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ZackM

BOT Think Tank
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Everything posted by ZackM

  1. I think the capacity issues also pushed a ton of viewers to matinee screenings. Same with Opp, which also has an unusually low ATP, though still higher than Barbie.
  2. I'm a little worried about Barbie today. Ticket sales are there, but ATP is so low.
  3. Oppenheimer Friday and Saturday Friday Theaters - 429 Showings - 4,236 Sold - 255,801 Total - 713,780 ATP - $16.18 Saturday Theaters - 429 Showings - 4,222 Sold - 239,217 Total - 716,412 ATP - $15.77
  4. Barbie Friday and Saturday Friday Theaters - 417 Showings - 7,340 Sold - 447,876 Total - 1,124,898 ATP - $14.60 Saturday Theaters - 417 Showings - 7,266 Sold - 313,973 Total - 1,124,081 ATP - $14.42
  5. 10M seems like the obvious number from Alpha data, but there's a chance that there's a perfect storm of factors causing heavy over-indexing. Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 Final Walkups Final Presales 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago Showings Added 17 11 39 354 252 Seats Added 2,115 758 3,875 38,456 29,209 Seats Sold 36,180 12,313 19,374 13,868 11,661 7/21/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 429 2,197 185,174 365,610 50.65% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 6 122 367 651 948 ATP Gross $17.60 $3,259,062
  6. Standard indexing would put Barbie between 19M and 20M. Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 Final Final Presales Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago Showings Added 76 65 166 1,006 624 Seats Added 6,492 5,070 14,965 122,030 79,586 Seats Sold 85,293 25,866 42,664 31,753 25,344 7/21/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 416 4,817 359,637 686,818 52.36% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 21 284 887 1,753 2,617 ATP Gross $15.46 $5,559,988
  7. Final Alpha numbers will put it pretty much right at 19.5
  8. Also soft final presales. Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-0 days Final Presales Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago Showings Added 11 39 354 252 5 Seats Added 758 3,875 38,456 29,209 1,187 Seats Sold 12,313 19,374 13,868 11,661 7,651 7/20/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 429 2,180 148,994 363,495 40.99% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 3 67 229 431 619 ATP Gross $18.03 $2,686,362 Oppenheimer Comps Indy 5 Jurassic World: Dominion The Flash Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted D0 T-0 $12.5 $12.8 $14.8 $16.0 $10.7 $11.0 T-1 $13.2 $13.5 $16.2 $17.3 $11.3 $11.4 T-2 $12.8 $13.1 $16.0 $17.2 $11.0 $11.2 T-3 $12.9 $13.1 $16.1 $17.2 $11.1 $11.2 T-4 $12.7 $13.0 $15.9 $17.1 $10.9 $11.0 T-5 $12.6 $12.9 $15.9 $17.1 $10.6 $10.7 T-6 $12.5 $12.8 $16.1 $17.3 T-7 $12.4 $12.7 $16.2 $17.4 T-8 $12.0 $12.3 $15.9 $17.1 $10.0 $10.1 T-9 $11.8 $12.1 $15.8 $17.0 $9.8 $9.9 T-10 $11.4 $11.8 $15.4 $16.6 $9.1 $9.2 T-11 $11.0 $11.4 $14.9 $16.0 T-12 $10.8 $11.2 $14.6 $15.8 T-13 $10.6 $11.0 $14.4 $15.5 T-14 $10.5 $10.9 $14.2 $15.3 T-15 $10.4 $10.8 $14.1 $15.2 $8.5 $8.5
  9. Fairly soft final presales today. Capacity may end up affecting walkups here too. Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-0 days Final Presales Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago Showings Added 65 166 1,006 624 54 Seats Added 5,070 14,965 122,030 79,586 7,383 Seats Sold 25,866 42,664 31,753 25,344 16,443 7/20/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 416 4,741 274,344 680,326 40.33% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 6 118 425 938 1,588 ATP Gross $15.64 $4,290,740
  10. No, sorry. I'm always speaking in a post COVID context.
  11. Barbie Friday and Saturday Friday Theaters - 417 Showings - 7,186 Sold - 341,564 Total - 1,113,814 ATP - $15.03 Saturday Theaters - 417 Showings - 7,173 Sold - 251,068 Total - 1,113,920 ATP - $14.66
  12. Oppenheimer Friday and Saturday Friday Theaters - 429 Showings - 4,185 Sold - 205,521 Total - 708,789 ATP - $16.57 Saturday Theaters - 429 Showings - 4,186 Sold - 200,553 Total - 711,833 ATP - $16.00
  13. Bigger day than everything other than NWH. Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago Showings Added 166 1,006 624 54 82 Seats Added 14,965 122,030 79,586 7,383 11,724 Seats Sold 42,664 31,753 25,344 16,443 10,857 7/19/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 416 4,676 248,478 675,256 36.80% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 2 94 333 776 1,318 ATP Gross $15.74 $3,911,044 Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 Final 7/19/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 108 108 19,735 20,668 95.49% ATP Gross $21.11 $416,606
  14. Still chugging along, but I just don't know how strong walkups can be when it's already at 38% capacity. Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago Showings Added 39 354 252 5 16 Seats Added 3,875 38,456 29,209 1,187 2,426 Seats Sold 19,374 13,868 11,661 7,651 5,127 7/19/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold Total 429 2,169 136,681 362,737 37.68% % of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+ # of Showings 2 57 187 364 516 ATP Gross $18.18 $2,484,861 Oppenheimer Comps Indy 5 Jurassic World: Dominion The Flash Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted D0 T-0 T-1 $13.2 $13.5 $16.2 $17.3 $11.3 $11.4 T-2 $12.8 $13.1 $16.0 $17.2 $11.0 $11.2 T-3 $12.9 $13.1 $16.1 $17.2 $11.1 $11.2 T-4 $12.7 $13.0 $15.9 $17.1 $10.9 $11.0 T-5 $12.6 $12.9 $15.9 $17.1 $10.6 $10.7 T-6 $12.5 $12.8 $16.1 $17.3 T-7 $12.4 $12.7 $16.2 $17.4 T-8 $12.0 $12.3 $15.9 $17.1 $10.0 $10.1 T-9 $11.8 $12.1 $15.8 $17.0 $9.8 $9.9 T-10 $11.4 $11.8 $15.4 $16.6 $9.1 $9.2 T-11 $11.0 $11.4 $14.9 $16.0 T-12 $10.8 $11.2 $14.6 $15.8 T-13 $10.6 $11.0 $14.4 $15.5 T-14 $10.5 $10.9 $14.2 $15.3 T-15 $10.4 $10.8 $14.1 $15.2 $8.5 $8.5
  15. It turns out 96% of capacity is too much. Total ticket sales for today: -65
  16. Just for fun I ran Oppenheimer numbers for Alpha on Sunday and it's already at 130k. It's gonna have a good weekend.
  17. Yeah the capacity issues are going to result in a huge spillover into the weekend.
  18. I should have final numbers for Alpha Barbie Early Access in the next few hours too. As of last night nearly 96% of seats had been sold, so I can't wait to see how close it gets to 100%. It's honestly the most incredible thing I've seen since I've been tracking. Even taking the small number of screens into account.
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