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Mango

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    Weekdays Thread: Barbie $9.1M MON | $9.6M TUES

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    3 hours ago, LonePirate said:

    Oppenheimer will pass The Hangover Part II on Saturday to climb a notch on the all-time R-rated list. After that, the original Hangover will fall in about 7-10 days.


    Oppenheimer has a decent shot at entering the top 5. It’ll pass Matrix: Reloaded soon after Hangover, and from that point on Deadpool 2 sits at $324.6m, and It at $328.9m. Joker isn’t really that far up the ladder, with $335.5m at #4. It all depends on late legs, this weekend looks like $18m-ish, and from there it depends on how it can handle when GT and BB take IMAX screens.

    Weekdays Thread: Barbie $9.1M MON | $9.6M TUES

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

     

    The main thing to me is that Oppy is now ahead of TDKR in daily gross. It only needs 74% of TDKR's daily gross the rest of the way to reach $300 million. This seems very doable. I dare say it's LOCKED to happen. Would be shocking if it's not able to get there based on the trends so far. 


    I think it’s basically locked. By the end of the coming weekend we should be in the vicinity of $260m off a $16-18m weekend. I can’t see it missing it from there. GT and BB seem like they’ll be sacrificing IMAX showtimes in favor of more Oppenheimer within their opening weeks tbh. A lot (maybe all) of the 70mm venues have already extended Oppenheimers run through the rest of the month and won’t be screening them at all.

    Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    32 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

    They could have avoided that with better scheduling.


    Mid-April like a lot of the Fast/Furious films did would have been a good pick for MI7. It wouldn’t have been too hampered by Mario, and could have gotten at least two weeks of IMAX and premium screens before Guardians.

     

    That said, hindsight is 20/20.

    • Like 1

    Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I don’t think Dune is moving, they’ve got like 6 weeks of IMAX booked and I can’t imagine them getting a sweet gig like that again. Hell even the filmed on IMAX hit Oppenheimer won’t get that.

     

    Marvels moving to December sounds good on paper, but I can’t see WB moving Aquaman again and Marvel/Disney just aren’t going to go toe to toe with a DC film, not because they don’t think they’d beat it but because they know there’s a huge audience overlap and they want to maximize profits.

    Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

     

     


    Matched Dunkirk and Interstellar in 12 days. Batman Begins is the next Nolan film which it should pass Friday.

     

    TDK and TDKR obviously aren’t happening, but Inception is next on the list after that.

    Weekday numbers July 24-27

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

    DR  Part 1 does tell a complete story. . 


    It does, which sorta made the subtitle all the more confusing for me. I get part two will obviously continue from the events of this one, but the movie works fine as a stand-alone. 

    • Like 1

    Weekday numbers July 24-27

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    36 minutes ago, Killimano3 said:

     

    Now we just need Oppenheimer to pass Passion of the Christ for highest grossing r-rated film domestically. Oppenheimer to 400!!


    Will nut myself if Oppenheimer beats Passion.

     

     

    However before second weekend I’m still on the “let’s get to $300m” 

    Weekday numbers July 24-27

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

    Barbie:

     

    20.7M (-10%)

     

    26.9M (+30%)

    37.7M (+40%)

    30.2M (-20%)

    94.8M Weekend, 42% drop

     

    We'll see how big the Fri/Sat increases end up being, but even with some weekday frontloading, a low to mid 40s drop with Dolby losses is fantastic for something this scale.

     

    Oppenheimer:

     

    10.4M (-3%)

     

    15.6M (+50%)

    23.4M (+50%)

    17.5M (-25%)

    56.5M Weekend, 32% drop

     

    Even if Oppenheimer's Friday is only a 30-40% increase, it's still looking at a 42-43% drop at worst. I don't see how the weekend would fall below 48M without a disappointing Friday (+10-20%) or Saturday (+20-30%).

     


    Those are some hefty Saturday jumps, though I think your Friday’s for both might be low

    • Like 1

    Weekday numbers July 24-27

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I think Oppy can do $50m. The comps to Nolan’s other films are important, but I think one factor that might give it a boost compared to them is films like Oppenheimer generally have much better Friday/Saturday boosts. 3 hours, more limited screens, R-rating (though that last one is the least of the factors imo)

     

    Wouldn’t be surprised if it has a decently better Friday (or at least Saturday) jump than Inception or other Nolan outings. 
     

    Either way it’s all gravy at this point. Even with the Nolan name, on paper this seemed like $60m opening at best. The second weekend predictions are basically what every outlet had its opening weekend doing a few weeks back.

    • Like 7
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