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spizzer

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Everything posted by spizzer

  1. Not as nice as 16.9, but great hold. Isn't a fair bit of the country off?
  2. I think that's a poorly tabulated internet metric that's not quite legit. Pokemon's definitely up there but I don't think this was ever accurate, I think someone on Wikipedia just added up what they could find/was found and Pokemon resulted in #1. Can't back that statement up right now but I'll try to look into it and get back to it sometime.
  3. Oh regarding Empire tweet I was more focusing on his Weekend 2 comments, not current weekend. For this weekend I agree, DL pulled $59M out of their ass. Sat I expect a jump as well, this with its demos + 90 minute runtime should be a matinee monster which means Saturday will be highest attended day easy and IMO enough for a jump from 54M.
  4. Expect Sat jump? Also, Empire tweeted this: Are you seeing what he's seeing for Weekend 2? Or is this just guesstimating?
  5. Well he's probably got better Sat/Sun projections than Deadline. If it really did $59M I'd be confident in like $220M, but DL is only at $195M.
  6. Yeah I just tried to cool down another forum with that 59M number. You still think >55M looks good? Charlie said 53M earlier today>
  7. DL finally gets their act together. They're still ~20M too low methinks but I'm no insider.
  8. They need $9M in refunds in order for those figures to work. 92M 3-day + 58M 2 Day = 150M, but they're saying 141M lol.
  9. It won't drop on Saturday. Early signs and trend suggest its not performing like a fan-driven film (otherwise Wednesday should have been way more rabid and in $50-60M). It's just behaving like a regular family/animated film but with much larger volume. Saturday should see a small jump from 55-60M Friday. Maybe not even small, but Good Friday probably adds a little bit of Sat deflation compared to a regular Friday.
  10. Nice and @keysersoze123 sees >$55M for Fri, so maybe we're inching towards $60M with about +115-125% increase. $220M here we come.
  11. I try to stop by anytime something CRAZY happens. Also trying to help launch BO discussion in another community so I needed to come here for the Charlie & the Tracking Thread's insights. 😁
  12. LOL what a fun summer that was. Up Hangover ROTF Bruno Potter 6 The Proposal District 9 Inglorious Basterds
  13. Felt like it was multiple converging factors. I was in HS & on BOM back then and my memory of that time was that Potter 6 that summer really made midnight/rabid shows a thing for my age-group (as opposed to just a fanbase thing) and then that factor just ramped up further with NM later that year. Then there was a bit of Lautner craze plus Edward v Jacob craze & early memeing. Then there's the fact that I guess Twilight theatrical and later HV performance probably solidified its conversion to cinema in the eyes of the fanbase and so they were sold on the rest of the franchise. A little bit of all of those I'd say.
  14. Awesome. So that's why Charlie tweeted >$175M maybe $200M. It's performing like a 4-quad blockbuster for Fri/Sat presales.
  15. Spicy Charlie paaji. Presales for Fri/Sat must be looking huge.
  16. Yup Indy or MiP somehow expands after decades and pulls the Maverick crowd.
  17. Not surprising. Super Saturday should always have a flattening effect at this demand level, which helps spillover into Sunday. TFA/Avatar were closer to Christmas by a single day, so I don't expect that much deviation. I think the drop will land between 10-15%.. Separate note - TFA we had a >50M Christmas Day thread, missed the cutoff by pocket change. If the week trends hefty, this time with CD on a Saturday, threshold should be $60M unless Omicron scare catches momentum. Friday CE is going to be super deflated anyway.
  18. So will be a tight race against IW OW % wise, though nominally something like $265M vs. $257M is a clear victory. Or Sat jump higher than normal due to such an early Thu start?
  19. Yes the entire DC area had only 2 theaters with reserved seating even in the early 2010s. Back during TDK I think it was only the AMC in Arlington Courthouse that offered reserved seating. For SM3 I sat in the bottom row corner of a native 90ft IMAX screen lol. Tele and I put in a hell of a run in 2011-2012 when we first moved to this place, tracking Hobbit/Twilight/THG/Avengers/TDK. It was so manual.
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