Jump to content

jj99

Free Account+
  • Posts

    980
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by jj99

  1. 24 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

    Yes Aladdin is back on track .. & will finished on top again this weekend ..

     

    FFH is at 146,211 

    keep in mind that late showings seem to perform worse as the weekends go by, so I expect the drop from last week to increase.

    Worst case scenario I don't see I dropping over 15%

     

    already increased to 9.7% from 9.2% with the latest update.

  2. 43 minutes ago, cookie said:

    Maleficent 2 is going to see a hefty decrease no matter what (five and a half year gap and mid-October release), the question is how much.

     

    36 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

    Maleficent 2 is another Through the Looking Glass.

     

    Underestimate Mal at your own Peril.

     

    Post Lion King we only have Angry Birds and Dora in August as the only Family Movies. There is also Abominable in Sept, but not sure wha kind of profile that movie has.

     

    I think demand alone will carry It along nicely. Mal 1 performed excellently during the World Cup in the summer, so I'm more worried about its OS numbers.

     

  3. 17 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

    Haven't done this in a while.

     

    Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    Annabelle 3 136 136 236 211 221
      9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days
               
    Spider-Man FFH 1,415 1,408 2,604 2,106 1,283
      15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days 11 days

     

     

    Annabelle

    Day 9-5

    84% of The First Purge (14.6M 3-Day, 26.2M 5-Day)

    27% of The Nun (14.4M 3-Day)

     

    Day 16-5

    108% of The First Purge (18.8M 3-Day, 33.8M 5-Day)

    25% of The Nun (13.6M 3-Day)

     

    The first Purge (heh) comp does make me pause, considering it's on the home stretch, but it's still a couple days away. Let's see what happens.

     

    Far From Home

    Day 15-11

    16% of Infinity War (41.9M 3-Day)

    45% of Captain Marvel (69.6M 3-Day)

     

    Day 22-11

    14% of Infinity War (37.2M 3-Day)

    46% of Captain Marvel (70.3M 3-Day)

     

    Looking at past results, a 70M 3-Day was what Transformers got, and that translated out to a 155M 6-Day opening. Do with that information what you will

    Inline with Homecoming's first 6 days. maybe an extra 10M bump, right about what I'm expecting. 

     

    Please, people, keep your predictions measured. we don't need another disappointment. 

  4. 1 hour ago, AlexMA said:

    People are ridiculous on here, when did a $130-140 million start become a bad thing? Especially considering two months ago many on here doubted it would even hit $350 million, let alone match Toy Story 3's final domestic total. A $130-140 million start for a Pixar movie, with the rave reviews this is getting pretty much guarantees it will at least get to Toy Story 3's numbers in North America, but most likely will exceed them. With that start I'm pulling a $400-450 million domestic final out of my ass.

    After Deadline's ridiculous 200M tracking, people started getting crazy with their predictions, so anything Lower was bound to be disappointing.

     

    Similar thing likely to happen to FFH, with people again overestimating 

  5. 2 hours ago, imbruglia said:

    Wednesday 6-19 boxoffice

    1. Aladdin - 136,660 (5,726,242)
    2. Long Live The King - 117,540
    3. Parasite - 92,158 (8,642,806)
    4. MIB - 26,084 (746,006)

     

    KOBIS presale 16:20
    1. TS4 169k
    2. Aladdin 157k
    3. Parasite 31k
    4. Long Live The King 30k
    5. MIB 6.7k

     

    CGV 16:20
    1. TS4 57k
    2. Aladdin 51k
    3. Parasite 26k
    4. Long Live TheKing 26k
    5. MIB 3.5k

     

     

    Higher for Aladdin when compare to last week right? 

     

    Crazy!

  6. 3 hours ago, Menor said:

    How is that a "mythical" bump though? Historically, every MCU sequel with an Avengers movie in between has seen a sizable bump. This one has an even more direct connection to said Avengers movie.

    Let's Asses This.

     

    Post The Avengers:

     

    Iron Man 3 - Almost 100M increase

    I would say being the 1st Marvel movie since Avengers after a year long wait probably contributed to that. Plus first one with 3D helped.

     

    Thor: The Dark World - Barely increased around 26M, but that was also not a very good Movie in my opinion.

