Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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13 minutes ago, john2000 said:
Nah it will take quite a while to be a problem and even then i dont expect something different in terms of measures
Might want to read more on the new variant John. You know I’ve generally been an optimistic post-vaccines but there is a substantial tail risk here.
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The stock markets have CJ’s back this time 👀
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To be honest b11529 may flip my position on a lot of these bullish clubs. We’ll see how things look in 3 days when the previews prediction is locking.
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Croods run was almost entirely pre-vaccine and largely in the midst of our worst wave with many theaters closed outright+widespread low seating caps. Definitely more impressive than what Encanto seem to be heading for here.
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The actual meltdown bar is 151,116,516 in case anyone was curious.
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3 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:
Guys, how does it make any sense that Disney would just move it to Disney+ and avoid any and all theatrical rental if theaters are opening and running?
The reason others went to D+ is they were trying to grow subscribers early on and theaters were closed or partially open.
I mean, I don't personallythink it would be a good idea, but they did make Luca D+ when they weren't early on and theaters were pretty reopened (in some ways the Luca release date being pre delta was a better date than most of 2H 2021)
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10 minutes ago, Maggie said:
It's true tho. People have been accustomed to watch movies at home this year (especially the adult dramas). It will take a while to get them outta house to a cinema again. I don't know if Memorial Day weekend will be the true test tho
When people decide they don’t want to come out to see certain products that much: people are still scared, they’re accustomed to streaming, yadda yadda, structural factors fully explain this miss
When people decide they do want to come out to see certain other products: *crickets*
Like sure, there is some truth to the fact that there are still structural challenges, but even within a structurally challenged market you still have movies doing better or worse than expected. The existence of the former means you can’t just trot out the structural stuff to explain away the latter.
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“People have to understand we’re still in recovery” talk always seems to happen around underperformances 🤔
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12 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
It should be called Kate Bishop though, Hailee is stealing the whole show already.
The show is literally titled after her character, what more do you want
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These numbers are bad y’all. Gucci is the least bad because it’s an adult drama that will at least almost match Tom and Jerry or whatever.
And yes, looking at 2020 there is some chance that 5day/wed will go high again — if things change, they will have changed, and not be the same.
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11 hours ago, Eternal Legion said:
Personally I’d say that 4.20 Gucci OD is fate 😏
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4 hours ago, Eric Madrigal said:
Finally, a good one
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Okay, that source seems a little more reliable. So tickets on sale Sunday for 3/4 of the time zones 😛
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17 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
I didn’t need or want anything explained.
I made an observation that people were reacting as if the new batch of films had underperformed, when it doesn’t look like they’re going to (and we don’t even have opening day numbers yet).
And I pointed out that whether a film underperforms and people react as such has nothing to do with official tracking. If Jat’s early numbers stick, it will be an underperformance in the eyes of many, even if you don’t agree.
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9 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Fixed
That’s not fixing it, it’s breaking it! Before your edit it served as an accurate explanation to your implied question — “why do people seem sad with these (potential) numbers.” The version you changed it to no longer functions to explain that which you seemed to want explained!
9 minutes ago, Krissykins said:You might think it’s not worth caring about, but it’s the only measurement we’ve got to see if a film has met industry expectations or not.
“It’s the only measure of X” is kind of meaningless when it’s still a weak measure of X and there isn’t much reason to care about X in the first place.
9 minutes ago, Krissykins said:Personal predictions aside. The industry tracking is notable at least in one way, because obviously it’s how the trades and media will react to the final numbers. After all, they’re the ones who influence the reception of a films performance.
Yeah, this part is true. If you want to predict the tone of hwr articles or whatever, comparing to the “industry tracking” is very useful. But most people on here don’t care that much if a performance they think was underwhelming gets written up as “beats (lowballed) expectations” in some magazine or not.
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12 hours ago, Menor said:
Gwen is easily the best of the main 3 love interests to me. I also liked the more recent MJ but she isn't as developed as Gwen was. I hated Raimi's MJ, found her annoying and honestly wanted Peter to just dump her and find someone less manipulative.
Live action spider-Gwen
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FWIW though BOP went pretty high this weekend, which is an unusual move from them (though they were also high on bond, in recent memory).
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23 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
$3m and $6.25m true Wednesdays would be decent and still secure $20m and $40m 5 days. Both on the high end of tracking.
From some reactions already, you’d think this was the Eternals weekend thread again, but it doesn’t look like any of these are missing their tracking.
People don’t care about official tracking because official tracking isn’t worth caring about. I feel like I have to say this in every single weekend thread when things look like they might go low.
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6 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:
Well hopefully we get an update soon.
In about 8 hours, soon in a sense
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1 minute ago, Ronin46 said:
I guess Gucci could recover a little being an adult drama but not sure Encanto would really pick up as the day went on.
Both figs would be extrapolated to end of day based on genre, so could go up or down. Personally I’d say that 6.9 Encanto true wed +4.20 Gucci OD is fate 😏
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24 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Gucci mid day was looking ~3M. Encanto ~6.25M
granted this was like 7-8 hours ago.
40 and 19 then
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They should go 23:59 for maximum tilt
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15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
FYI already 2K+ showings at mtc1 for spidey. What time is PS starting?
Saw a rumor it was 00:01 eastern, but pretty skeptical of the source. Something like 09:00 eastern would be more typical iirc.
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
in China At The Box Office
Posted
Inb4 CNY 2022 is cancelled