SMmadrid90
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Posts posted by SMmadrid90
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4 hours ago, Barnack said:
That was quite the different situation, first Harry Potter was like the second biggest movie ever behind Titanic when it released almost doubled everything that was not an other Intl monster in Lord of the Rings, it was probably closer to a 2 billion movie today than a 1 billion movie.
Going down from that was more like coming down from Jurassic Park, Force Awaken or Avengers and 879 from 975 is an excellent 90% retention rate, 650 from 812 would be 80% in comparison.
80% rate in a spin-off movie without a hugely popular book based on isn't bad at all (yeah i know,it's the same universe but the characters and story are very different)
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10 minutes ago, KP1025 said:
It's discouraging to see such a drop from the previous film. I still remember when the first trailer dropped people were even discussing the possibility of hitting $1 billion WW.
That predictions were very delusional,not even HP hit $1 billion until the last movie and this movies are spin-offs.
FB1 grossed $812 WW so if FB2 gross $650-680 the drop wont be too big (HP1 grossed +900 while HP2 grossed +800,a drop pretty similar) but i think for the next movie JK needs help writing the script because the plot of this one is very messy and dense
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2 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:
Its gonna drop around 30m in China. About 54m domestic (assuming a 180m total which seems a bit optimistic at this point) plus about 12-15m in South Korea.
Thats about 96m drop from just 3 territories alone which will bring the total to about 718m (814m of original minus 96m).
It seems that it will also drop in UK (based on its opening there) and probably Japan as well. So even if this one does the same everywhere else as the first one did, it might still not be enough to get to 700m WW.
At this point I think there is a fair chance this finishes in the 600’s
You're assuming it will do the same or drop everywhere but right now it's overperforming in many countries
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23 minutes ago, kswiston said:
If this film breaks the low 700s barrier of $730M in coming weeks, feel free to point out that I was wrong.
My prediction is $710-740 WW but ok
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13 minutes ago, kswiston said:
Because the domestic Friday was down 20% from Fantastic Beasts 1 when you screen out previews. And the fact that it is a sequel with poorer WOM, and has a much busier fall slate to compete against in coming weeks makes it unlikely to have the legs of the first film (which were pretty great).
$63M this weekend, with similar legs to the Hunger Games sequels is $170-175M domestic. That might end up being generous, as the Mockingjay films were received better by most metrics.
User reviews in China are pretty terrible, and the film will be lucky to hit $60M there off of what is looking like a $36-37M opening. Exhibitioners are going to prioritize Venom for holdover business as a bunch of new films hit there next week. The first Fantastic Beasts opened to ~$41M in China and ended up with around $85M.
All possibilities and "may be/may be not" based on OD,let's wait a couple of weeks before jumping on conclusions please
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16 minutes ago, kswiston said:
Is it?
Fantastic Beasts 2 is a bit more than $20M ahead of the first film internationally after 3 days. But $12M of that is China (which was delayed a week for FB1). FB2 also made more on Wednesday and Thursday. So basically, it's $30.7M overseas minus China on Friday for FB2 vs $29.7M for the first film's international Friday.
Domestic and China are likely to be down at least $90M from the first film combined. Possibly over $100M.
If the rest of the international market drops off quicker than the first film, this could dip under $700M. I think that low 700s is probably the optimistic scenario.
And you already know that those drop offs will happen because....🙄
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5 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:
Let’s not kid ourselves. These numbers are TERRIBLE. She threw every character in the movie (Dumbledore, lestrange, nagini ect.) and it still failed. Dumbledore should have sold this movie like Darth Vader sold Rouge One.
J.K.ennedy needs to hire a good script writer to help her. She doesn’t have the experience. Also the entire “fantastic beasts” premise is STUPID. No one cares about “low-rent doctor who” Newt and Co. These movies should have been a trilogy called: Wizarding World, focused on Dumbledore.
I stopped reading after "J.K.ennedy". Don't feed the troll guys
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5 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
BR and ASIB will have higher dom totals than FB when all is said and done. Solo can breathe easier, finally a movie that will make less.
@RealLyre Previews make it look like he has a lot of screen time yet OW is decreasing. So his screen time has nothing to do with it. It may have to do with legs when the word gets out but most people don't know that he isn't prominent yet.
Do you remember that only 3 HP movies crossed 300M DOM? The first one,HBP and the last one so a sequel of a spin-off is expected to make 190-200 DOM even with Dumbledore. The key of this franchise is OS box office
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1 hour ago, a2k said:
I think it's set to decrease Dom, China, SK, Japan, Aus (mirrors Dom well). Europe has started better than expected but legs may be short.
First film was $494 OS-China + $86 China + $234 Dom = 814 ww
For this one $445 OS-China + $75 China + $190 OS = 710 ww seems reasonable
Don't underestimate the power of Europe,the hype is huge here and we don't care about american critics.The reactions so far are great so i expect really good WOM
FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD | 495.3 M overseas ● 654.9 M worldwide | Trans Rights are Human Right
in International Box Office
Posted
So...the final gross will be $650M more or less? Oh well..i hope the third movie will be able to fix the problems of this one but i don't see some US critics "forgiving" JK and Johnny Depp also a part of the audience really hate both of them now