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Mango

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    Uncharted | February 18, 2022 | Trailer on Page 28!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Halba said:

    dont put any weight into audience scores on rt. RT is a critical review aggregator.

     

    Not that I'm defending the movie, but this works both ways for critic and audience reviews on RT. Uncharted may have 39%, but that could mean 39% of critics have it 9.5s across the board and the remaining just gave it bad reviews. 100% and 60% could hypothetically have the same average rating.

    President's Day Weekend Thread: Uncharted 3.7 Previews, Dog 1.26

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

    Sonic 

    Detecive Pikachu

    Rampage

    Prince of Persia did 30m in 3 day OW

     

    Sonic and Pikachu are long running multi-media franchises mainly aimed a kids. Yeah they are both "video game movies" but they couldn't be more removed from the type of audience Uncharted goes for. Rampage was sold as a Dwayne Johnson spectacle, I doubt half the people that saw it ever played the games. Prince of Persia is a solid comp though.

    • Like 3

    The Matrix Reloaded

    in Classic Box Office Runs

    Posted

    Insane to think what pop culture would be like now had Reloaded been an "Empire" or "TDK" to it's first film, one that exceeded it in quality. The movie's gross was already huge all things considered, but had word of mouth been glowing rather than mixed? It would have changed everything. Return of the King might not have been the highest grossing film that year, and rather than flaming out fairly quickly in the mid-2000s the films would have been on everyone's minds for a lot longer. 

     

    Out of all the would be "Next Star Wars", Matrix had the best chance at being it. 

    Super Bowl/Valentine's Weekend Thread | Nile 1.1M Previews, Marry Me 525K

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

    Think Sony will expand it right on March than wait for Strange, that is if they're gonna do it at all. Once the Batman calms down after a couple of weeks, they've got an empty March. Waiting for Strange is probably not a good idea as NWH will be around 6 months old at that point. 

     

    Well they do have Morbius on April 1, so that kind of limits them a bit in terms of a potential box office boosting re-issue

    Super Bowl/Valentine's Weekend Thread | Nile 1.1M Previews, Marry Me 525K

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Mango

    Good for Spidey, I'm thinking $2m Fri, $3.9m Sat, $1.4m Sunday for a $7.3m weekend.

     

    Also, I think No Way Home is gonna increase next weekend. If thanks to nothing more than studio numbers fuckery and drive-in's with Uncharted, but I don't think it'll honestly need either of those things. The next two weeks are it's final hurrah before sizable, direct competition hits. I see it like:

     

    Feb 11-13: $7.3m/$759.1m

    Feb 18-20: $7.5m/+ $1.5m Monday for $770.9m

    Feb 25-27: $5.0m for $777m

     

    Will likely drop 50%+ for Batman, and the spring has more competition so I imagine it will be under $1m weekends by the end of March. $785-790m or so final gross. If it gets close enough to $800m I could definitely see Sony doing a re-release with deleted scenes or something a week or two before Doctor Strange. 

    Weekend Thread (Feb 4 - 6) : Jackass $1.65 Thursday

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    It's good to see something that isn't a superhero movie or CGI extravaganza make decent coin. Still, we need more variety. Hopefully Jackass numbers are a good sign for that.

     

    I also like how this weekend was essentially "how to do dumb mindless entertainment right vs wrong" with the Jackass crew doing what they do best and Emmerich managing to disappoint people agian. 

     

    And No Way Home is a total beast, the lack of competition is driving it to better late legs than any other comic book film I can think of.

    • Like 3

    Weekday Thread (Jan 31-Feb 3)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    I have NWH doing $780M till 2nd March. Two things happen then


    1. The Batman releases, so direct competition

    2. It will be available to stream on 28th Feb

     

    If not for these two, could have made run for $800M, but now seems like $785-790M will be right about it.

     


    is the Feb 28 thing accurate? Seems to have been floating around for a few weeks but no official or credible word.

     

    Its also a Monday which is an odd day to release

    Weekday Thread (Jan 31-Feb 3)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    With that week to week hold plus this being a no-football Sunday I’d say a small increase is possible but there are actually some new releases this weekend that could garner mild interest. 
     

    Still, a 10-20% dip seems like worst case scenario unless Monday was a fluke day

    Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Really interested to see if this film revives the 3D fad. The format has basically been on life-support for years. I hate 3D, so I hope not. Not saying that I want the film to fail, but it'd be nice to not have 3D shoved down my throat for another 5 years.

     

    In terms of quality, Cameron hasn't really given me a reason to doubt IMO. I'm not sure what more I'd necessarily want from an Avatar sequel, the first one was a pretty good vfx bonanza with a pretty simple story that was boosted by great direction and imaginative design but I haven't really been clamoring for a sequel. That said, the only two sequels Cameron has directed were arguably better than the originals, so there's that.

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