abracadabra1998
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Posts posted by abracadabra1998
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On 5/23/2024 at 9:49 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-14):
Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 132 23 126 22386 0.56 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 102 16 80.95 MTC1: 93 9 73.81 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 33 14 26.19 Comps:
0.75x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.73 Million
0.89x Fall Guy (THU): $2.1 Million
Civil War: Missed
0.44x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $1.99 Million (17 theaters)
In a week I will have Equalizer 3 and Expend4bles comps which feel more appropriate for this
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-7):
Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 132 51 177 22386 0.79 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 139 37 78.53 MTC1: 114 21 64.41 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 63 30 35.59 Comps:
0.61x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.06 Million
0.47x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $2.12 Million (17 theaters)
4.21x Expend4bles: $3.16 Million (17 theaters)
1.7x The Equalizer 3: $6.47 Million (17 theaters)
Obviously the biggest outlier here is Equalizer, but that is also probably the best comp... tough to say with a release like this where we don't know just how backloaded it will be
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On 5/28/2024 at 9:27 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 54 33 497 6121 8.12 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 146 5 29.38 MTC1: 301 20 60.56 Alamo: 21 4 4.23 Other chains: 175 9 35.21 Comps:
1.49x Spy x Family Code: $995k
Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: Missed
No movement, probs looking at around $1 Million previews
Minnesota Previews:
Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (T-1):
Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 18 theaters 57 78 575 6337 9.07 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 166 20 28.87 MTC1: 345 44 60 Alamo: 23 2 4 Other chains: 207 32 36 Comps:
1.51x Spy x Family Code: $1.01 Million
0.92x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.66 Million (17 theaters)
I am pretty sure Demon Slayer underperformed here, and I am inclined to go with my more recent data. I'l go with $1.2 Million, +/- 0.2, but really shooting darts here. More useful for filing this data away for future anime comps. Updates for all upcoming releases tomorrow!
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On 5/27/2024 at 8:53 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 45 464 464 4543 10.21 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 141 141 30.39 MTC1: 281 281 60.56 Alamo: 17 17 3.66 Other chains: 166 166 35.78 Comps:
1.49x Spy x Family Code: $995k
0.89x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.6 Million (17 theaters)
Average: 1.3 Million
Not bad, not bad.
Minnesota Previews:
Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 54 33 497 6121 8.12 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 146 5 29.38 MTC1: 301 20 60.56 Alamo: 21 4 4.23 Other chains: 175 9 35.21 Comps:
1.49x Spy x Family Code: $995k
Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: Missed
No movement, probs looking at around $1 Million previews
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Minnesota Previews:
Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 45 464 464 4543 10.21 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 141 141 30.39 MTC1: 281 281 60.56 Alamo: 17 17 3.66 Other chains: 166 166 35.78 Comps:
1.49x Spy x Family Code: $995k
0.89x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.6 Million (17 theaters)
Average: 1.3 Million
Not bad, not bad.
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On 5/19/2024 at 11:35 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Inside Out 2 (T-25):
Day: T-25 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 177 28 85 29077 0.28 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 46 11 56.79 MTC1: 59 18 72.84 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 26 10 32.1 Comps:
1.57x Kung Fu Panda 4: $5.98 Million
0.8x Wonka: $2.82 Million
1.54x Wish (TUE): $2.78 Million
Put me with Katniss here, not impressed at all with the numbers so far here sadly
Minnesota Previews:
Inside Out 2 (T-21):
Day: T-21 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 182 43 124 29579 0.42 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 62 16 50 MTC1: 72 13 58.06 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 52 30 41.94 Comps:
1.81x Kung Fu Panda 4: $6.88 Million (17 theaters)
0.88x Wonka: $3.06 Million (17 theaters)
1.64x Wish (TUE): $2.95 Million (17 theaters)
0.97x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.01 Million (17 theaters)
Good update, hopefully this keeps on rising.
Going to be traveling over the long weekend so the next update for this, Bad Boys, and likely the Watchers is next Thursday. Numbers for next week's anime movie on Monday (T-3)
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On 5/19/2024 at 11:30 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-18):
Day: T-18 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 129 36 103 21270 0.48 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 86 24 83.5 MTC1: 84 25 81.55 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 19 11 18.45 Comps:
0.68x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.39 Million
0.92x Fall Guy (THU): $2.16 Million
1.43x Civil War: $4.15 Million
1.03x Monkey Man: $1.44 Million
0.44x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $1.99 Million
All of these comps had been on sale for longer, so those will go up, with the exception of Civil War, which went on sale at T-18, so that'll go down. This feels like a walk-up movie so it's hard to find some good comps here, welcome to any ideas
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-14):
Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 132 23 126 22386 0.56 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 102 16 80.95 MTC1: 93 9 73.81 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 33 14 26.19 Comps:
0.75x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.73 Million
0.89x Fall Guy (THU): $2.1 Million
Civil War: Missed
0.44x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $1.99 Million (17 theaters)
In a week I will have Equalizer 3 and Expend4bles comps which feel more appropriate for this
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8 minutes ago, Legion Again said:
If there are 5 non back row seats that show blocked then wouldn’t it be 0+7+2 sold for 9?
