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Inceptionzq

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Everything posted by Inceptionzq

  1. Inceptionzq
    Apparently 2021 DOM hasn’t quite passed 2020. 2020’s number was “closer to 2.3B” as they put it
  2. Inceptionzq
    You have to have a membership at MTC1 for discount Tuesday. Doesn’t have to be a paid one, but lots of people probably don’t care to do it.
  3. Inceptionzq
    Even then, we know that the Black Widow PA OW was 12M INT/67M.
  4. Inceptionzq
    I hope it can beat IT 2 for the second best September release($211.6M)
  5. Inceptionzq
    Presales and Movie Theater Chain
  6. Inceptionzq
    Don’t forget @WrathOfHan’s 8.7M prediction.
  7. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex Friday 4207(+382)/59039(+182) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 11.91M [9287(+743)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 12.47M Well the overnight pace improved a good amount. 51% of BW vs 41% yesterday. Already figured that walkups should be better, but this is a good sign. It'll still end up underindexing like Thursday, but it is what it is.
  8. Inceptionzq
    Seems like some like to just look at the higher numbers and roll with that
  9. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex Friday 3825(+1579)/58857(-228) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 11.77M [8544(+3790)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 12.32M Really wish I had a F9 comp. Wonder if it's just performing more like F9 here. Comp probably would've decreased, but the previous days support that overall trend being closer to F9. But this is really showing how much Megaplex is underperforming compared to BW. And just another thing to show how much it's underperforming, I did a count for BW Friday at 2PM on Thursday, and another one at 1AM Friday. In that span of 11 hours, BW added 2261 tickets. Shang-Chi did this in 31 hours. I'll do a final count in the morning.
  10. Inceptionzq
    That’s true. We also see that in Raleigh from @katnisscinnaplex’s numbers.
  11. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings AMC Westminster 24 Total 639 2126 30.06% AMC Highlands Ranch 24 Total 585 1526 38.34% SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 4035 1658 19487 20.71% 15 127 Showings added: 6 Seats added: 464 AMCs sold 2317 Cinemarks sold 685 Regals sold 660 Harkins sold 373 Black Widow comp: 8.37M Adjusted Black Widow comp: 8.77M Fast 9 comp: 9.97M Suicide Squad comp: 8.38M Once again ignoring that Fast 9 comp because I counted that early. Solid day, went about 1.7x from yesterday. 72% of Black Widow's pace. Don't know if it has the juice for 9M, especially with the aftermath of Ida. I'll go with 8.6M
  12. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex T-0 days Thursday: 4255(+1783)/21408(+262) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 6.78M [8279(+3301)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 7.10M Yeah I think it's underperforming here. I also think that Black Widow may have overperformed with how big the last day jump was. Probably just ignore these comps
  13. Inceptionzq
    If y’all really feel the need to start doomposting, just don’t do it in this thread
  14. Inceptionzq
    Suicide Squad: 2.2x Fast 9(counted an hour early): 1.87x Black Widow: 1.56x It's also worth noting that I counted T-1 day for F9/BW at 1:30PM
  15. Inceptionzq
    I was commenting on the relatively small acceleration in the daily pace, not the comps.
  16. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex T-1 day Thursday: 2472(+351)/21146(+1572) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 6.55M [4978(+591)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 6.86M Fast 9 comp: 12.12M T-2 days Friday: 2246(+446)/59082 in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 12.43M [4754(+835)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 13.02M Fast 9 comp: 22.70M Today's the last day of the F9 comp. Won't matter since I have a BW comp, but I was interested to see how that Friday would end up. It's been neck and neck with F9 for a few days.
  17. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings AMC Westminster 24 Total 490 2126 23.05% AMC Highlands Ranch 24 Total 419 1526 27.46% SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 2377 311 19023 12.50% 15 121 Showings added: 7 Seats added: 977 AMCs sold 1525 Cinemarks sold 314 Regals sold 389 Harkins sold 149 Black Widow comp: 7.72M Adjusted Black Widow comp: 8.08M Fast 9 comp: 10.98M Suicide Squad comp: 10.85M Again not much acceleration. Was hoping for more. Only 55% of BW's pace today. Has to go 1.74x from today until final tomorrow for the adjusted comp to reach 9M. But even if that comp doesn't reach 9M, there should still be a chance with overindexing from Canada and other regions.
