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Legion Again

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Posts posted by Legion Again

  1. More studios should follow WB’s lead here. Just throw some really upcharged PLF only showings up for Mon Tues and Wed night (these would easily sellout even with another 20% price increase imo) can snag some good WOM from the diehards and more of them will contribute to “OW” twice than if you started on Th.    
     

    Main problem may be if people start discussing the plot openly on on social media by Tues.

  2. 50 minutes ago, Porthos said:

     

    At some point though, actual contracts with other movies come into play.  "Play fair" is the phrase EC used, I believe.

     

    Right. And as EC and I agree, the US norms around theatrical contracts are excessively limiting to little benefit for either party ;)    
     

    It doesn’t really matter in a practical sense for any past or future megaopeners, but their (relatively) low screen counts vs 6 week old movies making nothing is philosophically/aesthetically displeasing and a minor personal hobbyhorse 😛 

  3. 30 minutes ago, Porthos said:

     

    I just disagree that it was "dumb small", even if you're employing hyperbole, as it is far easier to add more showtimes than cut them back if one over-estimated demand.

     

    As it is, I think they met demand just about right as time went on, given the lack of sellouts.  Yes, covid-hesitancy was a factor when it came to lack of sellouts, but not that big of a factor.

     

    Where theaters (and others) fell down was setting enough bandwidth aside to handle the server crunch.  Or at least get their "waiting rooms" back up and running.  So, yeah, that was a dumb decision.  But number of showtimes?  Just can't convince me that initial, ramp up, or ending sets weren't fine.

    Well, it isn’t really consequential what size the initial set is tbf. But the rapid ramp up from that initial set (which, as you yourself pointed out was more than endgame) indicates that the initial set was probably low from the theaters perspective and they would have gone higher if they had a better grasp on demand for wss, NWH, and alley. And based on the per show occupancy I bet theaters could have done more total business that weekend by cutting half their final nonNWH shows for more NWH shows.

  4. 24 minutes ago, Porthos said:

    I suppose there are two things which can be true.  1) Theaters set aside a ludicrous number of showtimes for NWH AND 2) they still underpredicted the demand out there.  

    Yeah, that’s what I mean. NWH was the only game in town that weekend with 12x the business of everything else combined, far exceeding Endgame’s previous record of 8x. I think even the amount of shows it ended up with was probably below what made sense under the circumstances (not that I expect it made much difference).

  5. On 2/5/2022 at 9:21 AM, RiddlerXXR said:

     

    If things stay near Deadline's prediction, I misread NWH about equal to you on Moonfall. Sing will be better for me, while RL and Jackass will be better for you. The rest look basically to be a wash. 

    Razor tight here. Going to be determined by KM (your 1.25 vs my 1.26), RL (your 1.01 vs my 1.00) and AU (your .81 vs my .83).

  6. 28 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

    That's adjusting for the limited release crap. Weeding out the non-wide releases gets us:

    1 - Titanic - 23.03M

    2 - Avatar - 22.85M

    3 - Home Alone - 12.63M

    4 - Frozen - 11.77M

    5 - There's something About Mary - 10.92M

    6 - E.T - 10.36M

    7 - Mrs. Doubtfire - 10.28M

    8 - J:WTTJ - 10.02M

    9 - Ghost - 9.95M

    10 - Forrest Gump - 9.89M

    11 - BP - 8.70M

    9.89M is the cutoff. #11 locked. 

    I think you've got Mary's 4day there, the 3-day of 8.8 is locked so the top 10 should be as well 😌

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  7. 2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

    Getting to top 10 8th weekend is a wee bit difficult. Needs 9.89M and if Charlie's numbers stick, needs a 30% drop on Sunday to get there. Wouldn't count it out yet. 

    Quite easy if you take out the "limited releases who went wide in wk 6" nonsense though, right?   

     

    Also TFA's Sun drop on the comparable wknd was 30 on the dot -- NWH has generally had a bit harsher Sunday drops so I am expecting more like -35 to 9.7 yeah.

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