upriser7
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Posts posted by upriser7
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Surprising to see Oppy actually going down by nearly 8% on Tuesday. Would have made some sense if it was first Tuesday but not something I'd have expected on 3rd Tuesday. I'd guess maybe it overperformed on Monday in Canada due to some Holiday ?
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I don't think there is huge correlation between BO performances of movies in Korea vs Japan. Japan for me feels like a unique market which is lot more unpredictable than rest of the Asian markets
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30 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
You mean, Aug 18 - 20? 14 to 16 is MTW.
lol yeah...Aug 18-20th
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1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:
Will be a closer weekend overseas for both BARBIE and OPPENHEIMER.
Maybe?
46M - 50M BARBIE
42M - 46M OPPENHEIMER
I'd say the August 18-20th weekend might be closer as Oppenheimer will be opening in Korea. Barbie should be ahead next weekend comfortably as it's opening in Japan, UAE, Saudi.
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I am quite confident that there isn't much overlap in white audience that attended Barbenheimer vs white audience that attended SOF. White audience who attended Barbenheimer skew lot more urban and lot younger than white audience that attended SOF
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42 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:
woah...such big difference in ATP of the movies. It looks like Oppenheimer's ATP is almost double that of Barbie's.
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how exactly can one call Barbie not being a spectacle movie but also call Oppenheimer a spectacle ? Oppy is a movie where my opinion of the movie (how much I liked or disliked) wouldn't have much even if I watched it in my laptop at home. For example, movies like Avatar, Interstellar, Dune, MI series etc are what I'd say there is a big difference in watching on big screen vs home, not a movie like Oppenheimer
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Now that Barbie is opening in UAE this Thursday, I checked few OD shows in UAE and they seem to have good occupancies. Hoping for a good opening here...it has good amount of expats from Western countries
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I was sitting in a park yesterday with my gf and I saw an older couple (probably in their 50's) near us. They both were in pink outfits and were in a really good mood, smiling a ton. It looked like they were coming from watching Barbie just then. As they approached us, they started having a casual talk and suggested us to go and watch Barbie lol. They said it's lot of fun and an excellent movie. I was kinda surprised...it's rare to have such kinda casual talks with strangers about a movie
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10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
It is not that Oppenheimer falls off a cliff, it is about how Barbie didn't fall worse when by right that Barbie should burnt off its demand faster. The double the size of OW and weaker WOM didn't stop Barbie from legging out better than Oppen.
I actually thought Barbie would have slightly bigger drop on Friday as it was losing 27% shows and 80% of PLF shows this weekend (5K PLF shows reduced to just around 1K PLF shows now)
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good number for Barbie...it lost 80% of its PLF shows this weekend & 27% of overall shows...it should stabilize from next weekend onwards
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5 minutes ago, Torontofan said:
Yeah that is the issue with bollywood films these days. They make a crap film with a crazy budget that ironically needs a leggy run to make a return.
Before they made films for cheap and be crap and gets a big opening. If it collapses after it dont matter.
I mean 60Cr is not a crazy budget when you consider satellite/streaming/music rights. It's mid-budget for today's standards. Bollywood movies get most of the revenue from streaming/satellite rights than theatrical. Gadar2 would have recouped most of it's budget from these rights itself
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Barbie seems to be losing around 27% of shows and Oppy is losing around 25% of shows this weekend.
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Pretty much all the 6 reviews so far have roughly similar ratings in the range of 2/5 - 2.5/5. So maybe not a total disaster but just seems like a below par movie. I'd guess it might end up at 25-35% at RT
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I forgot that no notable movie in releasing on August 11th...holdovers should see a very good drop that weekend
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2 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:
I don't think the Nolanites were as hard for Dunkirk as critics were. I consistently see them putting it near the bottom of their rankings.
I am in the same boat..I am a big Nolan fan but Dunkirk isn't exactly for me. I wouldn't even have bothered to watch the movie if it was directed by anyone other than Nolan.
Dunkirk & Interstellar are two Nolan movies where you might find notable differences between critics opinion vs Nolanites opinion. Nolanites love Interstellar lot more than critics whereas critics love Dunkirk lot more than Nolanites
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12 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:
Deadline: There’s no stopping Warner Bros. Barbie as sources tell us the Greta Gerwig movie has a shot at hitting the billion mark this Sunday worldwide, if not Monday. Stateside she’s eyeing a third weekend around $55M, -41%, give or take, and she’ll cross the $400M stateside mark by Thursday, her 15th day of release. Through yesterday, Barbie stands at $850M WW.
I don't see how it doesn't cross 1B by Sunday
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5 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:
Number got adjusted up. R$5.8M on monday. We're back.
R$360k-380k
Damn..that looks like a big drop for Oppenheimer
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R$5.8M is a good number though. It made R$36.5M in the weekend...so Monday would be roughly 16% of the weekend number. I am not super familiar with what the local conditions are (summer holidays or not) but for comparison, Barbie did $15M at domestic BO on Monday which was also exactly 16.1% of it's weekend domestic BO number ($93M).
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Wait..Blue Beetle's pre-sales have started today ?
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It looks like Barbie has had slightly better holds than Oppenheimer in 2nd weekend in this region
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Barbie would be at around 410M after end of 2nd week.
If Barbie has 50% weekly drop for rest of it's run, it would finish at 562M
50% weekly drop - 562M
45% weekly drop - 596M
40% weekly drop - 638M
35% weekly drop - 692M
30% weekly drop - 765M
25% weekly drop - 865M
I am leaning more towards that 35% drop scenario..it would put it close to 700M.
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Weekdays Thread: Barbie $9.1M MON | $9.6M TUES
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Luiz's projections are usually quite poor but I really like his account just for the fact that he is the only one that updates daily numbers (also updates drop vs lw, drop vs yday etc) on twitter for most of the movies in multiple markets. He was one of the reasons I got into following Hollywood BO numbers closely during NWH run