Borobudur
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Posts posted by Borobudur
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Aquaman may lose to the local title on CD.
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42 minutes ago, JonathanMB said:
Dec 22, 2023 - $977,151 +9% -33% 1,580 $618 $28,404,407 15 Dec 23, 2023 - $1,127,254 +15% -47% 1,580 $713 $29,531,661 16 Dec 24, 2023 - $1,050,000 -7% -46% 1,580 $665 $30,581,661 17 Nice to see that something had a double-digits increase on Saturday, but lol good luck with that Sunday number. Guess they're new to releasing estimates like this though, can't blame them.
NO way -7% on Christmas Eve. I guess GKIDS just want to score good headline to retain their screen and showtimes during holiday season. But both Japanese titles do not better Sat bump. Godzilla-1 sunday estimate was very realistic.
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45 minutes ago, M37 said:
In what possible way are you mathing to come to that conclusion?
I believe he/she was referring this pre-Christmas weekend in particular, not overall run
11 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:Bad, bad, bad Saturday numbers. Definitely shifts perception of weekend for me tbh. Not sure Aquaman/Migration hit 100 from that. 30 mill gonna be tough for Anyone But You (and I assume Iron Claw) as well.
I think Migration 100m is still on table. That A cinemascore is justified. My theater love the movie. As for Aquaman, since people are still believe that people like the movie more than WOM meters suggest, I would have to see how the jump of CD and Boxing Day to conclude that.
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I am totally emotionally invested in the movie! Yes, the movie is generic and formulaic but is fun and wildly entertaining! Now I can understand why the A cinemascore.
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8 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:
Honestly these numbers are a lot better than I was expecting. It still would've been preferrable to see an actually big central tentpole like in previous years, but the wealth seems to be distributed fairly here at least. Aquaman 2 and Migration might both get to $100M, but poor word of mouth on the former and the latter not being received enthusiastically like Puss 2 was last year will prevent them from making much more methinks.
These numbers are better than expected but this season is still lacking a clear WOM sensation. This year the WOM across the board is a lot more shaky unless TCP surprises. Last year both Avatar sequel and PIB2 got A cinemascore and RT audience was comfortably above 90% with Posttrak 5 Stars. And 2021 famously feature 3 A+ cinemascore like NWH, Sing 2 and American Underdog.
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30 minutes ago, M37 said:
Some recovery on a walk-up friendly semi-holiday Thursday sure, but Friday sales always looked solid enough to me for an OW in the teens; just dropping the IM lower now that we have final (bigger) Th & Fri PS
Agree $100M would be a stretch, unless it’s “good enough” to leg out into Jan/Feb as the default option for families with younger kids
The problem is Wonka is also a very viable option out there for families. PIB2 last year had a perfect situation that Migration isn't coming close to enjoy that.
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32 minutes ago, M37 said:
Friday PS are 60% of Trolls ($8.1M TFri) and ~50% of Elemental ($9.3m TFri) so Migration should clear $4M TFri, might even get to $5M+ with holiday effect. Should get to at least $13M (10x), up to $15M+ (12x) given the daily patterns from 2017
This is some recovery after the lackluster presale window but unfortunately I doubt this is pushing the movie to 100m. 72% fresh isn't enough to sustain the WOM buzz. I can't believe Trolls is the only 100m animation post-Summer.
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Even BA got 88% VA score with just 38% critics score, means that the audience agrees with critics. The movie is meh. Not only it is the worst reviewed of all DC movies post-Covid, the GA is also the second weakest, just not far above WW1984 (73% vs 77%)
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Lionsgate is very much in holiday mood already. They stop reporting HG: BOSS daily grosses since Tuesday.
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5 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:
Heron is doing so good, why tf do we have 8 wide releases? That’s just unacceptable scheduling. I hope a few bomb spectacularly and Heron picks up some screens again.
The number of theaters for this upcoming weekend is out. However there is no figure disclosed for Heron and Godzllia. So we still don't know how bad the lose of screen gonna be.
