Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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11 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:
it's the first time ever than we have two animation movies of the Annual Top 3
Woah, this is a wild stat
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6 minutes ago, Mulder said:
Like to elaborate on this 8/10 of the years in the 2010s had a Disney film at #1, and in the two years where they weren't they were still in the Top 3 highest grossers. This kind of massive brand collapse of like...everything Disney, not just one sub-brand is going to take a bit to recover from.
Wild how with 10s of B on the line they simply could not manage to write decent scripts 🤣
Not even like, great, just… not awful
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10 minutes ago, Eric Bonaparte said:
Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom T-30: 56.59% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 93% chance of 50M, 71% chance of 60M, 64% chance of 70M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M
Low Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M
Incredible gap between quorum metrics and sales for this one
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14 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Any new Wednesday numbers? I sure hope Napoleon rebounded a bit because that OD IM DHD mentioned is absolutely atrocious.
The reception seems exceptionally bad too so I dunno if I’d expect much from 3day/wed.
Kind of mind boggling that this nov will probably lose to all since 1997 unadjusted — the average ticket price is like 250% of what it was then
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Najor Theater Chain
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FWiW since I had someone on Reddit ask me several time to put my AQM2 thoughts in this thread, my read of this start (mostly going off Porthos Lannister jat keyser) is ~3-4.5 previews, 5-6 IM (this may seem very pessimistic but the Fri Dec 22 release is really bad for IM — you make it up on total/ow), 4-5 legs unless reception overperforms. Midpoint say 3.5->20 -> 85, could get very close with Marvels
Absolutely dead genre which is awkward since it’s been propping the industry up for some half dozen years. A lot will hinge on whether Gunnverse and the at this point inevitable hard course correction of saga 2 can return to solid nums or not.
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21 minutes ago, Legion Again said:
another win for the buzz thread 😎😎🔥
Not a joke, folks — real meltdown energy is first days of PS, by the time ow rolls around megaflops are old news
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We’re in our JP3/PT era.
Problem is, can’t really take a 10 yr break and wait for nostalgia cycle to kick, so… more like JL era
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1 minute ago, Hatebox said:
52 pages. I guess the frenzy predicted by the hyper-cynical thread title never materialised.
another win for the buzz thread 😎😎🔥
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6 hours ago, Hatebox said:
But that’s my point - if those jobs are that dependent on MCU sustaining itself then the industry is already in a bleak place. In a healthy industry there’d be a ton of other projects they could easily work on outside of that, because in a healthy industry the mid-market wouldn’t have been gutted out.
Depending in part on something that could fail and depending in part on something that is failing are just very qualitatively different situations, I’m not sure what more to say 🤷♂️
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7 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said:
It might take time, but the market always self corrects
Well, now we’ll get to see — but I don’t see much in the past 20 years of declining moviegoing to suggest that this is/will necessarily be the case
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13 hours ago, Hatebox said:
If the industry is that dependent on the mcu it’s already in a bleak place.
scorcese was right: audiences have been conditioned to see films as content, and there’s a price to be paid for that when they also get content at home.
You might think that it was previously in a bleak place qualitywise or whatever but I hope you can see the difference between that and literally a bunch of further closures job losses etc.
If MCU was performing well it’s worth like 1.5B+ DOM per year, current level looks more like 500M or something. That’s a pretty appreciable chunk of the whole post-pandemic market!
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5 minutes ago, filmlover said:
It really does seem like people are just not very enthusiastic about going to the movies anymore unless something that comes off as an actual event of some kind comes along (at least for opening weekend). Which seems like a sign of trouble for the movie studios this holiday season, given the apparent lack of a movie that's looking to unite everyone in excitement.
The collapse of the MCU is going to put the industry in a very bleak place unless we can keep having random surprise hits like TGM Mario and Barbenheimer, which is a model I’m a little skeptical of. Interesting to see how the next few years shake out
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Doing probably less than 2/3 of AM1 OW admissions, the prior record holder. Guess it’s only fitting for the most impressive project in Hollywood history (saga 1) to be followed by the most impressive collapse (saga 2) 🤔 🥴
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3 minutes ago, parkerthegreat said:
I'm not dumpster diving in this thread, someone want to do me a favor and please post the current numbers and midnights or put them in the thread title? Thanks.
6.6 th expected ~21M full OD for 45-50ish
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8 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:
A MrBeast movie might actually do gangbusters tbh. Not sure what the heck it would be about though lol
It’s time to dig 10000 wells
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1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:
It 100% has nothing to do with quality. It was tracking way below $10M previews which is a big red flag for any MCU sequel
It’s all about quality — the quality of MoM, L&T, QM and to a lesser degree even Secret Invasion. The Marvels quality itself being meh doesn’t help but I guess it will do like 50->125 and if it was great maybe that could be like 60->200 or whatever which is still very floppish.
Not exactly the sort of weekend that’s going to rekindle my interest in BO but it is objectively very notable/interesting so I hope some people have fun this weekend
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4 hours ago, Porthos said:
(IYKYK)
((long time thread readers should def know, ftr))
Don't worry Porthos, I'll save you:
FNAF $39M OW. Source? My guess
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Post pandemic donut hole narrowed to 225-295.
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15 hours ago, Bob Train said:
Essentially decanonizing Secret Invasion and pretending it never happened is probably the right decision.
Looks like they're doing the same with Eternals too lol.
Nah. Would be good with secret invasion but bad(+they aren’t) with eternals
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2 hours ago, vale9001 said:
imo opinion you should considered 25% of the tickets children (0-12) + seniors (13.13 dollars) + 75% with 19.89 dollars tickets.
(standard screening)
For Imax screenings (right now the ones have sold more tickets with no surprise) tickets are 18.13 seniors + children, 24.89 standard ticket (25%-75% seems always a good split).
In my opinion atp right now it's like 21.50-22 dollars 😅
I’d go for a 5:1 adult split is 18.76 for standard/23.76 for imax. Not sure where final imax % will settle based on showing availability in the region, @Porthos should have the better idea there, but something like $19.5-20ish probably what I’d use (15-25% imax).
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8 hours ago, Willowra said:
If Ant-Man 3 had received better, how much do you think it would have grossed at the box office? I don't think it would have crossed $300m even with the good reception.
With good reception it was heading for like 140->350 easy
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3 minutes ago, SnokesLegs said:
but to come close to Endgame it has to cross over to people who aren’t fans of Swift
Nope, not even close.
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12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
I am still stunned that the even we did not even know exist 48 hrs ago is the biggest pre-sales event of the year already !!! Great thing is it’s not from a big studio.
The hierarchy of the Hollywood universe has changed
Numbers wide this was a great 2nd day, sky is the limit
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Thanksgiving 5-days Weekend thread | BOSS: 42.2m, Napoleon: 32.75m, Wish: 31.6m, Trolls: 25.6m, Thanksgiving: 10.9m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Seems destined to be the largest of the final 9 DDEU movies!