MagnarTheGreat
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Ant-Man and the Wasp already has the highest sequel multiplier in the MCU (2.75), above Winter Soldier's 2.73 (though AMatW was released in the more advantageous month of July versus April for Winter Soldier as seen below for some context.) JW:FK adds another day in stamina to 90% of its gross as did Incredibles 2 and AMatW jumped by three days.
Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):
SpoilerTop 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendBox Office
PositionBatman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016) Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.53 $213.5M $84.4M #6 (2018) Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015) Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul. 2018)* 27 2.75 $208.4M $75.8M #7 (2018) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 27 2.78 $411.8M $148.0M #4 (2018) It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017) Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015) Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017) Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.54 $318.3M $125.5M #5 (2018) Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017) Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.6M $257.7M #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015) Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015) Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015) Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 31 3.25 $594.1M $182.7M #3 (2018) Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015) Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015) Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016) Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016) Black Panther (Feb. 2018) 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M #1 (2018) Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015) The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016) Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017) The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015) Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017) average of table 31 3.37 median of table 30 2.86 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 19, 2018 Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 -
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Mission: Impossible Movie First
Weekend
(Wide)%
ChangeDomestic
Gross%
ChangeMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Foreign
Gross%
ChangeWorldwide
Gross%
ChangeMission: Impossible
(May 1996)**$45.4M $181.0M 3.98 $276.7M $457.7M Mission: Impossible II
(May 2000)**$57.8M 27.31% $215.4M 19.02% 3.72 $331.0M 19.61% $546.4M 19.38% Mission: Impossible III
(May 2006)$47.7M -17.46% $134.0M -37.78% 2.81 $263.8M -20.29% $397.9M -27.19% Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol
(Dec. 2011)**$29.6M -38.09% $209.4M 56.23% 7.08 $485.3M 83.96% $694.7M 74.62% Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation
(Jul. 2015)$55.5M 87.84% $195.0M -6.86% 3.51 $487.7M 0.49% $682.7M -1.73% Mission: Impossible – Fallout
(Jul. 2018)*$61.2M 10.30% $170.2M -12.72% 2.78 $289.8M -40.58% $460.0M -32.62% * numbers are not final / still in theaters ** released wide mid-week *** M:I - Ghost Protocol earned $17.1M during 5-day limited release; its multiplier is 6.51 when subtracted from the gross display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 16, 2018 Rogue Nation took 37 days to hit 90% of its gross; I haven't looked at the others.
Ghost Protocol's opening was probably deflated and the multi inflated by December in addition to the limited rollout and wide release mid-week.
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 averages and medians from the top opening wide release domestic movies
during the recent ten year time period of 2008 to 2017; currently excludes
2018 releaseshighest month in blue; lowest month in red -
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M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
Fallout*M:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Wknd. 1 → Wknd. 2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% Weekend 3 $17,186,540 $19,352,090 12.60% Wknd. 2 → Wknd. 3 drop -39.70% -45.22% Day 18-21 $7,739,944 $8,919,347 15.24% Day 11-14 → Day 18-21 drop -42.15% -48.01% Domestic Gross on
Day 21$146,063,039 $170,238,721 16.55% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 21 2.63** 2.78 90% of Final Domestic
Gross on Day37 TBD * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1) -
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Disney Animation or
Pixar movie (2013-2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
Weekend
(Wide)Box Office
PositionMonsters University (Jun. 2013) 27 3.26 $268.5M $82.4M #7 (2013) Cars 3 (Jun. 2017) 29 2.85 $152.9M $53.7M #11 (2017) Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 31 3.24 $591.4M $182.7M #3 (2018) The Good Dinosaur (Nov. 2015)** 38 3.14 $123.1M $39.2M #26 (2015) Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015) Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016) Coco (Nov. 2017)** 46 4.13 $209.7M $50.8M #13 (2017) Moana (Nov. 2016)** 47 4.39 $248.8M $56.6M #11 (2016) Big Hero 6 (Nov. 2014) 53 3.96 $222.5M $56.2M #10 (2014) Frozen (Nov. 2013) **/*** 71 5.95 $400.7M $67.4M #3 (2013) average of table 41 3.91 median of table 39 3.94 first entry / origin table average 48 4.29 sequels table average 29 3.24 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters ** released wide mid-week *** 90% day excludes Frozen’s 5-day limited opening box office and day count; including it: Day 76 display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 15, 2018 As seen above, sequels usually (in this case all of the above) earn their money faster than first entries.