The first one has two seats for folks with disabilities grayed out, so 2+7+2=11
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Just now, abracadabra1998 said:
I know exactly what theater that is because I track it too lol. They sometimes block out that last row in that particular amphitheater, as well as 5 other seats (maybe broken or what not). The actual number sold there in those three showings is 11 seats
Moreover, the reason I prefer tracking “by hand” (other than my total lack of knowledge around scrapers) is because of things like these, over time you figure out what theaters block off what seats in what rooms and what not. Just make note of it @Relevation because that particular theater does it quite a bit in different rooms as well
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16 minutes ago, Relevation said:
Something must be up with Garfield at one of my theaters, as the back row is completely clear out in all 3 standard showings with not much else going on. Not sure if this is a strong preference for the back row, or if these seats are blocked out.
I know exactly what theater that is because I track it too lol. They sometimes block out that last row in that particular amphitheater, as well as 5 other seats (maybe broken or what not). The actual number sold there in those three showings is 11 seats-
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On 5/21/2024 at 10:16 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-2):
Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 140 25 154 16948 0.91 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 8 0 5.19 MTC1: 77 7 50 Alamo: 17 2 11.04 Other chains: 60 16 38.96 Thursday comps:
0.77x IF: $1.34 Million
0.28x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.06 Million
0.6x Migration: $905k
0.28x Wonka: $965k
0.74x Trolls 3: $965k
Average: $1.05 Million
Gonna keep sounding the alarm bells. HORRIBLE update for this so close to release.
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-1):
Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 143 86 240 17205 1.39 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 9 1 3.75 MTC1: 109 32 45.42 Alamo: 21 4 8.75 Other chains: 110 50 45.83 Thursday comps:
0.75x IF: $1.31 Million
0.28x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.07 Million
0.68x Migration: $1.02 Million
0.33x Wonka: $1.15 Million
0.86x Trolls 3: $1.12 Million
Average: $1.13 Million
Ok final update, rose against a few comps and kinda converging a little bit. No update tomorrow either so I'll go with $1.2 Million, +/- 0.2. Maybe this will have stellar walk-ups, I sure hope it does, but I am not seeing it from pre-sales sadly.
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On 5/21/2024 at 10:06 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 165 153 1274 25407 5.01 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1075 120 84.38 MTC1: 731 82 57.38 Alamo: 181 16 14.21 Other chains: 362 55 28.41 Comps:
0.97x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.38 Million
1.74x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.49 Million
0.82x BoSS: $4.7 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x MI7 (TUE): $5.07 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.41 Million
About that good pace @Porthos...
Not a great update, down against every comp. This is also a movie that is highly overindexing in MTC1 and Alamo (only 28% sold in other chains is pretty low). That is most comparable to... BoSS, which is (not) coincidentally the lowest comp value I have. Right now with this pace and thinking about those variables I think $4.5-5 Million is a good target, but I will be looking closest at that comp moving forward.
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-1):
Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 165 215 1497 25407 5.89 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1239 164 82.77 MTC1: 856 125 57.18 Alamo: 185 4 12.36 Other chains: 456 86 30.46 Comps:
1.47x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $4.64 Million
0.8x BoSS: $4.57 Million (17 theaters)
0.65x MI7 (TUE): $4.55 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $4.59 Million
Removed Kingdom as a comp because I didn't track EA on its T-0 so it doesn't make much sense to keep it, and also because it seems walk-ups will be the opposite story. So while the average doesn't tell the whole story, it still dropped significantly against every comp. The MTC1 over-index is crazy too. No update from me tomorrow, so based on pace, I will go with a final prediction of $4.3 Million, +/- 0.3.
