YM!

I wonder if the WOM is strong enough on Saturday, it could have a stronger than expected jump. Like 50%+.

I think you know what we want, so here’s your tribute.

So me acknowledging my expectations were a bit too high and acknowledging that Deadline lowballs so there could be an uptick is dooming and glooming. Nowhere did I say films were having bad drops or doing bad.

I’m not dooming and glooming lmfao.

Who knows maybe EC will project higher numbers for the films involved, right?

Fuck reality crashing in. Though I do think it’s possible a handful of films do better at the night, as DHD tends to lowball.

Fair point but I feel Wonder Park was more so an anomaly especially because it went head to head with an MCU movie. Nor did Wonder Park have the WOM Bad Guys is looking at. Not impossible either though.

So for sacrifices tonight, would shirtless Mr. Wolf pictures or shirtless Sam Rockwell would be most appropriate for our gods?

Fill me with onion love.

Nah no DWA has done $60m OW since Madagascar 3 10 years ago. Best case for Puss 2 is an OW around HT2 ($48m)

5:00 pm. Not the 3-4 stuff. in line with pre pandemic animations.

True and with Spider-Verse gone it has no competition to worry about and will likely be the first big family film since Minions 2 (Paws of Fury is doing Paw Patrol numbers and Super Pets could go O/U 100m). Universal needs to give it the usual push and it’ll blow up.

I agree Puss in Boots is dormant and the new and fresh look helped for The Bad Guys so far (the weekend still needs to play out and it looks very good). But Universal has done good selling The Bad Guys even though the plot is familiar, Shrek may be dreck now but I think with the right marketing and making Puss look fun enough, it could do surprisingly well.

If The Bad Guys does 30m+ this weekend, then I think Minions 2 does 75m+, Puss 2 does 30m+ and Mario does like idk a 70m five day. Universal knows how to market animation aggressively.

Can’t it be both.

Not really. The Bad Guys started previews at 5 pm instead of like 3-4 pm with less than usual showings, not to mention skew more family friendly and likely more female than Sonic. Using the same multiples as other comparisons like Addams Family 2 ($30.9m), Addams 1 ($27.6m), Abominable ($35m) and Encanto ($30.66m using the five day/previews) seems at least $25m+ OW is likely. I didn’t use Clifford and Boss Baby due to day and date interference. (Addams 2 was also day and date but there’s a huge difference between being free on a service and paying $20 to rent factoring in grosses, otherwise it’d behave more like Boss Baby 2 or Space Jam)

If The Bad Guys opens to $30m+, it’d be a win for both Dreamworks but original non-IP animation.

I truly wish there was a good Imax by me but I may settle for it using the local Liemax. Besides, it’ll keep my tradition that I only go the format for animation and Nolan lol as I have only seen four movies in IMAX: Cars 2 Tintin Dunkirk Spider-Verse

As for Top Gun Maverick, you can give me a number of $125m domestic and $285m domestic and neither would surprise me.

I feel a 20x multiple in this situation is too low, it should be over 20m in that scenario.

Honestly, I’m both disappointed and surprised at the bigotry that just went down on here. Thought we were better this. I don’t think anyone here condones what Ezra did but attacking someone for their gender identity is really fucking despicable.

I can change the title to that instead.

Evans is good, hopefully. It’s more of an inside joke that the “realistic” Buzz Lightyear looks like he’d be an anti-vaxxer.

Same but I kind of get it. While I think Lightyear will likely be bigger domestic, Illumination knows how to market their films and the fact that I do think Lightyear will skew older and being action heavy will draw more male than female and probably be a more frontloaded because of it (like Sonic 2 but a bit better legs)