Like the new Wreck-It-Ralph, the new Frozen will follow 6 years after its predecessor. Some folks did seem annoyed at the 22-minute Olaf Frozen short that played in front of Coco.
Cars 3: +6 years
Ralph Breaks the Internet: +6 years
Frozen 2: +6 years
Monsters University: +12 years
Finding Dory: +13 years
Incredibles 2: +13.5 years
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The only Marvel TV show I've stuck through to the end was Agent Carter. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Ant-Man 2 joins the table. Ant-Man 2 now has the second highest MCU sequel multiplier after CA:TWS. No movement since a week ago besides JW:FK +1. I2 would have moved +1 with the weekend estimate but it came in below it.
Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018):
SpoilerTop 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendBox Office
PositionBatman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016) Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017) Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul. 2018)* 24 2.69 $203.6M $75.8M #7 (2018) Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.53 $213.3M $84.4M #6 (2018) Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 26 2.77 $409.7M $148.0M #4 (2018) Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015) It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017) Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015) Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017) Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.54 $318.2M $125.5M #5 (2018) Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 30 3.23 $589.8M $182.7M #3 (2018) Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.4M $257.7M #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015) Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015) Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015) Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017) Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015) Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015) Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016) Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016) Black Panther (Feb. 2018) 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M #1 (2018) Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015) The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016) Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017) The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015) Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017) average of table 31 3.37 median of table 30 2.86 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 12, 2018 -
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Three >$600M domestic in the 2018 calendar year (BP, A:IW, likely I2), and four in a one year window (SW:TLJ, BP, A:IW, likely I2).
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18 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:
Not that I've had any real doubt for weeks, but 600 is officially locked for I2 after this weekend hold. Depending on what the Labor Day expansion does for it, it may end up going up to 610. If it gets to 612, it will have the same post second weekend legs as Inside Out.
Disney Animation or
Pixar movie (2013-2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
Weekend
(Wide)Box Office
PositionMonsters University (Jun. 2013) 27 3.26 $268.5M $82.4M #7 (2013) Cars 3 (Jun. 2017) 29 2.85 $152.9M $53.7M #11 (2017) Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 31 3.23 $589.9M $182.7M #3 (2018) The Good Dinosaur (Nov. 2015) 38 3.14 $123.1M $39.2M #26 (2015) Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015) Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016) Coco (Nov. 2017) 46 4.13 $209.7M $50.8M #13 (2017) Moana (Nov. 2016) 47 4.39 $248.8M $56.6M #11 (2016) Big Hero 6 (Nov. 2014) 53 3.96 $222.5M $56.2M #10 (2014) Frozen (Nov. 2013)** 71 5.95 $400.7M $67.4M #3 (2013) average of table 41 3.91 median of table 39 3.94 first entry / origin table average 48 4.29 sequels table average 29 3.23 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters / numbers from latest estimate ** 90% day count excludes Frozen’s 5-day limited opening and box office; including it: Day 76 display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 12, 2018 I think the biggest surprise for me when making this table is how long Big Hero 6 stuck around.
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2 hours ago, Brainbug said:
Its interesting to me that a film like Wonder Woman grosses 412M and is considered a cultural phenomenon, while JW: FK will gross more than that and is at best considered just another blockbuster.
Good example imo why raw numbers are only 1 small part of the whole package, when it comes to "cultural phenomenons".
Yeah, and how they made their relatively nearly the same domestic money is different. Same thing with Jumanji: WttJ.
Movie 90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendBox Office
PositionJurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 26 2.77 $409.6M $148.0M #4 (2018) Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015) Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017) * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters / numbers from latest estimate display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 12, 2018
Even how Avengers:IW and Black Panther and other >$600M made their money was different.
Part of it is sequels being more frontloaded and whether they dropped from their predecessors. And then with first Wonder Woman there's also the novelty of a successful female comic book superhero movie.
