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Everything posted by YM!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Despite some IRL troubles yesterday, I’m tackling Endgame tonight from North Shore but also big news. You know what you will get the biggest cinematic experience ever today* as well as the average Endgame. However, since North Shore are Disney shills*, I am going to know start using the 2nd biggest theater in Wisconsin to track Pikachu and the other smaller scaled biggies* as well: Menominee Falls Theater as both are close to me. * These are jokes, so dont @ me Endgame armada, but now I am getting tired of making those jokes as they are now repititive and stale but I loves me some repitition and cringeyness. But it’s the last of them I assure you. -
Here’s the plot for those who are interested: Terrier Max (Patton Oswalt) is coping with some major life changes. His owner (Ellie Kemper) is now married and has a toddler, Liam. Max is so worried about protecting the boy that he develops a nervous tic. On a family trip to a farm, Max and mutt Duke (Eric Stonestreet) encounter canine-intolerant cows, hostile foxes and a terrifying turkey, all of which only elevates Max's anxiety. Luckily, Max gets some guidance from veteran farm dog Rooster (Harrison Ford, making his animated-film debut), who pushes Max to ditch his neuroses, find his inner alpha, and give Liam a little more freedom.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Not to intrude but earlier in the morning I got 1442 for DP. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
To be fair, BOPs long range tracking doesn’t always correlate with actual tracking, Two good examples would be Poppins and Lego 2. And we should also remember that barring Lego Movie 1, WB is notorious for mishandling family films (even Happy Feet, no memory of but I was 6 at the time, which some thought had $300M potential (looking at WOKJ)) limped to barely under $200M due to bad marketing) and it opens on the heels of Endgame despite being a well buzzed family film. I do think it can breakout but I can also see why others have a valid reason to underpredict. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Using comps of Shazam! (excluding the Fandango fan rush) and Incredibles 2 day 1, Pikachu is at $61M to near $100M OW. I don’t think presales will matter to much as if there was a fan rush like MCU/Potter/Star Wars, it’d be apparent, so it may be more likely to perform as a family film or something like JWFK (remember how some said I2 2nd weekend over it). However, I do think we may have overestimated it a bit but breakout possibilities is still there as it is still early. Besides we all know that walkups will be so insane, it’ll break $65M previews/$200M OW with ease*. *- means it’s a joke Also mini Endgame comp before the entree tomorrow (sorry everyone), one showing of Endgame is more than the total for previews of a certain CBM at a certain time. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I can’t see EG with anything under a 55% drop with a $300M OW but stranger things have happened. -
Bump.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
On second thought, the Endgame report will be tomorrow as I should have comparisons and today was stressful. Sorry everyone. -
No Bountiful Christmas?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I also think lower tier CBMs Like Shazam, Ant Man and Venom are good comps as well as strong selling family films, Ralph 2 and Dragon 3. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Using just that, it would translate to a $50M OW, it should grow throughout the night so that’s a good start.