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22 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Deadpool x Wolverine (T-66, Day 1):
Day: T-66 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 298 2398 2398 44821 5.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1739 1739 72.52 MTC1: 1057 1057 44.08 Alamo: 198 198 8.26 Other chains: 1143 1143 47.66 Day 1 Comps (not serious ones, they're just the ones I got):
4.17x The Marvels: $27.49 Million
2.14x Dune Part 2*: $24.14 Million
*combing day 1 of EA sales and day 1 of previews sales, which I know is cheating a little bit, but it doesn't make much sense to do it any other way either
Probably will just update once a week on Thursdays for the next 30 or so days, this is a truly annoying pre-sales window they're giving us here
Minnesota Previews:
Deadpool x Wolverine (T-65, Day 2):
Day: T-65 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 298 392 2790 44821 6.22 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1993 254 71.43 MTC1: 1249 192 44.77 Alamo: 223 25 7.99 Other chains: 1318 175 47.24 Day 2 Comps (not serious ones, they're just the ones I got):
4.6x The Marvels: $30.37 Million
2.29x Dune Part 2: $25.9 Million
Ok, NOW I will update it once a week on Thursdays. Couldn't help but see what the fuss about day 2 was all about and... yeah, pretty damn great!
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22 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 125 23 129 15620 0.83 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 8 2 6.2 MTC1: 70 16 54.26 Alamo: 15 5 11.63 Other chains: 44 2 34.11 Thursday comps:
0.81x IF: $1.42 Million
0.29x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.09 Million
0.72x Migration: $1.07 Million
0.28x Wonka: $980k
0.83x Trolls 3: $1.08 Million
Average: $1.13 Million
I think people that are expecting this to break out like it seems like it is doing so overseas are in for a rude awakening come this weekend
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-2):
Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 140 25 154 16948 0.91 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 8 0 5.19 MTC1: 77 7 50 Alamo: 17 2 11.04 Other chains: 60 16 38.96 Thursday comps:
0.77x IF: $1.34 Million
0.28x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.06 Million
0.6x Migration: $905k
0.28x Wonka: $965k
0.74x Trolls 3: $965k
Average: $1.05 Million
Gonna keep sounding the alarm bells. HORRIBLE update for this so close to release.
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22 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 144 179 1121 23723 4.73 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 955 139 85.19 MTC1: 649 78 57.89 Alamo: 165 20 14.72 Other chains: 307 81 27.39 Comps:
1.05x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.92 Million
1.79x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.65 Million
0.84x BoSS: $4.85 Million (17 theaters)
0.75x MI7 (TUE): $5.25 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.67 Million
Still kickin it
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 165 153 1274 25407 5.01 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1075 120 84.38 MTC1: 731 82 57.38 Alamo: 181 16 14.21 Other chains: 362 55 28.41 Comps:
0.97x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.38 Million
1.74x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.49 Million
0.82x BoSS: $4.7 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x MI7 (TUE): $5.07 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.41 Million
About that good pace @Porthos...
Not a great update, down against every comp. This is also a movie that is highly overindexing in MTC1 and Alamo (only 28% sold in other chains is pretty low). That is most comparable to... BoSS, which is (not) coincidentally the lowest comp value I have. Right now with this pace and thinking about those variables I think $4.5-5 Million is a good target, but I will be looking closest at that comp moving forward.
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Minnesota Previews:
Deadpool x Wolverine (T-66, Day 1):
Day: T-66 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 298 2398 2398 44821 5.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1739 1739 72.52 MTC1: 1057 1057 44.08 Alamo: 198 198 8.26 Other chains: 1143 1143 47.66 Day 1 Comps (not serious ones, they're just the ones I got):
4.17x The Marvels: $27.49 Million
2.14x Dune Part 2*: $24.14 Million
*combing day 1 of EA sales and day 1 of previews sales, which I know is cheating a little bit, but it doesn't make much sense to do it any other way either
Probably will just update once a week on Thursdays for the next 30 or so days, this is a truly annoying pre-sales window they're giving us here
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On 5/19/2024 at 11:23 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-4):
Day: T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 104 38 106 13149 0.81 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 6 6 5.66 MTC1: 54 23 50.94 Alamo: 10 8 9.43 Other chains: 42 7 39.62 Thursday comps:
0.82x IF: $1.43 Million
0.29x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.09 Million
0.79x Migration: $1.19 Million
0.27x Wonka: $940k
0.8x Trolls 3: $1.04 Million
Average: $1.14 Million
This could have a good late surge since EA has been sucking away some pre-sales up until this morning, so let's see if this bounces up a little. Not impressed at all at this stage though, not seeing the break-out some are anticipating.
