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Legion Again

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Posts posted by Legion Again

  1. I dunno what upcoming competition or holidays/breaks looks like, but Titanic takes 25% average drops and F7 24%, doesn’t really seem too outlandish given:

    last week — 1.5% increase (I think your -1.5 should be +1.5, right @Shanks?)

    last 2 weeks — 10.7% average effective drop

    last 3 weeks — 27.3% average effective drop

    last 4 weeks — 40% average effective drop

  2. 6 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

    Lionsgate execs have lost their mind.  They are trying to play hardball with everyone, even US theaters for a minute until they got told to shut the fuck up and get back in line.  

    What leverage do they possibly imagine they had with... moonfall 🤨

     

    I mean if you're gonna try to swing your dick around, make sure it's not a half inch first.

    • Haha 6
    • Astonished 1
  3. 5 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

     

    But how far back do you have to do for non-MLK ones that also aren't COVID wrecked prior to this year? 2018 I found, but that one has several drops in the low 40's range. At the end of the day, as long as I win Derby IDGAF how the holds play out...:hahaha:

    https://m.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2018/01/21 

     

    https://m.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2017/01/22

     

    https://m.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2016/01/24

     

    NWH Sun drops have been pretty medium. In short I think 45 is optimistic and low 50s shouldn't be viewed as particularly surprising -- though the changed age demos may have a small impact on the magnitude of NFL effects.

     

  4. 8 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

     

    A lot of them have fallen on MLK weekend so that nixes a lot of the comps. No new openers this weekend also mean slightly better holds than normal. We will see. As long as NWH is over 10.6 and under 10.9 I'll be happy. 

    Well, yeah, gotta look a the nonMLK ones. No new openers doesn’t really have anything to do with Sun drop — sure sun will benefit but so will Sat have benefited.

  5. 2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

    Can we expect better than normal numbers and holds from Monday onwards thanks to Canada reopening? 

    Only on the 31st and 7th themself. The weekdays after might have slightly worse than usual daily trends after the inflated Mons.

    • Thanks 1
  6. 41 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

    With literally no competition from new openers, I'm going bullish this weekend

    Fri - 2.6M (+171%) 

    Sat - 5.45M (+110%) 

    Sun - 3M (-45%) 

    11.05M (-21%) 

    I had 167 100 48 but changed to 175 98 48 recently

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