Cappoedameron
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Posts posted by Cappoedameron
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1 hour ago, Nova said:
I will probably look into it during my study break but other comps for Detective Pikachu could be Dumbo and Christopher Robin.
Two big flops for Disney? Sorry I don't understand any of this data but that's not the comparison I want for DP.
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Seems like there's a press screening going on for Detective Pikachu early next week and I imagine Endgame as well, unless press has secretly watched Endgame already since it's releasing next week.
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Honestly I'd love to know the strategy for Ugly Dolls. They saw the trailer for Detective Pikachu and got the heck out of the May 10th slot and now they're hoping to get some scraps from negatives about Endgame in regards to children. 3 hr epic which may not be attractive for parents with young kids, PG-13, and yet they're still gonna get destroyed. Admirable, really.
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1 hour ago, Porthos said:
While noting that all films are different and that that I2 had the built in advantage of being a sequel, this does look pretty good for Pika Pika. Seems to be broadly in line with BOP's 90m forecast.
So great work there. 👍Doesn't long range forecasting showcase the bottom floor? So wouldn't that suggest Pikachu has a really good chance of opening higher? Like over 100M-150M Range?
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22 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:
I'm talking about OW, but okay.
Ah in that case BOP has it at 90M. We should get more updated tracking sometime this week I imagine. I feel like Pika is gonna be above 100M but that's just my wish.
I feel like with Reynolds marketing and reviews it may get that 100M + OW.
Thanks for the info.
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4 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:
-Still solid for Pikachu. The Dragon 3 comps are coming down to Earth more and more, but everything points to a solid gross, although 100M does seem a bit up in the air at the moment. Of course, we've still got a long way to go.
Dragon 3? I don't see that being Pikachu's domestic gross total. BOP has it at least $250,000,000 - $300,000,000 domestic total run. I guess we shall see, shouldn't more tracking come in this week?
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I mean I've loved Pokemon since I was 6 and I'm 27 and all my friends are going to the movies with me. We're gonna steal all the kids new movie Pokemon cards. 😛
That's a joke but yeah I feel DP is gonna pick up probably by beginning of May. I'm certainly not in a rush to buy tickets cause I'm waiting till Endgame and after Endgame's probably depressing ending, people will probably look forward to DP to make them happy again lol.
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22 minutes ago, Matthew said:
Disney+ looks very exciting. If it delivers then it can surely overtake Netflix WW, not sure about NA but WW Disney brand specially Marvel brand is very strong.
Disney + is not gonna be strong worldwide because it won't be available worldwide for a long while.
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How can you people deny them all the money.
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36 minutes ago, RealLyre said:
I'm not saying it can't open to 100M+, I just don't think it's likely.. the hype kinda slowed down after that first trailer in November
when was the last time a live action non-franchise-non-remake movie opened to $100M+? I can only think of The Hunger Games and IT 2017 (and even that was a remake of a tv mini-series).
so
"Hype kinda slowed down"? Trailer trended at #1 for almost 2 days and was only shot down to #2 by reveal of Pokemon Sword and Shield.
This trailer that wasn't even released by the WB company but instead Ryan, is #3 on YT.
Literally BOP is long range tracking it for a 90M OW. So...that's likely gonna increase as we continue to get closer. Pika's LR tracking is at least $15M more then Aquaman, and we all know how that did on it's OW. By comparison at least.
And don't underestimate the marketing machine known as Ryan Reynolds. We all know what Deadpool 1 and 2 was estimated to make and what it ended up making in it's OW.
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2 hours ago, RealLyre said:
305M OW for EG and slightly better than IW weekend holds (-52% and -49% for weekend 2 and 3 respectively) are enough for 75M so
Pika's opening weekend is gonna be at least 90M. More likely over 100M. So...you're ships gonna sink.
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8 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:
Using just that, it would translate to a $50M OW, it should grow throughout the night so that’s a good start.
It'll grow a lot over the next couple weeks. $100M OW!
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15 minutes ago, Mulder said:
There was-
As you can see in my post I was referring to the YT official WB page. Where they posted the first and second trailer.
This is in comparison to the video Ryan released of him getting into the role of DP. Which was solely released on his YT channel.
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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:
There hasn't been an official announcement from WB that tickets are on sale?
Weird.Marvel always releases a final trailer with the announcement that tickets are on sale. For this only Ryan did. WB Youtube Official channel did not post it.
It's why I'm comparing this to the video of Ryan getting into the role of Pikachu, which he posted alone.
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Spoiler
Far from an expert, but yes I think this will be pretty walk-up based. The trailer views says there's interest out there. The very very VERY early initial pre-sales suggest there isn't any sort of rush yet to buy tickets.
Might pick up a bit closer to release. We ARE 30 days out, after all. From what I recall, vaguely, Finding Dory really didn't start selling until about two weeks out. And that it did was a major indicator that it was going to be a beast of a family film.
No idea about Incredibles 2.
Let's not forget though that this footage was dropped by Ryan Reynolds not the company. If it was Ryan and the company both would have posted it and it would be on the official WB channel as well. Like the first and second trailer were. This is more like that video of Ryan getting into the role of DP.
Maybe WB has a final trailer in mind for Pika that will drop soon.
If they were gonna announce tickets on sale I'd expect the company would drop the trailer, just like Marvel does with their movies.
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3 minutes ago, Mulder said:
Even if it was just AMC, the sales being this slow and minor don't suggest the big break-out a few people were suggesting. Not saying DetPik will do bad or anything but it won't be this Endgame-killer or 200+ OW domestic movie.
Well it will be the Endgame killer cause it will dethrone Endgame. Long range tracking predicts 90M OW, that's only gonna go up as marketing increases and we all know how Ryan is at marketing.
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The movie theaters I consecutively go to are not selling tickets for the movie yet. Just AMC cause I think they're the ones that will get the "cards with the movie" deal.
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Seems like it's only AMC's so far. I have no interest in going to the AMC near me.
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2 minutes ago, dakus said:
Pika Pika is barely selling more than Hellboy, it’s going to be a megaflop confirmed
/s
Your trolling needs more work.
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Nothing for Detective Pikachu on Fandango aside from AMC and I do not like the AMC in this area. It's very dirty and not renovated.
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4 hrs till Pika Pika tickets go on sale likely with a final trailer.
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5 hours ago, filmlover said:
Also it's gonna be annoying when tracking next week for Detective Pikachu shows a $60-70M opening (which would still be a great number for it) and a lot of people start calling it "Detective Flopachu," most likely without irony.
Aqua Man tracked for a 59 M OW and that clearly was not a flop. Hype has only increased for this movie, I'm expecting 100M + OW.
And we all know Ryan Reynolds marketing for this movie is gonna kickstart soon and we all know he is a marketing machine.
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Detective Pikachu tickets go on sale tomorrow at noon likely with a final trailer drop.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Pokemon has never really been a brand preferred by one gender over the other. It's been universally loved by all over the years.