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 125 23 129 15620 0.83 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 8 2 6.2 MTC1: 70 16 54.26 Alamo: 15 5 11.63 Other chains: 44 2 34.11 Thursday comps:
0.81x IF: $1.42 Million
0.29x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.09 Million
0.72x Migration: $1.07 Million
0.28x Wonka: $980k
0.83x Trolls 3: $1.08 Million
Average: $1.13 Million
I think people that are expecting this to break out like it seems like it is doing so overseas are in for a rude awakening come this weekend
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On 5/19/2024 at 11:17 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-4):
Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 114 298 942 20331 4.63 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 816 240 86.62 MTC1: 571 176 60.62 Alamo: 145 34 15.39 Other chains: 226 88 23.99 Comps:
1.04x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.84 Million
1.74x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.48 Million
0.85x BoSS: $4.86 Million (17 theaters)
0.71x MI7 (TUE): $4.98 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.54 Million
Still doing quite well here, we shall see what this final week looks like!
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 144 179 1121 23723 4.73 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 955 139 85.19 MTC1: 649 78 57.89 Alamo: 165 20 14.72 Other chains: 307 81 27.39 Comps:
1.05x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.92 Million
1.79x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.65 Million
0.84x BoSS: $4.85 Million (17 theaters)
0.75x MI7 (TUE): $5.25 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.67 Million
Still kickin it
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On 5/14/2024 at 11:04 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Inside Out 2 (T-30, Day 1):
Day: T-30 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 180 39 39 29702 0.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 26 26 66.67 MTC1: 30 30 76.92 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 9 9 23.08 Day 1 Comps:
1.31x Kung Fu Panda 4: $4.97 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x Wonka: $2.53 Million (17 theaters)
1.42x Trolls (w/ EA): $3.5 Million (17 theaters)
Holy numbers of shows and seats! Multiplexes are really expecting a lot here. Sales off the bat not amazing here sadly, but we shall see where it goes
Minnesota Previews:
Inside Out 2 (T-25):
Day: T-25 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 177 28 85 29077 0.28 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 46 11 56.79 MTC1: 59 18 72.84 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 26 10 32.1 Comps:
1.57x Kung Fu Panda 4: $5.98 Million
0.8x Wonka: $2.82 Million
1.54x Wish (TUE): $2.78 Million
Put me with Katniss here, not impressed at all with the numbers so far here sadly
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On 5/18/2024 at 10:55 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-21, Day 1):
Day: T-21 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 122 67 67 20518 0.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 62 62 92.54 MTC1: 59 59 88.06 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 8 8 11.94 Day 1 Comps:
0.89x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $5.9 Million
0.96x Fall Guy: $3.02 Million
0.23x GxK: $2.13 Million
0.91x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.07 Million
These numbers are from last Thursday, as per my post this morning. This is a more walk-up movie a la Aquaman or Apes so I think it's a pretty good start
Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-18):
Day: T-18 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 129 36 103 21270 0.48 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 86 24 83.5 MTC1: 84 25 81.55 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 19 11 18.45 Comps:
0.68x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.39 Million
0.92x Fall Guy (THU): $2.16 Million
1.43x Civil War: $4.15 Million
1.03x Monkey Man: $1.44 Million
0.44x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $1.99 Million
All of these comps had been on sale for longer, so those will go up, with the exception of Civil War, which went on sale at T-18, so that'll go down. This feels like a walk-up movie so it's hard to find some good comps here, welcome to any ideas
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On 5/12/2024 at 10:27 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-11):
Day: T-11, T-7 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 99 12 53 12727 0.42 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 21 213 954 22.33 TOTALS: 108 33 266 13681 1.94 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 26 6 49.06 Alamo: 2 2 3.77 Other chains: 25 4 47.17 Thursday comps:
0.95x IF: ???
0.37x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.41 Million
0.21x Wonka: $740k
1.09x Trolls 3: $1.41 Million
EA Comps:
0.58x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-6): $935k
0.98x Fall Guy (T-6): $785k
1.61x Challengers (T-8): $885k
0.93x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-6): $560k
0.26x Dune Part 2 EA: $510k
0.57x Trolls (T-6): $665k
0.47x MI7 (T-6): $940k
EA Average: $755k
Still not really accelerating, and the EA is falling against comps
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-4):
Day: T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 104 38 106 13149 0.81 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 6 6 5.66 MTC1: 54 23 50.94 Alamo: 10 8 9.43 Other chains: 42 7 39.62 Thursday comps:
0.82x IF: $1.43 Million
0.29x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.09 Million
0.79x Migration: $1.19 Million
0.27x Wonka: $940k
0.8x Trolls 3: $1.04 Million
Average: $1.14 Million
This could have a good late surge since EA has been sucking away some pre-sales up until this morning, so let's see if this bounces up a little. Not impressed at all at this stage though, not seeing the break-out some are anticipating.
