cory
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Posts posted by cory
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4-day estimated tickets (spizzers method):TDK: 25,796,275ROTS: 24,719,100MTA: 23,784,119SM3: 23,559,070DMC: 23,477,100ROTF: 22,134,113SM1: 21,665,900DH2: 21,049,023
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$18,898,999-66.9% / -
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Wow! $19m was pretty much the ceiling for Monday. MTA is a monster.
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The 23m ticket crown is waiting for it at $193m with a 12% IMAX take. I think it will happen.Fixed
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Exactly. "First Place": Spider-Man 3, The Dark Knight, The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises (inevitable)"Second Place": Spider-Man, Dead Man's Chest, ROTS 3-day"Third Place": New Moon, Deathly Hallows Pt 2, Hunger Gamesgets a little crowded after that.Just call them even as it depends what ticket prices you use. Even a 2% error in ticket prices you use to calculate can give an error of half a million tickets. So yeah they all around ~22m with no clear winner.
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The Raid really had quite the tumble. From 14 to almost 900 theaters and down to 48 all in 7 weeks.
Mar 23–25 26 $213,785 - 14 - $15,270 $213,785 1 Mar 30–Apr 1 21 $270,496 +26.5% 46 +32 $5,880 $582,442 2 Apr 6–8 14 $526,292 +94.6% 176 +130 $2,990 $1,249,902 3 Apr 13–15 11 $961,454 +82.7% 881 +705 $1,091 $2,526,072 4 Apr 20–22 17 $473,657 -50.7% 548 -333 $864 $3,494,568 5 Apr 27–29 30 $134,805 -71.5% 126 -422 $1,070 $3,894,013 6 May 4–6 - $35,778 -73.5% 43 -83 $832 $4,004,549 7
http://boxofficemojo...end&id=raid.htm
What a shame, really fantastic movie.
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I have it hitting $500m at about 24 days. Too scared to extrapolate further.
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Multipliers!SM3: $462m IM2: $506mShrek 3: $550mAWE: $559mAiW: $597m (apparently not many movies do between 2.7 and 3.1x)DMC: $647mIM1: $670m TDK: $698m SM1: $729m Shrek 2: $847mLooks like it should end up with around $600m.
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Yep.Avengers is on top by several hundred thousand. Somewhere in the low 22 millions -
Even though they messed up Green Lantern, they really just need a post-Nolan Batman movie and a Flash or Wonder Woman movie in addition to Man of Steel to pull it off. 2016 sounds possible since WB is probably putting some serious effort into it now that these weekend numbers have come out.Yeah I think that team-ups and crossovers are the future. The next logical team-up and perhaps an even bigger one would be a Justice League movie.
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11 years from 25 to 507 years from 50 to 10010 years from 100 to 200
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Wow. That's 21.5-22.5 est tickets. Record broken.
Must have hit the cheap theaters. Awesome!Anybody else surprised by how much John Carter improved this weekend?
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Seems like it. I have 22.15m adjusting for 3D and IMAX.Is this an admission record too?
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It didn't break the ticket sales record.He missed Harry Potter - Deathly Hollows Part 2, which was also a record-breaker and not a superhero movie.What is also interesting is that both the first and last Harry Potter movies set new weekend records. Both were broken the very next year by a superhero movie released the first weekend of May.
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$760,507,626 and not a penny more.
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I think it's almost statistically impossible to prove that the record has been broken since Spider-Man.The fact that for the last six years the highest attended movie only is an increase of 1.4m or since 2002 is 2.4m shows there is indeed a cap for how high it can go, not that I needed to be told, but some people need reminding. Using an $8 ticket price, TDKR would have to have 25m people attend it, a bigger jump than in 3 months than the past 10 years, to get a $200m OW.Where's the couple people I was arguing with some time yesterday? Is this proof enough?
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Rough ticket estimates for the record breakers:1983: Return of the Jedi - 7.31m1984: Temple of Doom - 7.54m1989: Batman - 10.20m1992: Batman Returns - 11.01m1993: Jurassic Park - 11.36m1995: Batman Forever - 12.13m1997: The Lost World - 15.72m2001: Harry Potter 1 - 15.95m2002: Spider-Man - 19.77m2006: Dead Man's Chest - 20.71m2007: Spider-Man 3 - 21.70m2008: The Dark Knight - 21.74m2012: The Avengers - 22.15m
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I think it will match DH2's attendance, but probably not its gross.
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Zou Bisou Bisou to Lionsgate this weekend.
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I'm thinking that 3x is the hard ceiling for this, it doesn't have summer weekdays.I wouldn't say that. It's a non sequel with good WOM and no competition until May. -
Still unbelievable. And that's coming from a non-fan.
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Going to be over $150m, damn. Not really a fan, but I have to hand it Lionsgate, well done. This had absolutely everything going for it going into the weekend.
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Double-edged sword for Lionsgate, now no one's paying attention to Mad Men this weekend.Heading out for most of the evening. Congrats to Lionsgate and all of the HG fans, this is your weekend.
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Doesn't look like this is staying around $140m, there's a chance this is taking SM3'S Saturday and the 2D opening record.Spider-Man: 68.3 - 53 - 40 (161)TDK: 68.3 - 47.5 - 44 (160 but Sunday won't be that high)AIW: 68.3 - 52.5 - 37 (158)DH2: 68.3 - 43.3 - 36.4 (148)New Moon: 68.3 - 44.2 - 29 (141 but Sunday won't be that low)
May 7 - 10, 2012 Weekday Numbers: AVENGERS 12.5 Thurs pg 61
in Numbers and Data
Posted
It needs $100m this weekend to beat TDK's second weekend attendance and $118 to beat Spider-Man's (the record).