. That should allow ATSV to recover a bit.
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5 hours ago, redfirebird2008 said:
How about Social Network? I seem to remember that movie swept all kinds of awards but then got snubbed pretty hard at the Oscars.
Social network won big at the critics circuit but show some weakness in the big award event. PGA and BAFTA favour the king speech that year, so it is not longer that big of a surprise that it was losing best picture.
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After 12 nominations for best animated feature, it is the first time I genuinely feel GKIDS is finally up for their first win.
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2 hours ago, KeepItU25071906 said:
It more and more looks like battle between Oppy and The Holdovers.
Ideally Oppy would take editing, director and supporting actor, Holdovers - supporting actress and screenplay.
So, Giamatti vs Murphy is the key fight for this season.
Don’t underestimate KoTFM too, if KoTFM took best adapted screenplay and best actress, the movie is up for an upset against Oppenheimer.
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49 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
The Academy hating CBMs doesn't sound like a real thing. They've nominated or outright awarded them in many occasions by now (BP, Spiderverse, Joker). It doesn't sound like the academy dislikes CBMs any more than they do any other genre film.
That said I'd rather Heron wins this one.
It is then hard to explain why NWH isn’t even nominated but TGM, avatar 2 and Barbie are all nominated. It is not like NWH is poorly received either. And it was not like NWH contribute any lesser to bring back moviegoing.
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7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Impact of Oppenheimer is tremendous. I dont think its comparable to any of the previous snubs. Its also so topical with what is going around. That makes it hard to snub.
The only different I can think of is Oppenheimer is a summer movie, unlike all others which were a fall or winter release. If there is any backlash against Oppenheimer, they would have surface long ago. The box office can’t make up a case for Oppenheimer here because neither Oscar go for big box office hit.
I mean, if GG got to have two best picture winners and they still miss six out of 10 times as compared to Oscar, that isn’t really ideal statistic though. That being said, the new voting members probably means the track has to be restarted.
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4 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Eh, those movies lost for reasons other than backlash. Everyone trying to take down Green Book during its year had no effect.
Still, six GG+BAFTA best picture winner ends up losing at the Oscar in the past 10 years is very much a statistically proven. It may be too much coincidence to conclude all of those six loses are for different reasons. In the case of 1917 and la la land, both movies even got GG+BAFtA + PGA.
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As much as I am rooting for Oppenheimer, I was sort of hoping the movie losing at GG because GG has too much track record of attracting backlash. La la land, three billboard, 1917 and the power of dog, no matter how strong the way they looked as frontrunner, the backlash cost them Oscar eventually.
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36 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Nope.
I can’t comprehend how they can allow this opportunity to campaign go totally wasted. Not even any representative from GKIDS bother.
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Did Miyazaki attend golden globe?
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As much as holiday boost BO, but I tend to attribute the great legs for new releases around Christmas to demand shift. I mean, there is no reason I would expect aquaman 2 to open below Shazam 2 and BB in a non-holiday season. Aquaman would probably open to 45m and finish around 110m+, not that too far below from what we are looking now at 125m with holiday season. The holiday merely shifted the demand, plus some boost for sure but people tend to overstate those bump.
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SK still on its way.
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Very very strong hold for aquaman 2, holding almost as good as avatar 2 last year in its first post new year weekend and way better than NWH.
400m is now more certain than ever.
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4 hours ago, JonathanMB said:
Should be on track for a sub-20% drop this weekend, looks like WOM is really starting to kick in. $35M+ final total?
Finally some sign of strong WOM. The movie has been following Downsizing's up and down since the opening through the holiday. This should be where both movies start to diverge. If IC managed to increase higher on Sat, sub-10% 3rd weekend drop is possible. 30m is safe but I am hoping 35m if A24 can keep the theaters longer.
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4 minutes ago, Cookson said:
Anyway to let BOM know they missed a 0 for Godzilla Minus One? lol
I was shocked for a moment to see that 90% collapse. I thought Toho just decided to finish the run (Not impossible given how the UK release plan was)
This hold should lock in 50m
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I know Holdovers is a favourite to win best screenplay but that would give Alexandar Payne his third screenplay win. Does he really deserve his third one for Holdovers? So far I think Anatomy of Fall has the best script due to its plot nature.
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Looks like people really into some horny moment in the cinema. It is time to reboot deep throat and have it release during No Nut November and legs out to destroy dick December. TikTok will go wild for that.
Maybe it is about time people start getting nostalgic of golden age of cinematic adult content back in 1970s.-
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If a movie written with its character name and design from an existing fictional character like Barbie and Ken, borrow its fictional setting as its world-building, it does fit the definition of an adaptation. Unlike some historical drama like king speech or green book, those aren’t characters, they are real life figure.
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I am not sure the strategy that Toho is going for. Apparently their focus this round is mostly on the western country, totaling snubbing neighboring Asian countries, which are not only known for more friendly for Japanese content but monster flick.
The cinema chain and moviegoers in Malaysia have been furious with the lack of progress from Toho.
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WEEKEND THREAD | Wonka 14.4, Night Swim 12, Aqua 10.6, Migration 10.2, Anyone But You 9.5 (increased from last weekend!)
in Numbers and Data
Posted
In the end Migration and ABY didn't managed to hit 10m mark. We were so close to five 10m movies in single weekend. The Sunday decline this week is equally bad as NYE sunday.