1Robert1
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Posts posted by 1Robert1
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if deadline is right jurassic world will be 24 mln ahead of barbie, JW had 10m expansion, so Barbie is still on course to finish around 630 plus whatever expansion, re-relase, new version WB is planning.
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2 hours ago, vale9001 said:
Jurassic world was on full summer at this point so if Barbie fourth weekend was already bigger than Jurassic world fourth (33.8 vs 29.2M) the next weekend again should be bigger than only 10% more than JW fifth, now weekends could get a bigger increase.
yes barbie will have weekends better than 1.1 of JW but weekdays will be more challenging if next monday barbie will also drop 47 percent and then gain 10 percent next day it will be ahead less than one percent. And we are talking about july weekdays vs august weekdays, soon it will be july weekdays vs september weekdays, and dont forget that JW had expansion which added around 10 m. So Barbie will have to gain in upcoming weeks more than 10percent. imo 630 is still optimistic scenario for Barbie. Of course Barbie also can have expansion, oscar re-release etc
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If Barbie would follow last week drops/gains it would have 17.6 weekdays in comparison to 16m by jurassic world, JW made another 80m, so if Barbie would earn 10 percent more she would finish with 632m.
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do we know how big big budget this movie will have
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5 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:
If it falls at that no it is. As long as it losses money it is defined as a bomb.
TLM 2.2* it's budget to breakeven and that was quite Dom heavy (55% goes back to studio)
MI is not as Dom heavy and 2.2* it's budget is 638m and its not reaching anywhere near that .
Scheduling it close to barbenhiemer was dumb and dents it's box office but a bomb is still a bomb whether it's shitty circumstances are involved.
Will it even reach 580m?
according to forbes TLM budget was 212m.
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1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:
Topping 1.5B worldwide means topping TOP GUN: MAVERICK. I don't see that for now, but who knows?
in order to beat TGM barbie would have to have 660m domestic with same domestic/international split. Maybe with expansion, re-release, another version barbie can make 660m in NA but 825 with disappointing income from japan i dont think it's possible.
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1 hour ago, AniNate said:
Not that I disagree that Little Mermaid is a success, but if you're still considering Elemental a "flop" at this point you're not really helping your case. They have pretty close to the same ratio of gross to budget.
if little mermaid budget was 212m, and elemental 200 we have 2.66 vs 2.2 ratio.
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1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:
I think 1.4B for BARBIE is possible.
i don't see possibility that it could make less than 1.4b 100m domestic is certain without expansion, re-release around oscars, sing along versions so it would only need 120m internationals, but i think we all know that wb will do everything to make as much money as possible. If barbie wouldnt flop in japan, she could make 1.5b or even finish top 10 worldwide.
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did new middle east markets added more money than japan?
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10 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:
Didn’t realize how far behind Barbie still is on JW. Thought it was closer. Still likely has some major advantage weekend holds coming up though, so I dont see an issue yet.
JW had expansion which added around 10m, and soon july weekdays of JW will fight with september weekdays of Barbie,
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20 minutes ago, harry713 said:
With 10m on Friday, Barbie looks headed for a 33m weekend.
Fri 10
Sat 12.1 (+21%)Sun 10.9 (-10%)
4th wkd 33m (-37.7%)
Dom total 525.6 after 24 days.
526,5 would be exactly 30m behind JW
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how things are going in japan, is there a chance for more than few millions
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1 hour ago, jma22 said:
Barbie grossed 74,6m OS last weekend. 175m it's a realistic forecast imho. (Japan and Middle east not icluded)
140 last week, 75 last weekend. If it will drop 40 percent every week it will make another 217. I would be very surprised if it would make less than 200.
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3 hours ago, jma22 said:
Barbie crossed the Barbillion last weekend and it grossed 1034 M until Sunday
I'll try to make a realistc forecast to see how far can Barbie go.
I think 1300 M it's locked, while 1360 M it's almost locked. That would mean reaching two major goals of Barbie: nº 1 of the year (worldwide) and the highest grossing Warner film ever.
My Barbie forecast: 1400M ($)
1034m (total until Sunday)
166m Domestic --- For a total 625M
25m Japan and Middle East (This countries have the release this weekend)
175m current International countries
- 120m Europe -- Uk 35m (for a total of 95m£), Germany 16m, France 14m, Italy 8m, Spain 8m , Netherlands 7m , Poland 5m, Nordics 10m and 17m the rest.
- 20m Oceania -- Australia 18m (for a total of 89m AUD) and New Zeland 2m
- 35m Latam + Asia
Maybe I underestimated Japan and North America.. I wouldn't be surprised if Japan 50m and Domestic +650m
I don't think Barbie grosses less than 1400 so ... 1400m-1500m $
i thought that barbie made last week around 140 m international so how can it make only 175. if it will finish with current split domestic/international it would need 260m more from international markets to reach 1500
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2 hours ago, vale9001 said:
exactly
last week (so second week weekdays + third weekend) Barbie was bigger than Jurassic World.
Jurassic world fourth weekend was 29.2M. Barbie has way better weekdays and weekend should be around the same. So this week will be again bigger than Jurassic World. And at the end of it it should be 556M for JW against 520-525m for Barbie.
So if the trend continues in the next week the chances to get near to JW are concrete. This is whhy i was saying i still see 650M happening.
Some people here are too focused on weekend comparisons but Barbie has very huge weekdays.
you'are forgetting/ignoring that JW had expansion which added around 10 mln
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Barbie before weekend will be around 492.5 if it will have 40 percent drops every week it will finish 622, 35 percent drops 653.
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38 minutes ago, vale9001 said:
1.6B are definitely out of reach
About Japan south Korea could mean nothing. Super Mario made 18M in Korea and almost 100 in Japan.
weird comparison cause super mario was created by japanese guy, and with 3x times more people in japan 5x more bigger box office mean something, my point was that after 3 mln in south korea we cant expect lets say 50 mln in japan
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14 minutes ago, vale9001 said:
There Is still Japan.
Barbie made just 3 millions in south korea i dont think it may gross so much money in japan that it will make more than 1.6B, of course japan will help with 1.5B.
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13 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Barbenheimer can win with Avatar TWOW
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barbie made 145 last week if it will drop 41 percent every week it will finish with 782,5 if 35 percent 843 mln. no chance for 1.6 mln around 32.5 drop needed for 1.5b. 1.3B locked, 1.4B almost certain.
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3 hours ago, kayumanggi said:
BARBIE
08.31 UAE, Egypt, Kuwait
Please correct me if the IMDB info is inaccurate.
The UAE and KSA pushed back the movie's release date from an originally planned 20 July to 31 August, leading fans to question the reasons behind the delay. Although no official statements were made about the reasons for the postponement, parallels had been drawn to past instances where delayed releases were a precursor to bans.
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52 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
if barbie would drop 43 percent every week it would barely cross 600 mln, next weekend should be much better.
BARBIE | 809.4M overseas | 1445.6M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted
Barbie needs £15m more to be in british top3.