Legion Again
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Posts posted by Legion Again
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Guys, you learn nothing from comparing 2022 openings to the 2020-2021 stuff. They were a combination of severely impacted and low wattage. I am not going to be gentle with DS2 if it misses 160 — it is okay to treat movies with real expectations instead of kid gloves
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I mean let’s wait for fri here. It’s not going to be full on disaster but missing 140 with this atp is mid at best considering the franchise ow history.
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34 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:
Huge win for Batman. Anyone who says otherwise doesn't know box office.
Decent midrange number for the Batman. Anyone who says that people saying so doesn’t know box office:
A) doesn’t know box office
B ) is being unnecessarily condescending which is not a good look to pair with being wrong on the initial claim 😬
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It’s not like this is ambiguous either, the posts are all right there if you want to read what people thought as final predictions instead of referencing what you imagined they thought 😂
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3 minutes ago, grim22 said:
Feels like the tracking team is just angry and defensive it didn't come in below 20M so that you could claim credit again for accurately calling sub-20 being possible.
Holy fuck man. For real this is infuriatingly ignorant and misleading. The actual forecast were low 20s. It’s low 20s. It was extremely on point and now you’re trying to spin it as a miss because you had misunderstanding of what was predicted (or are deliberately referencing the lowest possible nums thrown around to make it look better for Batman)???
Just stop.
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Deadline updated to 4+17.6 fwiw
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3 minutes ago, grim22 said:
Really? Didn't the tracking thread go in on "sub 20M is happening" yesterday with maybe 15-16M true Thursday.
This feels like trying to manufacture a victory. The tracking thread was off here.
No.
no no no no no
please actually read tracking posts if you’re going to comment on their accuracy, JFC
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Interestingly the non atp true th was closest. More mtc1 heavy than NWH even removing the early stuff, mostly expected nothing too extreme.
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Just now, Cmasterclay said:
Pretty good, that's probably around 19m true Thursday (I can't imagine Wednesday was much gross)
Like 17.5-18 true probably, Wednesday was near tues.
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1 minute ago, fmpro said:
Is There any end credits??
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9 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:
1. Titanic - 17.61M
2. Home Alone - 8.22M
3. Avatar - 8.12M
4. E.T - 6.63M
5. Aladdin - 6.32M
6. Frozen - 6.23M
7. Beverly Hills Cop - 5.86M
8. Forrest Gump - 5.46M
9. Ghost - 5.44M
10. Ghostbusters - 4.68M
Aladdin is counting the two wknds limited I think, that looks like the 10th wide wknd. 12th wide was pres, where the only figure I can find is a 6.7M 4day, but probably corresponds to a 5Mish 3day so still above Busters.
NWH needs a 19.3% drop for Busters.
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Atp will now be fixed at $1 USD in all territories for convenience
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2 minutes ago, MrPink said:
Did Cap make this title.
It's Cap in my headcanon.
1000%
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Ah yes, “intuition.” If you want people to take that seriously (as a force which consistently outperforms more analytic approaches, rather than sometimes beating them for purely stochastic reasons) then I guess you could always go and drub people in the derby
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On 3/2/2022 at 9:35 AM, ZeeSoh said:
4.5-5.0 million this coming weekend, which is a drop of around 14-22% from last weekend. is not gonna happen due to Batman's opening.
👀👀
Hey @Tokugennumataka, what do you have for top 12th weekends?
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11 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:
Movie Theaters Shows Change Standard PLF IMAX 3D The Batman 3,553 171,959 158,279 13,680 4,765 0 Uncharted 3,196 44,220 -37.10% 44,103 117 9 0 Dog 2,985 37,391 -10.70% 37,327 64 0 0 Spider-Man: NWH 2,360 25,101 -6.48% 25,015 86 0 37 Death on the Nile 2,226 24,861 -19.13% 24,815 46 0 0 Studio 666 2,027 9,113 -69.92% 9,104 9 0 0 Jackass Forever 1793 16578 -44.52% 16558 20 0 0 Sing 2 1,581 11,270 -23.89% 11,214 56 0 21 Marry Me 936 5,641 -77.10% 5,641 0 0 0 Hotel Transylvania 4 759 5,942 5,933 9 0 0 Cyrano 712 7,789 -14.79% 7,789 0 0 0 Scream 694 4,763 -55.04% 4,744 19 0 0 The Cursed 424 2,319 -81.66% 2,316 3 0 0 Blacklight 350 2,275 -77.89% 2,275 0 0 0 Bheemla Nayak 247 1,832 -43.11% 1,832 0 0 0 Worst Person 239 1,361 -69.49% 1,361 0 0 0 Jhund 222 1,934 1,934 0 0 0 Moonfall 213 1,074 -82.47% 1,074 0 0 0 Encanto 209 1,016 -67.63% 1,007 9 0 9 Oscar Nom Shorts 232 2,020 -34.44% 2,020 0 0 0 US showtime sample for 3/4/22 weekend
OW shows comps
Batman- 171,959
- No Way Home - 206,421 (3,340 TC)
- Black Widow - 156,781 (3,409)
Future Releases
T-2 Week Previews
Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - 2,855 (1,454)
- Jackass Forever - 2,779 (1,845)
- Halloween Kills - 2,694 (1,368)
X - 1,829 (1,297)
- The 355 - 1,846 (1,191)
- House of Gucci - 2,045 (1,402)
T-3 Week Previews
Lost City (Fandango EA 3/19) - 76 (75)
Lost City (Girls Night Out 3/22) - 116 (115)
Lost City (Date Night Out 3/23) - 400 (398)
Lost City (Thursday Only) - 5,334 (1,929)
- Scream - 3,888 (1,802)
- No Way Home - 5,529 (793)
Three days of early shows for Lost City... 😒
Crossposting. NWH was barely touched. Combined with the amazing vertical from wed and I think a 30% drop or better is likely.
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1 minute ago, Eric Says Trans Rights said:
Paramount sucks lol
5 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:Lost City (Fandango EA 3/19) - 76 (75)
Lost City (Girls Night Out 3/22) - 116 (115)
Lost City (Date Night Out 3/23) - 400 (398)
Lost City (Thursday Only) - 5,334 (1,929)
Three days of early shows for Lost City... 😒
Wombo combo
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Finally back, in my rightful place… as NWH max
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5 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
Right, that's why you were supposed to go with the contest people - I mentioned a week ago, 4 of us were between $159-$160M total DOM OW:)...you know random WAGs are always gonna be better than actual data:)...
Cannot believe you would make such outlandish statements in a 100% serious manner like this, but I just don’t see any other possible interpretation.
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1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:
The reported gross by WB is $360K on day 1. Though as always they can be wrong. Feel really weird that they get Indonesia wrong so often.
Did they just report admits as gross
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2 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Are we fucking with 150M or is RPATZ destined for arthouse European porn?
We’ll have to see just what these walkup hype posts amount to when the preview number hits. It’s not impossible, doesn’t seem very likely to me atm. Not much has happened since last night 😛
THE BATMAN WEEKEND THREAD | 134M OW DOM, 258.2M WW | Biggest WB opening since BvS. First non Disney-affiliated 100M OW since 2018
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Well, that is a mathematical fact I will not dispute. But it seems like you’re trying to imply something from it which does not actually follow.