Lucasmessi12
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Posts posted by Lucasmessi12
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16 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
No. There will be about a $60m dollar difference in China but around $150m less WW.
No, WW difference will not be $150m, more likely to be around $120m.
And Ant man has bigger budget, likely higher marketing costs, and BO total more dependent on China.
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32 minutes ago, JimiQ said:
It is doing Divergent numbers 🙂 on a similar budget (85 for div vs 80-100 for shaz based on who do U believe)
No, Divergent made $288m WW, Shazam will make at least $100m more than that.
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Age of ultron made R$146m in 2015, that R$187m from BOM is wrong.
https://exame.abril.com.br/negocios/os-filmes-mais-vistos-e-de-maior-renda-no-brasil-em-2015/
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Dumbo is making very good numbers in most of Europe and Mexico, in all others places is a disaster, this is strange.
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17 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Yeah, but even in Brazil, it shouldn't be that far IMO.
Infinity war (which is the biggest OW in Brazil) made R$65m in the opening weekend, Captain Marvel will finish his run around R$148m.,
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33 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Almost everywhere, except US and few others, but also overall, EG weekend will be more than CM full run. I won't be surprised if India 2 days is more than CM full run.
It will happen mostly in front loaded markets, in countries with good legs will be rare (in Brazil for example, it is impossible).
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On 4/6/2019 at 10:13 AM, Brinatico said:
Where are the numbers on this forum. Or this is a typical one where you keep posting the same thing 3 weeks in advance.
Show me some weekend numbers
You've been a bit aggressive, but it's true, these guys keep talking about EG opening day/OW for weeks, everyone knows EG will open big, legs that will be a "problem" if worse than IW.
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20 hours ago, imbruglia said:
international movies don't have legs. they are heavily driven by first week(and second).
mcu have no leg in here is just myth. and considering mcu have huge OW, it do have good legs.
2018 Biggest international movie in korea
Infinity War x2.35 (4,764,495/11,211,880)
Bohemian Rhapsody x14 (709,323/9,939,904)
MI: Fallout x1.99 (3,299,579/6,584,915)
JW Fallen Kingdom x1.75 (3,223,416/5,661,128)
Antman and Wasp x2 (2,626,042/5,447,826)
BP x1.74 (3,097,703/5,398,994)
Venom x1.86 (2,081,202/3,888,096)
Deadpool 2 x1.91 (1,973,335/3,784,602)
COCO x4.13 (849,975/3,513,114 )
Aquaman x4 (1,250,060/5,038,134)
Incredible 2 x2.22 (1,364,502/3,033,052)
FB2 x1.58 (1,519,853/2,414,062)
Searching x5.16 (570,893/2,950,097)
MR2 x1.8 (1,265,956/2,299,732)Mamma Mia 2 x2.66 (861,456/2,293,884)
RPO x2.28 (986,709/2,254,430)...
Bumble bee x1.47 (1,056,143/1,561,644)
Spider verse x1.85 (390,327/723,450)2019
CM x1.85
Alita x1.55 (1,256,871/1,951,814)
Ralph x1.93 (905,182/1,754,375)
how to train your dragon 3 x2.4 (623,676/1,506,933)
Escape Room x1.44 (389,570/562,608)
Glass x1.37 (339,707/466,475)
Happy Death Day 2 U x1.43 (288,142/412,850)It's not a myth at all
most have legs of 2x or less.
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South Korea is the worst market for DC movies, so I already expected bad numbers for Shazam here (Aquaman was an exception).
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5 minutes ago, Matthew said:
Captain Marvel has earned 36.8M in Australia that's very good.
It's in Australian Dollars (still good result).
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6 hours ago, Rebeccas said:
I mean do these comps matter when it's clearly not going to make more than Antman total let alone GOTG lmao
The big difference will be in China only, OS-China Shazam and Ant man will be very similar, So a comparison between Ant man and Shazam OS-China markets is fair.
I was expecting better numbers, mainly because of China, I was hoping that Shazam could make something between $120m- $ 130m here. , but this movie will do enough to have a sequel, Shazam also has a good reception from critics and audience WW (except in China and Korea), and this is also important for this film to receive green light and have a sequel.
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One of the worst possible release dates ever, I have no idea what Lionsgate was thinking when they decided to put that movie on that date.