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M:I-F's weekdays in week 2 drop was even better than the weekend drop, though M:I-RN had good weekdays as well which is why the % gap between the two narrows (-43.63% vs. -39.27%).
M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
FalloutM:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% W1 → W2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% M:I-RN 3rd weekend was $17,186,540; Deadline's current projection for M:I-F is $19.2M (M:I-F = M:I-RN +11.72%).
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Deadpool movie 90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendDeadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Deadpool 2 (May 2018) 29 2.53 $318.1M $125.5M Lower, but not that inconsistent.
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4 hours ago, sfran43 said:
Black Panther has officially ended its theatrical run!!
For this occasion, here's how it compares domestically in unadjusted first runs >$600M (I2 likely to cross eventually):
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The weekdays following weekends for M:I-F have been doing better than the weekends relative to M:I-RN thus far.
M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
FalloutM:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Day 11-13 $10,809,838 $13,807,927 27.73% -
7 hours ago, Krissykins said:
You’ve been very kind and selective with those choices, haha. I wouldn’t use those comparisons, those films opened much, much higher than Ant Man did.
Looks like you also just tried to find low multipliers for origin films too, lol.
Not really kind or random: those are the other 4 best performing Marvel sequels in terms of stamina and multiplier. Homecoming and Ant-Man were listed as they had similar release times in their respective years as Ant-Man 2.
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MCU sequel Day 33
MultiplierFinal
MultiplierFinal – Day 33 = 90% of dom.
gross on dayAnt-Man and the Wasp* 2.61 TBD TBD 23 CA: The Winter Soldier 2.51 2.73 0.22 30 GotG Vol. 2 2.44 2.66 0.22 30 Avengers: Infinity War* 2.44 2.63 0.19 30 Thor: Ragnarok 2.39 2.57 0.18 29 MCU origin Ant-Man 2.78 3.15 0.37 37 Spider-Man: Homecoming 2.55 2.86 0.31 36 Other Logan 2.41 2.56 0.15 26 * still in theaters / numbers not final -
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high domestic earner stamina comparison
Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendBox Office
PositionBatman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016) Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.52 $213.0M $84.4M #6 (2018) Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 25 2.74 $405.6M $148.0M #4 (2018) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015) It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017) Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015) Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017) Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.53 $318.0M $125.5M #5 (2018) Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 30 3.19 $583.1M $182.7M #3 (2018) Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.1M $257.7M #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015) Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015) Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015) Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017) Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015) Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015) Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016) Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016) Black Panther (Feb. 2018)* 38 3.47 $700.0M $202.0M #1 (2018) Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015) The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016) Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017) The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015) Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017) average of table 32 3.38 median of table 30 2.87 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 5, 2018
M:I - Rogue Nation was 37 days...it'll be interesting to see if the new one has the same amount of gas in the tank or not (if it's more frontloaded); it could eventually make the table >$200M. Ant-Man and the Wasp will be joining the table next time >$200M.-
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M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
Fallout*M:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4 $6,790,087 $6,838,935 0.72% Day 5 $7,232,284 $9,451,166 30.68% Day 6 $5,201,265 $6,328,934 21.68% Day 7 $4,510,482 $5,631,802 24.86% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Domestic Gross on
Day 10$107,756,579 $124,811,186 15.83% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 10 1.94** 2.04 90% of Domestic
Gross on Day37 TBD * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1) -
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3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
Ant Man wins. China should be real big. Are there any other markets except China to open in?
UK 2 August 2018 Ireland 2 August 2018 Poland 3 August 2018 Italy 14 August 2018 Portugal 15 August 2018 China 24 August 2018 Japan 31 August 2018
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt5095030/releaseinfo?ref_=tt_dt_dt
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3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:
That estimate's 155.86% higher than Finding Dory's 8th weekend. A good start to its week.
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9 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
this is exactly how franchise films get A's and A+ with mediocre films. Cinemascore is a sham.
Speak for yourself, we're all eagerly awaiting the highly anticipated follow up to Monster Trucks.
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6 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:
Outside of Rth, who is on another level, I feel like you might have the highest average level of post quality that I can recall on this site.
