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nomyth

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Posts posted by nomyth

  1. 16 minutes ago, filmlover said:

    Neither of next week's openers strike me as something that would do well in pre-sales. Most of their business will come from walkups.

    I agree that they shouldn't be too presales heavy but they're both selling way less than even Valerian was last week at this time. They need to pick up a lot come next week or else it's likely they'll get lost in the shuffle.

  2. With both Dunkirk and GT breaking out this weekend, it's gonna be especially hard for the two openers next week to outperform expectations. I'm still holding out hope Atomic has a late surge in interest but neither film has sold too well on Fandango so far.

  3. MT

    1. Dunkirk - 35.3%

    2. GT - 17.7%

    3. SMH - 10.1%

    4. WftPotA - 7.8%

    5. Valerian - 7.5%

     

    Pulse

    1. GT

    2. Dunkirk

    3. SMH

    4. Dunkirk IMAX

    5. WftPotA 

     

    Girls Trip is making up a lot of ground now and I'm still feeling good about a big OD.

     

    Btw, I've been confused by everyone saying that they can't see the percentages on MT anymore when on mobile because I've been able to see them just fine in spite of the layout change. I noticed this morning that when I have my phone vertical that the percentages disappear. But when I have my phone horizontal, the percentages show up right under their main stories with the header trending movies . Was wondering if this worked for anybody else.

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  4. 1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:

    Shouldn't be Dunkirk IMAX come out in top 5 here instead of just Dunkirk?  I expect people will flocked into IMAX hall for dunkirk 

    Actually this is something I've always wondered about with MT. I've never seen a second version of any film come up in the top 5. I don't know if sales are combined or if it's just really hard to get a second version in the top 5.

  5. I mean, I understand being cautious about Dunkirk to a degree. I was always skeptical of those 60M predictions a couple months ago. But the positive signs prerelease are certainly undeniable. I could see it being presales heavy but if it builds enough of a lead tomorrow, I don't see how you can deny signs for a breakout. I've got my prediction at a cautious 49M in the derby right now. I could definitely raise or lower a few million tho depending on how it builds tomorrow.

  6. 31 minutes ago, the beast said:

    Is that percentage good for dunkirk?

    I definitely think so. I mean, taking into account that SM is well less than half it was last week, it seems fairly on par with Apes last week. Really depends how much it increases tomorrow tho. I'm expecting it to be well over double SM and Apes by the end of the day. If that plays out, I would think it's gonna be good for a 50M weekend.

  7. MT

     

    1. SMH - 19.4%

    2. WftPotA - 17%

    3. Dunkirk - 14.6%

    4. DM3 - 11%

    5. GT - 5.8%

     

    I'm surprised by how conservative people are with Dunkirk right now. If anything, it seems to be in better shape than Apes was last week. I really don't see it going below 40M and am starting to expect 50+. I'm also expecting 30+ for GT. Apes and SMH will likely get hit pretty hard this weekend.

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  8. Looks like Thor is shaping up to be one of the most overpredicted films this fall. Maybe I'm wrong but I can't for the life of me understand how a Thor/Hulk team up movie would be bigger than the Spidey/Iron Man movie we just had. Not to mention it's guaranteed to drop about 60% in its 3rd weekend. 100/250 would be great but I'm expecting #'s closer to Fate of the Furious. I don't see how it makes 300+.

    • Like 5
  9. Pulse top 5

    1. SMH

    2. PotA

    3. DM3

    4. GT

    5. BD

     

    Strange about Pulse and MT. I'll have to check Pulse on my computer later but both appear to be working on my mobile right now.

     

    Looking ahead, I'm surprised by how little the releases of the 28th seem to be selling. I wonder if they're just getting lost in the shuffle of the new releases for now and if they'll be able to pick up next week. We'll see I guess.

    • Like 3
  10. The only law I'm about this summer is Fandango law. And if it ain't selling much online, chances are interest isn't that high. With that said, things look pretty good for Dunkirk and Girls Trip and not so great for Valerian or the releases of the 28th and 4th.

     

    Over the course of 10 minutes, Dunkirk sold 60 tickets on Pulse, Girls Trip sold 45, Valerian sold 12 and Atomic Blonde sold 1. Haven't seen Emojimovie or Dark Tower pop up lately.

     

    I'm really rooting for Atomic Blonde but I agree that buzz doesn't feel as high as it should. Right now I'm cautiously hoping for a late surge in interest.

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