     

    Winter Soldier - Increased by 83M, Felt like the true sequel, so will give you this one. Had great legs. (Still my fav Marvel Movie)

     

     

    Post Ultron

     

    Captain America: Civil War - Glorified Avengers move so doesn't count.

     

    The rest came out years after Ultron, that I won't even bother. Marvel Brand became consistent, quality wise and grew in popularity.

     

    Post Infinity War

    Again, as mention above, Ant-Man barely increased.

     

    I guess FFH might be the tie breaker. Homecoming came out near Peak Marvel, so I don't expect the growth to be too much. Ive seen people predicting close to 500M for this, which I feel is unrealistic and will only lead to disappointment. Im not hating on FFH and I hope people don't treat it like a palate cleanser, like they did Ant Man  & The Wasp, Which also came out not too long after an Avengers movie.

    • Like 1
  7. 59 minutes ago, narniadis said:

    Those of us in the not 400m camp for Spidey will be glad when it opens and the hand wringing can stop. 

     

    I would say the same for TS4 but this forum is skewed in their view of it winning or losing. 

    Just seems like we have had tons of anxiety over presales since End game toasted everything.  

    Im also secretly in this Camp. But we can't be too vocal.

     

    I don't know where this mythical bump is supposed to come from. (Don't see an End Game Bump, Sorry)

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
  8. Corpse:
    Image
    (C)2018 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All Rights Reserved

    Weekend Actuals (06/15-16)
    01 (01) ¥1,097,069,100 ($10.1 million), -02%, ¥3,582,957,700 ($33.0 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK2
    02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥365,556,200 ($3.3 million), Men in Black International (Sony) NEW
    03 (02) ¥211,085,100 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥2,211,821,700 ($20.5 million), Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK3
    04 (---) ¥146,019,260 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥146,019,260 ($1.3 million), Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 (Showgate) NEW
    05 (03) ¥144,372,400 ($1.3 million), -30%, ¥2,509,025,900 ($23.0 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK5
    06 (---) ¥101,021,440 ($930,000), 0, ¥101,021,440 ($930,000), Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex) NEW
    07 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($690,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) NEW
    08 (09) ¥x57,684,000 ($531,000), -12%, ¥494,277,000 ($4.5 million), Promare (Toho) WK4
    09 (04) x¥56,433,000 ($520,000), -32%, ¥241,129,200 ($2.2 million), Sea Beast Children (Toho Video Division) WK2
    10 (06) ¥x53,306,000 ($491,000), -33%, ¥5,471,938,400 ($49.3 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK9
    11 (05) ¥x47,564,500 ($438,000), -42%, ¥1,049,358,000 ($9.6 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) WK4
    12 (07) ¥x46,189,200 ($425,000), -41%, ¥2,879,794,700 ($26.4 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK7


    >Aladdin claimed the #1 spot in spectacular fashion once again, selling a further 757,217 admissions, achieving an incredible second weekend hold to become only the fourteenth film to achieve a second weekend above the ¥1 billion milestone. It earned itself the 9th-Biggest Second Weekend of All-Time. So far, Aladdin is performing very similarly to its studio predecessors, Beauty and the Beast and Alice in Wonderland, and has a good shot at reaching the ¥10 billion ($90 million) milestone.

    >Men in Black International debuts in second place to a disappointing result. The fourth film in the popular(?) franchise sold 188,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 732 screens. It sold 256,633 admissions since opening on Friday. This debut is 52% below Men in Black III, and since I expect legs to be worse, it could potentially finish 60% below its predecessor. Expect a disappointing finish around ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).  

    >Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 did very well, selling an impressive 118,587 admissions over the weekend on just 60 screens. This opening is actually 3% above Chapter 1, which is pretty rare for sequels in multi-part finale series'. It's very hard to project totals for nigh-exclusive fanbase, or otaku, anime films since they can have fan events/giveaways throughout their run which provide big boosts, and while ¥1 billion (~$10 million) won't be easy to reach, it certainly could do it.

    >Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl might just be the most impressive performance at the box-office this weekend. The limited release anime film managed to break the ¥100 million mark over the weekend on just 31 screens. And while that's an incredible feat, it sold through an astonishing 87% of its available tickets over the weekend, selling 66,630. As I mentioned yesterday, it's not uncommon for limited release anime films to sell the majority of their available tickets, but an 87% is incredible.

     

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 2
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.