How to you construct these tables, out of curiosity? Do you have a process to import the numbers from BOM, or just enter things by hand?
I'd very much appreciate one for Logan and AM&tW after its 5th or 6th week.
Some of these tables are from spreadsheets that I set up quite a while ago for discussion on other websites. The percentages and averages and multipliers and so on are handled by the spreadsheet functions. I just copy/paste parts of them into the editor here. The box office numbers are put into the spreadsheets by hand. I'll keep AMatW in mind for a future table weeks from now.
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For the curious...
Star Wars:
The Last Jedi(Dec. 2017)
Incredibles 2*
(Jun. 2018)
I2 % change
From SW:TLJWeek 1 $296,602,356 $269,446,690 -9.16% Week 2 $168,095,872 $124,736,824 -25.79% Week 3 $84,264,374 $81,177,900 -3.66% Week 4 $31,311,982 $44,237,078 41.28% Week 5 $17,443,892 $26,216,948 50.29% Week 6 $8,823,345 $19,808,208 124.50% Week 7 $5,574,959 $12,508,642 124.37% Domestic
gross on
Day 49$612,116,780 $578,132,290 Multiplier on Day 49 2.78** 3.16 90% of
domestic gross
On Day23 29 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 2.82 Star Wars:
The Last JediIncredibles 2* SW:TLJ – I2
(gap)Week 1 cume $296,602,356 $269,446,690 $27,155,666 Week 2 cume $464,698,228 $394,183,514 $70,514,714 Week 3 cume $548,962,602 $475,361,414 $73,601,188 Week 4 cume $580,274,584 $519,598,492 $60,676,092 Week 5 cume $597,718,476 $545,815,440 $51,903,036 Week 6 cume $606,541,821 $565,623,648 $40,918,173 Week 7 cume $612,116,780 $578,132,290 $33,984,490 Additionally Incredibles 2 would need a multiplier of 3.39x and 90% of its dom. gross in 39 days to match TLJ's final domestic gross of $620,181,382; it would have to earn at least $42M more for itself for the rest of its run during the time TLJ earned $8M more for itself. Dory only earned $14.3M more for itself and as of Week 7 I2 is running 75.64% ahead of it that week (($14.3M + 75.64%) + I2 Week 7 cume = $603M). It would have to do way better than that, like 193.7% better.
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Finding Dory Incredibles 2* I2 change % from FD Week 1 $213,317,902 $269,446,690 26.31% Week 2 $117,031,700 $124,736,824 6.58% Week 3 $71,879,641 $81,177,900 12.94% Week 4 $32,235,207 $44,237,078 37.23% Week 5 $18,514,669 $26,216,948 41.60% Week 6 $11,813,811 $19,808,208 67.67% Week 7 $7,121,711 $12,508,642 75.64% Domestic
gross on
Day 49$471,914,641 $578,132,290 Multiplier on Day 49 3.49** 3.16 90% of
domestic gross
On Day29 29 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.60 I2 stamina Crushing Dory.
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35 minutes ago, a2k said:
I2 looking at 3.3x multiplier if it gets to low-600s. Dory was 3.6x and TS3 was 3.77x. But Dory's bo was bigger than TS3's and I2's even bigger than Dory's. Being a CBM itself might have added some front-loading to I2.
Pixar sequel comparison (unadjusted domestic) 90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendBox Office
PositionFinding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016) Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 29 3.16 $578.1M $182.7M #3 (2018) * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 2, 2018
If Incredibles 2 gets to $607M like @mahnamahna posted above then it will hit 90% of its dom. total in 36 days and its multiplier will be 3.32 (other comps).
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Weekend Thread: Estimates ~ CRA 25.235M, The Meg 21.15M, M22 13.62M, M:I-F 10.5M, Alpha 10.5M, DCR 8.862M, BK 7M, SM 4.965M, HT3:SV 3.675M, MM!HWGA 3.385M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
As requested by @Thanos Legion a couple of weeks back, here's AMatW versus Logan:
The Wasp*
% change
From L
Day 45
Gross on Day