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YM!

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Everything posted by YM!

  1. Not really no. Spider-Verse’s delay was likely to give the animators more time as they’re doing a Part 1/Part 2 thing back to back released in under a year. It has nothing to do with Lightyear.
  2. I trust the team of Lord/Miller/Callahan/Kemp/Thompson/ATLA Guy who ruined Voltron for this, and am glad the animation team is getting a rest and not being pressured to finish on time (I suspect the move wasn’t so much that Sony needed a hit for 2023, but I suspect the old 6/23/23 spot was SpiderVerse 2 Part 2 and needed more time in animation). There’s still a lot of time to move but they chose an absolutely the worst spot in 2023 for it, confidence or not.
  3. What’s the point of summer weekdays when the competition is too big it has an opening weekend of $50m at absolute best. Especially when it faces competition from each of its demographics every week: The weekend prior because The Little Mermaid will do at least $150m for the four day and Fast X doing gangbusters OS. The next weekend is Transformers may not do gangbusters but that’s at least a $50m opening, Pixar (if it doesn’t go to the plus, if it does Sony knows what to do) should also open to at least $50m, The Flash is also going to probably do $90m+ opening and lastly it gets screwed over twice Fourth of July weekend with Indiana Jones and Illumination’s Migration. It is being sent to die.
  4. Honestly, April is wide open at this point. This just feels like they’re sending it to die.
  5. Fuckkkkkkkkkkkkkk! Goddamn it! Not only is the delay saddening but this is going to get fucked over hard by the GA as it releases a week after The Little Mermaid remake. All is lost. Fuck! Sigh. At least Part II is like two days after my 24th birthday.
  6. The difference is WOM and factors for each. Batman had an A- CinemaScore while not amazing was solid enough for a blockbuster and while yes The Lost City had the same CinemaScore and slightly less strong WOM, for some genres it doesn’t hurt as much as a romantic comedy having a B+ is equal to an A for some films kind of like horror. WOM for Dumbledore seems middling to say the least though.
  7. Out of curiosity @keysersoze123 what are this week’s openers looking like, in particular The Bad Guys.
  8. It’s a gut feeling moreso than straight prediction. If the GA loves this one like love loves it, I think legs will be surprisingly strong especially with a weak July.
  9. Most had holidays, I suspect Multiverse will be more frontloaded than usual ala Civil War or Iron Man 3
  10. For summer, here’s my top ten guesses 1. Jurassic World Dominion - $195m/$575m 2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $200m/$475m 3. Thor: Love and Thunder - $175m/$475m 4. Lightyear - $90m/$285m 5. Minions: The Rise of Gru - $70m/$235m 6. Nope - $55m/$230m 7. Top Gun Maverick - $75m/$200m 8. DC League of Super Pets - $45m/$140m 9. Bullet Train - $50m/$140m 10. Elvis - $35m/$120m
  11. I think we’ll hear details around the summer like we did for Luca and Soul in the past, and then a glimpse at D23.
  12. A bit on the weaker side for Sonic in terms of Good Monday holds but solid I guess. FB3 did ight I guess.
  13. Ehhhhhh. I think Incredibles 2 was one of the weakest Pixar that decade and maybe the weakest sequel (yes behind Cars 2). It’s good though just not great 🤷🏿‍♂️
  14. Elvis appeals to the older crowd and is big for them. I’d be shocked if it opened under 20m.
  15. So… you got fooled by a ticketing error on the website despite following it the past week…. Turns out The Bad Guys is at 7 tickets sold, or 6.36% of Sonic 2 ($318k without EA, $397k with it), so low to mid 10m I guess, maybe high 10m. Sigh.
  16. 59.4% drop, not bad as the 62% at first but not as good as $30m would’ve been. Hopefully some stability will come this weekend before The Bad Guys causes a 40%+ drop.
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