Needing 500M to breakeven means that it needs 500M of box office to breakeven. That is after ancillaries. If something is below the breakeven point, that means failing to breakeven after ancillaries. It comes from the 2.5x rule of thumb which includes prod costs, marketing cost, other costs vs theatrical rev+ancillaries.
Other 300+:
dory
frozen 2
TS4
PotCDMC
IM3
T:RotF
SMFFH
gotg2
SW:RotS
Minions Gru
thor L&T
Two towers
Excluding McU, mostly the latter case of typical Hollywood sequels imo
Want to see other sats to get a sense of this being a strong marvel sat vs a weak vet effect — various holidays have sometimes been muted post-pandemic.
He had a choice to act reasonable after the relatively short initial ban period was up and instead burnt that bridge down like a retreating Russian army