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On 4/6/2019 at 10:32 AM, The Horror of Lucas Films said:
Jesus Christ, it generated more profits for Warner than any DCU outside of WW/AQM, and almost the same of FB1!!! Not a surprise it's an A-list franchise for them, it's profiting like the biggest franchises out there.
It's a bit less than Suicide Squad (almost same, very small difference $158.4 vs $155m), but yeah, profit from that movie was insane, I think it's bigger than both The Conjuring movies too (which is the main franchise of that universe).
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43 minutes ago, DMan7 said:
A joker, lex and black adam stanalone villain movies are enough. The Squad will handle the rest of the villains.
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3 hours ago, Jormungard said:
If a movie flops "its China, doesnt matter, studios only get 25%"
If a movie is a hit "chinese people have bad taste"
Seriously, why do you people keep shitting over China?
Everyone knows that Lordnox is a troll account, do not take it seriously.
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5 hours ago, Omni said:
Explain how a superhero movie opening at 70M in ALL OS markets but China is "very good". It is not good in absolute terms, it is not good relative to expectations, it is awful considering the incredible strength of the genre. It is decent only when you look at the budget.
At this point, I declare Dumbo a success, too...
Dumbo = $170m budget
Shazam = $85m Budget.Dumbo is a live action adaptation from Disney , which also comes from several recent big hits (Beauty and Beast, Jungle book, Maleficent , Cinderella), and Dumbo is certainly a more well-known character abroad than Shazam.
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5 hours ago, Jormungard said:
What a comeback!
AM&TW $3.5 - $13m
AM $3.8m - $12.4m
MOS $3.9m - $16m
Shazam! $5.1m
GotG2 $6.8m - $20.9m
AQM $7.2m - $36.2
WW $7.3m - $33.5mI knew those Deadline initial numbers had something wrong (Deadline said that Shazam had done 0.8m by Friday, it is probably Thursday+Previews numbers.), now things look more normal, $5.1m is a good start and Brazil has good legs. will beat Ant man and Ant Man 2 and probably MOS also (MOS would have made $25m+ if it had not been delayed for more than 1 month here), maybe it will will reach GOG2 in dollar, It will be hard because Endgame is coming (will pass in local currency probably, but exchange rates are horrible now, bad news for Endgame too).
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I was hoping for a more exotic and young looking actress to play Sersi, but ok.
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29 minutes ago, Matthew said:
BP started Low in many countries. CM was much more hyped overseas.
Going by your argument Infinity war was also front loaded overseas. Does it mean Endgame will drop? 😱😱😱
Since when Infinity war is an original/non-sequel movie? and IW was not inflated by the help of other movie....
90% of original CBMs (with good reviews / reception) have 3x + legs in the OS-China markets, CM OW/general numbers are inflated by the Endgame tie in (especially OS) this is obvious!
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12 minutes ago, terrestrial said:
Do you earnestly compare a high starter to small starters? (starter = 1st movie of the character)
Even black panther has 3x legs in the OS-China markets, CM will be less than 2.5x. a clear signal that CM OW Overseas/and total numbers were inflated.
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14 minutes ago, thedast said:
CM's numbers for her sequel might depend on how she's used in Endgame, just like I feel certain Dr Strange's sequel will be boosted by his popularity in IW.
Doctor strange 2 is sure to have an increase OS, Doctor strange (2016) had no endgame tie en boost, CM 2 i doubt it!
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17 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
CM 2 ain't dropping anywhere.
Will not drop OS ? I'm sure it will drop, Endgame tie en is clearly giving a big boost OS, just see legs , CM has legs similar to sequels in the OS-China markets. less than 2.5x legs in these markets, is not normal for original movies with good reviews (it is usually more than 3x) this is clearly a sign of endgame influence).
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22 minutes ago, shuotong said:
Both deadline and bom have the budget 100M.
Only Deadline says it's has a $100m budget (BOM probably using Deadline as a source), Variety says it's $80m, and Hollywood Reporter between $80m and $90m.
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With the vast majority of the cast back and reprising the same roles, is impossible that this film could be considered a total reboot, this producer is drunk!
most have legs of 2x or less.
New Weekend Thread..Shazam 6.3 Little 5.3 Hell 4.9...NO FLAME WARS PLEASE!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Let's make a bet? Do you delete your account if Shazam reaches $388m? I delete mine if it does not reach , what do you think Thanos boy?