  18. Inceptionzq
    @Blankments What’s up with the movies that don’t have trailers? Because this is a count of the amount of times you’ve seen a trailer, no?
  19. Inceptionzq
    Yeah it is. I should add that today's pace was about 72% of BW. Still a solid pace, it would end at 8.56M for the straight BW comp, and 8.96M for the adjusted.
  20. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex T-2 days Thursday: 2121(+317)/19574(+1076) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 6.38M [4387(+608)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 6.68M Fast 9 comp: 12.79M T-3 days Friday: 1800(+352)/59082(+10428) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 12.08M [3919(+630)] Adjusted Black Widow comp: 12.65M Fast 9 comp: 22.47M
  21. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings AMC Westminster 24 Total 437 2082 20.99% AMC Highlands Ranch 24 Total 382 1526 25.03% SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 2064 274 18046 11.44% 15 114 Showings added: 20 Seats added: 1100 AMCs sold 1365 Cinemarks sold 257 Regals sold 325 Harkins sold 117 Black Widow comp: 7.78M Adjusted Black Widow comp: 8.15M Fast 9 comp: 11.68M Suicide Squad comp: 11.37M So like I was thinking might happen, today had a small acceleration from yesterday. Still an increase on the comp though, and with the adjusted BW comp, 9M is still within range. And just FYI, I copied @Porthos' homework with the Ontario adjustment(divided by .955)
  22. Inceptionzq
    That's fair, I'm not adjusting for Ontario. As for ATP, I honestly never adjust for that. Looking around Denver, there are a few theaters that have Matinees up to 6PM. For BW they accounted for less than 9% of tickets. I feel like there's enough regional variation/randomness that trying to adjust for ATP doesn't matter that much. Just one example here, the 9M mark for the BW comp is 4338 tickets sold. TSS comp with that many tickets sold is 9.01M. TSS obviously had a higher ATP, and start time plays a factor into how close the comps are, but still just some random variance at play. According to the BW comp and ATP, it must've overperformed, at least at the time of the count. But maybe walkups weren't as strong in the region as they were nationally. Like you said yourself, even if ends up being 8.5M and that's what the unadjusted Denver comp suggests, it's probably just Denver overperforming rather than performing like it did nationally. But you do make good points so I'll at least add an Ontario adjusted BW comp for both Denver and Megaplex. Maybe I'll adjust for ATP in Denver if I feel like I can do it properly. Probably won't for Megaplex because I don't track the individual shows, just by theater.
  23. Inceptionzq
    That interaction is hilarious 😂. Just imagining Bob saying “good one, Elon!” like Elon made the meme even though it’s such an old one is so funny to me.
  24. Inceptionzq
    So I've been thinking, tomorrow could break hopes for 9M+. At least with Denver comps. Today's acceleration was absolutely huge, 262 sold today vs 99 for yesterday. It's possible that Denver won't have much acceleration tomorrow and will sell say 280. Getting to 2070 sold overall, which would still increase the BW comp to 7.81M. But the comp getting to 9M would be hard from that point. If it goes 1.7x from T-1 day, then it would have to sell 482 tickets the day before release for 9M. A 1.72x increase from 280. This goes for Wednesday too. If tomorrow is another great day, will it be able to keep up a high acceleration or go relatively flat? There needs to be an average acceleration of almost 28% for both Tuesday and Wednesday with a final total of 1.7x T-1. Even if I'm a little more optimistic, and go with a final total of 1.72x T-1, there still needs to be an average acceleration of 25% for both days. I think it'll be really hard for both days to maintain really good acceleration after today, so I think 9M may be out of the picture(again just based on Denver).
  25. Inceptionzq
    Shang-Chi Megaplex T-3 days Thursday: 1804(+272)/18498(+1503) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 6.30M [3779(+339)] Fast 9 comp: 13.63M T-4 days Friday: 1448(+319)/48654(+12589) in 15 theaters Black Widow comp: 11.58M [3289(+411)] Fast 9 comp: 22.37M Fantastic day here as well
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