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Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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5 minutes ago, filmlover said:
The grosses of the Mission: Impossible movies range from $180M (the first from '96) to $220M (Fallout) with MI3 as the outlier for understandable reasons (6 year wait between movies, blah reception to MI2, actual Cruise Fatigue from his odd public behavior the previous year), so I guess if this hits $160M it won't be that far off the mark? I don't know, this franchise clearly has a ceiling if you ask me.
This nominal steadiness is just a sign of secular real decline. When MI10 does $190 in 2031 that’ll be pretty eh.
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Since I see some chatter about show holds next weekend wanted to take a look back at the discussion last wknd and how it turned out:
QuoteFWIW:
Movie Shows Change Gross PSA Indiana Jones 5 68,347 -31.15% $27,000,000 $395 Insidious 6 63,877 $33,000,000 $517 Joy Ride 46,097 $5,850,000 $127 Elemental 36,597 -14.92% $9,600,000 $262 Ruby Gillman 31,974 -28.67% $2,800,000 $88 Sound of Freedom 31,280 $19,000,000 $607 Spider-Verse 2 30,229 -20.12% $8,000,000 $265 No Hard Feelings 27,981 -25.94% $5,250,000 $188 Transformers 6 23,616 -21.56% $5,000,000 $212 The Little Mermaid 17,956 -27.01% $3,500,000 $195 The Flash 12,416 -56.39% $2,215,000 $178 Asteroid City 12,045 -51.42% $2,240,000 $186 Past Lives 5,026 -55.09% $1,000,000 $199 Guardians Vol. 3 4,723 -45.08% $1,000,000 $212 Showcounts sourced from @katnisscinnaplex, an incomplete but substantial coverage.
Ruby will get pasted, Joy Ride may have some 2 wk contract protection but it’s gone on barbieheimer wknd, and then there is a lot of 200ish stuff which can give up screens to provide some protection for Elemental/SV2/Indy. SOF may expand? The Sunday from marks suggests a great 2nd weekend imo retaining 2nd place PSA after MI and maybe even 2nd place gross if things get funky.
On 7/14/2023 at 7:01 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:Movie TC Shows Change Standard Last PSA PLF IMAX 3D Mission: Impossible 7 3,546 100,031 86,577 13,454 4,130 0 Insidious 6 2,802 43,287 -20.22% 43,218 516.82 69 0 0 Indiana Jones 5 3,194 40,724 -40.42% 40,627 401.20 97 0 0 Sound of Freedom 2,719 36,577 16.93% 36,565 629.18 12 0 0 Elemental 2,685 35,171 -3.90% 33,547 274.13 1,624 0 1,568 Joy Ride 2,470 26,152 -32.20% 26,120 125.96 32 0 0 Spider-Verse 2 2,161 25,604 -15.30% 25,580 265.65 24 0 0 No Hard Feelings 1,696 19,455 -30.47% 19,455 193.15 0 0 0 Transformers 6 1,739 16,997 -28.03% 16,042 216.21 955 0 883 The Little Mermaid 1,329 11,623 -35.27% 11,221 205.49 402 0 385 The Miracle Club 612 8,364 8,364 0 0 0 Ruby Gillman 1,444 7,715 -75.87% 7,700 89.02 15 0 0 Asteroid City 620 6,283 -47.84% 6,259 187.03 24 0 0 Psycho-Pass 385 5,247 5,247 0 0 0 The Flash 676 4,335 -65.09% 4,306 182.49 29 0 0 Not too shabby — SV2 and (especially) elemental were indeed protected by cuts elsewhere, even as SoF did indeed expand.
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1 minute ago, upriser7 said:
So Elemental's pre-sales for Sunday are down by 24% from Saturday pre-sales whereas for MI7, they are down by 32%. Not bad
Notably these are sales for “Sunday and beyond” not just for Sunday. We will get CGV for that in ~15 mins and nationwide in ~50
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11 minutes ago, Algebra said:
Pretty sure he knows
Shhhhhh, I’ve already got 3 bites
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3 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:
SOF will make 1b DOM after the trump screening
75M Trump votes*10.5 atp won’t even get you to nwh
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I find it extremely impressive how the estimate rose 2.5M from Rth late night, must have gone crazy on Pacific AM shows
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1 hour ago, across the Jat verse said:
FRI around 17.
Wow look at that jumped over 100% after all
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Man that is barely 60% up from opening sat, it truly is joever
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22 minutes ago, Eric Stickell said:
You're an Easy A.
(sorry, this is my last one)
You're a last one
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7 minutes ago, Rainy said:
14.5 Friday per Charlie on twitter. Damn.
Hopefully other Fris don’t come down by 10%
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10 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:
Disney got spooked with the word "Princess" after The Princess and the Frog so I guess it would be "Disney's A"
Disney’s Easy A
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16 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
Are Deadline adding that straggling early previews $2m to MI7's Friday? If not that internal multi is way off. Should do at least a 3.5 (Fallout did 3.58 in it's 2nd w/e)
I think D3-5 IM being below D8-10 is quite reasonable, I have ~3.35
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Anyway Elemental has a better hold from 5th/OW than Flash’s 2nd/OW
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6 minutes ago, baumer said:
I think deadline has a deficiency in mathematics. They are saying that sound of freedom will do 6 million on Friday which is 15% increase from thursday. Thursday did 4.5 million. I'm pretty sure that's a bit more than a 15% increase.
That’s the weekly increase mate 😛
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Just now, cannastop said:
Post extra cancelled, we have records of E.T. having an 80 day streak.
80s is cheat
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10 minutes ago, cannastop said:
Puss in Boots 2 got to 28 days
Pathetic. Surely there are plenty of 40+
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5 minutes ago, cannastop said:
I'd be impressed if you were correct.
Looking to make it 31 days this wknd with something like a 15-20% drop imo. The lowest weekday of this set will be 1.57 so next mon and wed should hover ~ 1.3M imo for easy 38 days. Surviving barbenheimer on day 39 and barben+mansion previews on 42 are the only dicey parts but I suspect based on PSA/demos that it will survive pretty well.
Wonder what the best 1M streaks are for movies without any wknd over 30M.
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What if I told you that Elemental will make it 45-52 days 😎
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1 hour ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:
Flat weekend incoming for SOF?
I already told you 20+ a while ago 😛
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7 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:
How does this sound
8.8
8.5
8+
16-18
20-23
16-18 // 77-858+ for th would be a good sign definitely, still not a particularly
impressive opening for the franchise though
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5 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:
I guess this is karma for all the Flash dunking. You killed that film, and now some QAnon propaganda is killing your film.
What is this even supposed to mean? Do you think box office hobbyists relentlessly mocking Flash’s epic flop had any kind of effect on its gross?
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6 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:
First they came for the capeshit, and I did not speak out—because I was not a nerd
Then they came for the legacyquels and I did not speak out—because I was not middle-aged.
Then they came for the kino —and there was no one left to speak for me.
Reversed timeline
TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here
in Numbers and Data
Posted
As for this week:
SoF isn’t 2nd in PSA after all
I expect we’ll see extreme volume hold (or even further expansion?) for SoF, MI falling to some 40k or so, Elemental by 30%ish, and extreme slash to the rest to make way for 200k+ new demand.