DC Rich
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Posts posted by DC Rich
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1 hour ago, The Dark Alfred said:
Let's see how much left that old F14 tank and can it squeeze enough juice to get to 1.5b.
I look forward to your updates and say thanks in advance.
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3 minutes ago, Toruk Makto XXR said:
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6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
The difference is those lake areas handle snow. The types of storms that really wipe out box office are the ones that cover the whole East Coast so the Carolinas are getting ice and Virginia up are getting snow/sleet mixes and so on. When the south gets snow/ice, no one moves b/c they don't have the resources to handle much real winter weather, so they wait it out...
I wasn't saying that it was impacting the box office as I did state the heavy snow area was limited to primarily to the lake area. It was more of a response to how much snow they were actually getting.
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24 minutes ago, A Star is Delayed said:
I wondered that too, but it's less a true winter storm and more of a freak lake-effect event, and even then, the only cities of note it's affecting are Cleveland, Erie, Utica, and Buffalo. The Weather Channel was saying a few days ago that Buffalo might get 4-6 feet, but so far the totals have been far less than predicted. (Buffalo is expecting 4-8 inches tonight.) I doubt it's having much of an impact, TBH.
North Buffalo Airport was at 30" this morning at 7am. Orchard Park which is 14m southeast of Buffalo had 77 inches. Buffalo was expecting another 8-10 inches before the storm was done Saturday night. Several other areas had more than 4 feet also. They got a lot of snow but it was more limited to the lake area.
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4 minutes ago, Sophie said:
Yes, I found another post referencing it. Basically it looks like $155M opening, 3.85x legs and a ~600M total.
Sounds pretty reasonable. What would the dom/os split look like? Back before COVID, I would have assumed at least lik 33/67, but now it seems like that's a fairly rare split.
There are others on here that can give a better idea of the dom/os split but I think it will be way bigger OS even without China.
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2 minutes ago, Sophie said:
The fact that it's just "475M+", instead of something like "475-525M", is really weird. I don't like the former because the "+" is so vague. Does that mean that they think $470M is just implausible? Do they think that $470M is less likely than $570M? Less likely than $670M? $770M?
A prediction with just a lower range, and no over-under point, is useless.
I believe the original article had the range at 470m to 720m for a total but it's been removed from the website.
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1 hour ago, Legion By Night said:
MCU pre-thanksgiving wknd Multis:
TDW 3.7x
DS1 3.9x
Rag 4.1x
Et 3.6xEven 3.7 would take 65 to low 460s. I would peg it more like 4x which takes 65 to ~480
All of those movies were coming off their 3rd weekend though. Would those multipliers still be applicable to WF since it's coming off its 2nd weekend leading into the Thanksgiving weekend? I don't think there are a lot of other comps to go by, so I wasn't sure.
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9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Nope it released in all main markets. There may be some minor nation left which won't be doing much.
I know it's way early but what is WF looking at for an OS total at this point.
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What international markets does WF have left to open in? Will any of them be that big?
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On 11/2/2022 at 10:45 AM, keysersoze123 said:1 hour ago, imbruglia said:
BP2 94,959 (D-03)
How are these comparing now? BP made 42m in South Korea. Are we looking at a huge drop from the first to the second?
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2 hours ago, Valonqar said:
Frozen 2 will go down right? Less than 9M.
100% locked.
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18 minutes ago, The More Fun XXR said:
1) I don't think anyone laughed. Pretty sure people just took umbrage with his use of "locked".
2) Who cares?Plus,
1) There were several others on here that said it was going over 700m. They just didn't use the word lock. But they were pretty adamant it was going over.
2) In one of his posts, he was even using an Oscar re-release to justify why it was getting there. He wasn't calling for it on Labor Day. Hell, Avatar will hit 800m if they keep do re-releases.
3) We all have our hits, and we all have our misses on our "locks". It's the box office.
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19 minutes ago, parkerthegreat said:
Is Top Gun still in any premium format? I would assume that would help isolate it from the $3 tickets taking a huge effect.
$700m on Labor Day will take a miraculous hold but is still possible.
All 8 of my AMCs have $3 tickets for all formats and for all showtimes on Saturday.
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4 hours ago, setna said:
TGM entered in a new territory on tuesday with this bump of +27 %, let´s see how hard was the drop for wednesday, don´t eeing yet the 700 M locked, it needs at least 3 more weeks with sub 20 drops.
With a conservative Wednesday and Thursday number TGM should have a 10.4m week and have a running total of 677m through Thursday. If it drops 28% per week it still gets to 700m at the end of September. The only weeks it dropped more than 20% was the week after OW, after a holiday week (1) and the two weeks when facing the opening weeks of Thor and JWD. There's nothing to take away it's crowd for weeks plus it will get a Labor Day weekend boost. 700m is locked. Unless the theaters shut down or the world ends. Neither of those seem likely though.
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US -------TGM 700m
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48 minutes ago, baumer said:
With a whole new generation becoming members of this site and a lot of the older members now either gone or just posting sporadically, I wonder how many people here actually get this reference?
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5 minutes ago, Doffy said:
Yes split between jaws and tgm.
You know that for a fact or just going off a rumor?
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4 minutes ago, Doffy said:
Don't forget imax push labor day weekend upcoming if everything goes right movie has chance to hit 720 domestic
I believe Jaws is getting the IMAX screens on Labor Day weekend.
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8 minutes ago, John Rambo said:
Yes...TGM is currently sitting at 13th in WW list...49M below AoU...
TGM is definitely going past AoU. Does it have enough to get past Frozen II at 1.45b? If it gets to 700m domestically that's at least 38m and the international markets are outpacing it right now. It seems that another 50m overseas is possible with the holds it has been having. Going to be close, I think.
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9 minutes ago, CJohn said:
...this is from EmpireCity isn't it? PM me where to get the new juicy updates.
Not sure where Isaac got his number, but Charlie posted the number on his twitter account 3 hrs ago.
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5 hours ago, setna said:
This is really unfair, this is a enormous job to create a list such this.
I know it would be difficult. I wasn't serious.
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2 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:
The party week for TGM has begun.
Biggest domestic 10th Monday:
1 Jan 21, 2013 Silver Linings Playbook $1,987,543 2,523 $788 $56,699,649 2 Feb 21, 2022 Spider-Man: No Way Home $1,770,762 2,956 $599 $772,170,405 3 Feb 21, 2005 Million Dollar Baby $1,332,093 2,105 $633 $55,645,680 4 Aug 1, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $1,308,232 3,008 $435 $651,619,522 The Numbers only lists through the 10th biggest Thursday. You may have to look it up manually after that. Good luck. We'll be waiting. 😎 👍
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4 minutes ago, baumer said:
There's about 40 people here at 1:15 of crawdad. I'm 50 years old. I'm probably the youngest one here by 20 years.
Looking for the cougars are you?
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
in International Box Office
Posted
Is Black Adam opening this weekend? How's it doing?