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Old Spice

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Posts posted by Old Spice

  1. 4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

    I think Dune's legs will be impacted big time with it being available on HBO Max. But OW should be good considering it has some fanbase(looking at OD sales) and it looks fantastic on big screen. So it might get some of HBO Max subs to also check it out on big screen like that did for Godzilla vs Kong earlier this year. I think previews will be close to 6m and OW in 45-50m range(its friday PS relative to previews is very good and is already has faster run rate than preview sales). Plus it has sold so much with so few shows and that will change in next 2 weeks leading to its release. Its strong reviews also helps big time. 

     

    I wish WB had made this theatrical. This and Matrix should not have gone day and date on streaming considering the budget and also scale of the movies. It would have had potential to gross > 150m domestic. Matrix would have had much bigger potential. 

     

    Dune MTC1

    Previews(T-11) - 31292/230646 581028.78 1106 shows

    OD(T-12) -  29757/516250 545303.33 2507 shows

     

    Another good day so far from release. 

     

     

    If they'd even just tweaked their pitch to say 'Watch it Opening Weekend!'... say, 8:00 PM Sunday... instead of making it available the very second it hit theatrical, they could have made so much more money. The hardcore fans wouldn't have been able to wait so OWs would have been stronger, and the pirates would have been held at bay for an additional 72 hours helping intl. Meanwhile, casual viewers who wanted to watch at home would still feel like they were getting a great deal. It just wasn't thought out very well at all.

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  2. Bond matinees at the theater I track in Salt Lake looking strong. Evening also looking brisk with the four showings between 6:00 and 9:00 all guaranteed to be sellouts (the 7:00 PM in the largest auditorium is already completely sold) and the later ones likely to come close to that. For comparison's sake, here's what it looks like vs Venom 2nd Friday as of 11:30 A.M.

     

    Bond tix sold

    matinees 215 

    evening 302 

     

    Total 517

     

    Venom tix sold

    matinees 15

    evening 37

     

    Total 52

     

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

    I know James Bond is probably the oldest blockbuster franchise but what was the first?

     

    I said in an earlier post that I thought the Charlie Chan series of whodunits was the earliest franchise but I was clearly on drugs. The earliest recurring IP belonged to The King, Charlie Chaplin, who played The Little Tramp from 1915 to 1936. I can remember my grandfather talking about the line being around the block every time a new one opened, and how The Tramp was like a member of everyone's extended family.

     

    NTTD: 62/173

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  4. 19 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

    I totally respect the opinions in this thread, by the way. I just think people, maybe because Venom, are fundamentally expecting too much for a non-Skyfall James Bond movie. I said last month "Logan numbers with a smaller opening and better legs, so mid 70s/230." Now I'm more mid 60s and 215, but that's barely a standard deviation away.

     

    I honestly think 65/215 would be a FANTASTIC result in this market. Case counts and hospitalizations have fallen quite a bit from their peak, but they're still pretty damn high and that and all the talk about waning immunity are going to have an outsized effect on a demo like Bond's. l also think there's a case to be made that once you stop doing something that was once a habit... like moviegoing... it doesn't just reflexively snap back. It takes time and a conscious intention. My first trip back to a theater was for In the Heights in June, and the minute I walked into the lobby and smelled the buttered popcorn, it was almost like Kenneth Branagh's wistful "Home!" in Dunkirk, but not everyone is like that.

     

    • Like 1
  5. Bond doing great in Salt Lake at the Sugarhouse Cinemark I follow. 10 showtimes, 44.3% sold.

     

    4:00 PM: 39/106

    5:15: 27/62

    6:30: 37/46

    7:00: 27/48

    7:40: 79/106

    8:00: 0/46

    8:55: 32/62

    9:25: 9/48

    10:10: 17/46

    10:45: 7/48

     

    Total 274/618 as of 1:40 PM I expect those evening shows to fill up and put this over 400 by the time all is said and done. The only comp I have for the pandemic era is TSS which finished somewhere around 250, IIRC.

     

    Friday shows are solid, if not spectacular.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  6. 40 minutes ago, vale900 said:

    Hbo max has killed literally every movie at the box office but Dune and Matrix can be exceptions and still approaching 70-80M the first e 150 the second one. 

    If dune makes at least 200 overseas (It's doing better than Bd 2049 e definitely the word of mouth will be better so it can do it. Bd 2049 made 170M) I think this movie will not make less than 300M.

     

     

    If it gets that, along with good audience WOM to go with the glowing reviews (seems like that's already happening) and assuming Max comes through with say, 4M+ households or better, I think a sequel is locked. This won't just be a financial decision for Legendary and Warner... it's about prestige and finishing the job they started. If they DON'T go with Part 2, then next year's acceptance speeches at the Oscars may be a lot more entertaining than usual.

  7. 8 minutes ago, Elessar said:

    I would pretty much agree with what @Lucas wrote. Dune just oozes quality, it's a mood piece on a grand scale with a thick atmosphere, it is not afraid of giving scenes room to breathe and the actors are on top of their game. My man Villeneuve is not interested in silly popcorn cinema, which i appreciate but i dunno how the serious tone and slower pacing will go down with mainstream audiences. And yeah, the ending is rather low-key. I wish, they had shot Part 1 and 2 back to back.

     

    Already got tickets for my 2nd viewing, this time in IMAX. Looking forward to that. :)

     

    Glad you enjoyed it! How crowded was your cinema?

  8. Lord Jesus, that was NUTS. Entertaining as hell though. I love how Wan just goes for it. Topo the Octopus playing the drums in Aquaman, the unrelenting absurdity of Malignant... the guy doesn't give a fuck about being 'grounded,' all he wants to do is put on a magic show for the audience and he does so with such style and craft that you can't help but be caught up in the demented whimsy of it all.

     

    I loved it.

     

    (I just wish I had seen it in a theater. This one definitely needs to be shared.)

    • Like 1
  9. 3 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

    I don't know much about SJ2, but I doubt people will be satisfied with 35m opening or 100m total even during pandemic era. This is supposed to be a new franchise for 2020s. Oct 22 could save Dune from excessive competition but its biggest competition is actually HBO max now. 

    Its biggest competition is going to be the Delta variant. Hopefully it will have abated by the time October rolls around.

  10. 3 minutes ago, dudalb said:

    NBA player tested positive for the virus;NBA has suspended the season.

    The panic factor just went up quite a bit.

    This will have ripple effects through the entertainment business..including the movies.

     

    And Tom Hanks announced he and his wife have tested positive for the virus.

    They suspended the season?! Holy shit, I hadn't heard that.

     

    And oh man, Tom Hanks. That really sucks. He's a part of every movie-lover's extended family. 

     

    Fuck this year.

    • Like 1
  11. On 11/29/2019 at 12:23 PM, DAJK said:

    These are some pretty fantastic #s all around. I'm behind in my movie-watching (I unfortunately missed Doctor Sleep altogether). Which should I prioritize; Neighborhood? Knives out? or Frozen?

    Can't speak for Knives and Frozen... yet... but Neighborhood is really special. Weird (the storytelling is much more unconventional than the trailer suggests), brave, and very moving. It will absolutely find a place in my top 10 for the year.

  12. 49 minutes ago, Nova said:

    Just did a quick check for Saturday for Frozen 2 at one theater and holy moly. Every regular showing is at least 95% full until 7:45PM which tapers down to 70% full. 
     

    Talk about a perfect example of how a family movie plays out. 

    Not quite that level in Salt Lake City, but pretty similar. Thursday night is really solid, Friday day is weak until late afternoon when it ramps up again, and Saturday is an absolute sea of red. 

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