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MaxAggressor

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Everything posted by MaxAggressor

  1. 8 (16) The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight $5,922,553 +171% 1,854 $3,194 $37,901,298 9 12 (17) Three Billboards Outside Eb… Fox Searchlight $3,840,684 +100% 1,457 $2,636 $37,251,635 12
  2. 15 (14) I, Tonya Neon $3,028,658 +6% 960 $3,155 $18,903,400 8 18 (23) Lady Bird A24 $1,887,226 +58% 1,172 $1,610 $41,610,318 13
  3. From Deadline: This weekend added $17.7M overseas for a $484M international cume. Holds have a rather smoldering intensity in such markets as South Africa (-20%), Spain (-22%), the UAE (-24%), Australia (-25%), Germany (-27%), the Netherlands (-33%), France (-34%), Mexico (-34%), the UK (-35%), and Brazil (-35%). In all this session, Dwayne Johnson, Jack Black, Kevin Hart and Karen Gillan were playing on 10,800 screens in 92 markets. The current Top 5 hubs are China ($72.4M – slowing with increased competition in the market), the UK ($46.3M), Australia ($34.8M), France ($26.1M) and Russia($24.7M). Jumanji 2 is Sony's 5th biggest movie of all time atm. SM:H, Spectre & SM-3 are toast as J2 is definitely going past 900 million. So #2 (behind Skyfall) in Sony's all time list is guaranteed (domestic and WW). On the international front, J2 is likely going to finish at #6 (Skyfall, Spectre, SM-3,SM:H & Da Vinci Code). The release in Japan is going to be long wait- Where the ultimate tally lands will depend on how things go in Japan which releases April 6.
  4. From Deadline: The Christian Gudegast-directed Den of Thieves’ estimated $25M+ P&A backstopped by Diamond Films which also provided gap financing. About 60% of the budget was covered by international pre-sales. When you add in tax credit, it brings more like around 70%.
  5. With NATM legs (3.55 x 6th weekend) from here on out J2 will get to 396.37 million. Let's assume it'll have a mini collapse (BP takes steam off J2's domestic BO run next month) and achieve a 3.2 multiplier after the 6th weekend, then it'll finish with 390.5 million. I'm not sure about the OS figure, but 1.5 times the most recent weekend (China will cease to make a significant contribution) doesn't seem a long shot. So (1.5x17.7) gets the OS total up-to [484+26.5]=510.5 million. World-wide total becomes [390.5+510.5]=801 million. It still hasn't opened in Japan yet so J2 should easily clear 900 million.
  6. Wow. That Saturday number for Jumanji 2 means there's a strong possibility for 16 million this weekend if it follows the pattern set during the previous weekends. 7.6 million on Saturday is J2's biggest Fri-Sat increase in the 4 weekends of 2018 Weekend 3 - 47.2% Weekend 4 - 96.3% Weekend 5 - 95.2% Weekend 6 - 101.3% Plus J2 will also get it's biggest Saturday bump on NATM in 2018 Sat. of Weekend 3 - +50.9% Sat. of Weekend 4 - +60.7% Sat. of Weekend 5 - +55.4% Sat. of Weekend 6 - +66.1% The respective Sun. bumps for J2 w.r.t NATM in 2018 Sun. of Weekend 3 - +73.3% Sun. of Weekend 4 - +81.1% Sun. of Weekend 5 - +83.6% A 73.3% bump over NATM's 2.73 million 6th Sunuday gives J2 a 4.7 million Sunday. That would also mean a Sat-Sun drop of 38.11%. NATM dropped 40.7% on the same day. So giving J2 a similar drop would mean a 4.5 million Sunday figure. The first scenario gets J2 over 16 million for the weekend while the 2nd scenario means a 15.9 million weekend for the movie. I did not even consider the possibility that J2 may actually hold better on Sun. and show similar better bumps w.r.t NATM like it did on Friday and Saturday.
  7. In the last 3 Tuesdays, J2 was up by 3rd Tuesday - +189.4% 4th Tuesday - +192.6% 5th Tuesday - +200.7% So it's actually trending upwards J2 also increased way better on New Year's Eve Weekend and held slightly better on MLK weekend w.r.t NATM. Maybe President's Day+Valentine's Day Weekend will buck that trend what with BP opening. But history does suggest that J2 has exceeded expectations on the holiday weekends. So I wouldn't bet against J2 atm. It might just drop relatively well that weekend and still remain on course for NATM-lite legs after that weekend.
  8. I checked J2's last 4 Friday against NATM's corresponding Friday and it looks like J2 will outpace the 3 previous Friday increments by a good margin. Fri. of Weekend 3 - +51.25% Fri. of Weekend 4 - +46.12% Fri. of Weekend 5 - +56.79% Fri. of Weekend 6 - +66.59% The whole weekend itself is also going to be J2's best w.r.t NATM's corresponding weekend in 2018 Weekend 3 - +56.81% Weekend 4 - +63.74% Weekend 5 - +62.39% Weekend 6 - +65.32% J2 will continue to reign supreme until FSF & BL drops in consecutive weekends next month. But will J2 be able to post significant numbers on and after Feb. 9th??
  9. Deadline updated their Jumanji 2 estimate 2) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 3,553 theaters (-151) / $3.78M Fri (-21%)/3-day: $15.8M (-19%)/Total:$337.4M/ Wk 6
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