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On 5/12/2024 at 10:17 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-11):
Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 109 102 418 19652 2.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 375 95 89.71 MTC1: 262 73 62.68 Alamo: 70 11 16.75 Other chains: 86 18 20.57 Comps:
0.91x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.01 Million
1.32x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $4.15 Million
0.83x Godzilla x Kong: $7.65 Million (17 theaters)
1.13x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.33 Million (17 theaters)
0.93x BoSS: $5.34 Million (17 theaters)
0.61x MI7 (TUE): $4.3 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.46 Million
GxK obviously really propping the average up but for now I could see that settling at around $5 Million, still good pace!
Minnesota Previews:
Furiosa (T-4):
Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 114 298 942 20331 4.63 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 816 240 86.62 MTC1: 571 176 60.62 Alamo: 145 34 15.39 Other chains: 226 88 23.99 Comps:
1.04x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.84 Million
1.74x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $5.48 Million
0.85x BoSS: $4.86 Million (17 theaters)
0.71x MI7 (TUE): $4.98 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.54 Million
Still doing quite well here, we shall see what this final week looks like!
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23 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Speaking of DP3 showings.... Pro tip for those who use Fandango (and aren't using some form of scrapers).
Fandango's date strip (where one can jump ahead to a future date to see showtimes) only goes about 60 days in advance, more or less. That means one either has to use the direct Deadpool and Wolverine landing page and hope you get all of the theaters you want to track, or you have to manually adjust the url date as seen in the following links:
https://www.fandango.com/95814_movietimes?date=2024-07-25
https://www.fandango.com/95814_movietimes?date=2024-07-25&filter=my-theaters
with whatever zip code that is local to your (tracking) area and/or your saved list of theaters.
The date strip will align soon enough, but just thought I should mention this workaround until it does so.
Lmao it just keeps getting better 🙄(thanks this is very helpful and you just saved me a headache!)
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Minnesota Previews:
Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-21, Day 1):
Day: T-21 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 122 67 67 20518 0.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 62 62 92.54 MTC1: 59 59 88.06 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 8 8 11.94 Day 1 Comps:
0.89x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $5.9 Million
0.96x Fall Guy: $3.02 Million
0.23x GxK: $2.13 Million
0.91x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.07 Million
These numbers are from last Thursday, as per my post this morning. This is a more walk-up movie a la Aquaman or Apes so I think it's a pretty good start
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On 5/12/2024 at 10:27 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-11):
Day: T-11, T-7 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 99 12 53 12727 0.42 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 21 213 954 22.33 TOTALS: 108 33 266 13681 1.94 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 26 6 49.06 Alamo: 2 2 3.77 Other chains: 25 4 47.17 EA Comps:
0.58x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-6): $935k
0.98x Fall Guy (T-6): $785k
1.61x Challengers (T-8): $885k
0.93x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-6): $560k
0.26x Dune Part 2 EA: $510k
0.57x Trolls (T-6): $665k
0.47x MI7 (T-6): $940k
EA Average: $755k
Still not really accelerating, and the EA is falling against comps
Minnesota Early Access:
The Garfield Movie:
Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 116 389 954 40.78 EA Comps:
0.66x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $1.05 Million
1.05x Fall Guy: $845k
1.41x Challengers: $775k
1.06x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-6): $635k
1.07x Wish: $535k
0.34x Trolls (T-6): $400k
0.4x MI7 (T-6): $800k
EA Average: $720k
The two comps that are most helpful, Wish and Trolls (not PLF, EA on a weekend, family movies) are both pointing to a lot lower than average, so I'm inclined to give those a lot more weight. I'm thinking $500-600k for EA. Just hope it gets reported tbh
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Minnesota Previews:
Inside Out 2 (T-14):
Comps:
5.32x The Garfield Movie (THU): $10.24 Million (17 theaters)
1.7x Kung Fu Panda 4: $6.47 Million (17 theaters)
0.92x Wonka: $3.23 Million (17 theaters)
1.11x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.43 Million (17 theaters)
Keeps chugging along, comps will start converging soon... where? We shall see how backloaded this is.
I had planned to give updates for DxW, The Watchers, and a Quiet Place Day 1... but this Timberwolves loss has me down bad tonight. The school year, ending very soon, will make a lot easier for me, so I will be more consistent then. Thanks for understanding!