L Silverman
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Posts posted by L Silverman
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1 minute ago, Brainbug said:
Yes im from Germany and i will see FK on Friday. Will post my spoiler-free and spoiler review afterwards.
Thanks!
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Hey Brainbug!
I know this is off-topic but are you from Germany? You mentioned that you read German subtitles for The Wailing. Reason I'm asking is because Fallen Kingdom opens tomorrow in Germany and was really hoping that you'd tell all of us what you thought of it and, dare I say, even give us some spoilers. 
Edit- We here in the United States won't be able to see it until the 22nd, poor us.
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Blair Witch Project is one of those movies you have to see in a theater to get the full effect. Here's my Blair Witch Project Story- I saw this opening weekend in July of 1999. At the Charles Theatre in downtown Baltimore. The Charles was the only theater in the area playing this low-budget horror movie shot in Maryland that everyone was talking about. The line to get tickets went several blocks down the street and around the corner. Even longer than Phantom Menace. (Yes, this was a time when you had to physically stand in a line to get advance tickets.) I ended up seeing a Saturday afternoon showing, sold out of course. You might not think this would be as scary as seeing a nighttime showing but in fact I think it was even scarier. Going from a sunny bright July afternoon into a completely dark theater and into the total darkness of the woods at night depicted in the film. It wasn't just watching a movie, it was a shared experience by everyone in that packed theater. No one had seen anything like this before, it felt like we were watching a snuff film. When the hands started slapping the outside of the tent, everyone in the theater started freaking out, it was awesome!
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I think this photo puts to bed who actually directed Poltergeist- Spielberg or the guy holding the Coke?
That's Steven's Coke btw.
Spielberg: "You're doing a great job, Tobe." *grabs Coke*
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My guess for your #1 is Halloween (1978).
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12 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
Read the predictions of the trades and on this forum before the first JW came out. You will find countless under 400M or even under 300M predictions. Hell, many doubted 1 Billion worldwide greatly.
Thats why JW's breakout was so surprising. Nobody knew how much demand there was for another JP film. And many of those people doubt FK now again. I dont
Well, there is something special about dinosuars.
To paraphrase Mayor Vaughn in Jaws- "You yell monster, people say 'eh, I might see that'. You yell dinosaur, people line up around the block."
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Just now, Brainbug said:
A reasonable prediction for its 10-Day total, i must say
In all seriousness, anything under 350M DOM would shock me, unless the movie is awful.
Anything over 400M domestic would shock me because I just don't see nearly the same demand for this movie as the first JW and the trailers haven't convinced me otherwise.
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Also, you gotta wonder how much A Quiet Place might hurt JK just in the comparison because they both cover the same 'monster in the house' theme.
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2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
Many kids that saw the first one are now teens
Jurassic Park would actually alienate many of its fans when it would go in a more kid-friendly direction i believe. Many people (including me) are dying to see a JP movie that does go more in a horror direction - just like the first movie and the novels the franchise is based on. I think all will be fine
I'm willing to give FK the benefit of the doubt in terms of quality.
As far as BO, I'm thinking $320-350mil domestic.
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1 minute ago, Brainbug said:
And they have 2 options now back-to back:
The first, a cheerfill adventure to make their kids happy and have put a big smile on their faces.
The second to traumatize them for life.
FK might as well point the gun and shoot themselves with that trailer. Yes, it's really cool but its basically scaring off 80 percent of the kids that liked the first movie. And the brave 20 percent left, their parents are gonna take one look at that and figure they don't need the headache of their kids waking up in the middle of the night with nightmares.
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1 minute ago, Mojoguy said:
So are we pretending BP and IW weren't movies with massive family appeal?No, but animated films have a special attraction all their own and Incredibles 2 will be the first big budget animated film of the year.
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1 minute ago, DAJK said:
I could see Dory legs with a 150M opening. Don't see anything close to 200 though
With Incredibles, you'll have packed daytime showings just like Dory but Incredilbles will surpass Dory in the evening and late night showings because teens and adults w/o kids will want to see this movie almost as bad as the kids.
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Just now, Hunt for the Wilderpasta said:
About to watch ACTION POINT. God damnit this may be as close as I’m getting to Jackass 4.
You're a braver person than me.
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3 minutes ago, DAJK said:
Tracking on kids films always seems a bit iffy to me. But its weird with Incredibles cause I don't know how much it's going to lay like a kids film and how much its going to play like a hyped up sequel
I think there's as much under-reported demand for this film as there was for Jurassic World three years ago. Incredibles 2 could easily explode expectations in its opening weekend the same way JW did.
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1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said:
Solo was tracking to do 170mil. I do think that Incredibles 2 will open with 130+mil but tracking is a tricky thing to follow one way or the other.
I seriously think they're underestimating Incredibles 2. Basing their tracking on the past performance of animated tentpoles but I think Incredibles 2 is a unique situation which they're not properly taking into account.
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Incredibles 2 is the one to watch, not Fallen Kingdom. Incredibles is currently tracking at $140+million but I could see it doing $180-$200. It's positioned perfectly, schools are letting out, no animated films in May plus it's very action heavy so it could easily draw in teens and older crowds, not just families. Finally, it's been 14 years since the first one so anticipation is very very high.
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5 minutes ago, Nova said:
This is the only sensible thing you've said. If there is a shift in tone in the film that makes the movie somewhat scary/dark then that could drive families away from the film and straight into the lap of Incredibles 2.
Wow, you have a real talent for making your compliments sound like insults! Thanks!
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2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
What the hell can be spoiled about a Jurassic Park movie? Its dinosaurs chasing and eating people while some lines from the original movie are referenced ans tons of product placement. People dont go in expecting to be surprised by anything, they just want dinosaur spectacle
Its no coincidence that the marketing is so "spoiler"-heavy.
Hahaha, yeah, I'm not talking about Blue dying here but just the fact that people learn that the movie might be smaller in scale than the last one. The trailers suggest this may end up being more a 'monster in the house' smaller-scale horror type film than the big spectacle, monster brawl of the last film.
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Two more obstacles for Fallen Kingdom- the trailers make the film look way too scary for kids. Might discourage families from going to see it. Also, the film will be facing stiff competition for that family dollar from a very strong second week Incredibles 2.
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1 minute ago, Brainbug said:
Its only bad when the movie sucks. If its good, it wont be damaging at all.
But the lack of spoilers drives up the opening weekend because of audiences dying to know what happens but with Fallen Kingdom opening overseas a full two weeks before it opens in the US, the movie isn't going to be able to take advantage of that.
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7 minutes ago, CJohn said:
When Fallen Kingdom opens with 110-130M brains will explode in the weekend thread.
Fallen Kingdom opens overseas starting next week. In fact, the US will be one of the last markets that the movie opens in. Really bad from an opening weekend BO because word's gonna get out pretty quickly whether Fallen Kingdom is any good or not.
Jurassic World II OS Thread
in International Box Office
Posted
So! The reviews are out and critics are all over the map on this film. But they seem to be in universal agreement that Bayona delivers the goods when it comes to dinosaur mayhem. And he gives us something we've never seen before- dinosaurs in a gothic setting. The climax involves a young girl being menaced in a creepy mansion but instead of ghosts or vampires, it's dinosaurs! Wow, I'd pay to see that! That novelty I think is gonna increase FK's box office, especially in Europe and Asia and should mitigate some of the lost BO from the movie being too scary for a lot of families.