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Theater Counts for December 22
Movie Distributor Theaters Previous
TheatersChange Wonka Warner Bros. 4,213 4,203 +10 Migration Universal Pictures 3,761 New Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom Warner Bros. 3,706 New Anyone But You Sony Pictures 3,055 New Trolls: Band Together Universal Pictures 2,210 3,157 -947 Wish Walt Disney 1,740 3,100 -2,360 Poor Things Searchlight Pictures 800 82 +718 Napoleon Sony Pictures 750 2,601 -1851 Salaar: Cease Fire — Part 1 Prathyangira Cinemas 750 New The Holdovers Focus Features 316 587 -271 Saltburn Amazon Studios 267 476 -209 The Marvels Walt Disney 220 960 -740 Thanksgiving Sony Pictures 171 1,107 -936 Journey to Bethlehem Sony Pictures 73 272 -199 Killers of the Flower Moon Paramount Pictures 49 132 -83 American Fiction Amazon Studios 40 7 +33 Oppenheimer Universal Pictures 25 122 -97 Barbie Warner Bros 15 19 -4 All of Us Strangers Searchlight Pictures 4 New Holiday bloodbath begin -
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2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Migration also is having good walkups. Thinking 1.3m+ at this point.
I actually need this to happen to prove that original animation still works. I mean, Trolls 3 and Wish already losing so many screen to make way for the holiday, Migration need to pick up the audience then to make their scarify "worthy"
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45 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:
Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville
MIGRATION
Thursday Previews
T-0 *Final Update
SHOWINGS
SEATS SOLD
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
183
742
34408
2.2%
*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST
SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY
285 SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY
4
SELLOUTS
0
COMPS
T-0
(0.881x) of Trolls 3 $1.15M Previews
(0.456x) of Elemental $1.09M Previews
Comps AVG: $1.12M
Pretty good finish. Going with $1M-$1.2M
Review bump since the reviews are pretty positive? 72% with 39 reviews is the best for animation since Paw Patrol?? Hope this can bump the walk-ups higher.
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6 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:
Yikes
"At the end of 124 long minutes, both film and audience are deeply immersed in something – but it isn’t seawater."
Told ya, quality of VFX matters.
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35 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Benefit of holidays. But next week there is a big movie opening right to kill the legs of the movie.
But Christmas isn't a public holiday in China right?
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Just now, Krissykins said:
What’s ATOW?
Avatar the way of water
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38% now. Half of the ATOW. Let's keep it that way.
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18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
How did Marvels start?
75%. So Aquaman 2 still better and it is now up to 87%.
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16 minutes ago, dallas said:
China will eat it up. It's a similar movie to The Meg 2 and that got a B- Cinemascore. If this is any better, it will do well.
And vomit out.
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4 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
You are right, but the Avatar 2 trailers were out by then. There were still comparisons between the 2.
Wakanda underwater scenes were so dark we couldn't really see anything.
But I remember there was so praise to the VFX of WF. It is only the real movie that praise go away. Whereas the first Atow teaser actually got some mixed reaction in regard to the VFX but the subsequent trailer and actual movie blow everyone mind away.
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- (2) The Boy and the Heron GKIDS $870,000 -55% -27% 2,325 $374 $24,358,799 11 Great -27% from last week! 30m here we go!
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3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
Wakada Forever and TLM were also hurt badly by coming out after Way of Water with the constant comparisons.
The first Aquaman was lucky as hell coming out before Avatar.
Aquaman probably would have done much better being released sometime in 2022, before the collapse of superhero genre this year was started in motion by Quantumania.
Yeah, the first Aquaman released during the peak of Superhero genre. And that was before people realised the underwater scene can be this hyper-reaslistic and not plastic-looking. Once they seen what can be achieved during ATOW, there is no turning back. And it is not like this round the aquaman coming any better in term of story as compared to ATOW.
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One big mistake WB made is allow this movie to come after Avatar 2. Not only that superhero fatigue hit harder now, it is also about the vast downgrade in term of CGI quality between two is too glaring.
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19 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:
it's a good hold but like Deadline said this weekend 21% of K12 and 76 % of colleges were out yesterday so with more than 35% of the audience were under 25 this weekend , it's normal to have a better hold this week
The % of K-12 going off this Monday isn't much different from the same frame in 2019 and 2018 but Wonka still managed to hold better than ITSV and Jumanji next level. Bur still, both of that movie had a crazy Tuesday jump, something I doubt Wonka can replicate that Tuesday bump.
Christmas Weekend Thread | Xmas Day #s - Purple 18.1, Aqua 10.6, Wonka 10.3, Boys 5.7, Migration 5.4, Ferrari 2.9 | #BlackGirlMagic dominates the charts
in Numbers and Data
Posted
2017 Xmas is a very high bar to clear. Beside SW8, many movies had 110%-160% range of jump, and that is without a big movie that open on 25 Dec with 20m. And that is without mentioning the holiday moviegoing habit that permanently weakened post-Covid.