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Mango

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Posts posted by Mango

  1. 10 minutes ago, M37 said:

    It was also the first hero film post-9/11, taking place in NYC (the original teaser had Spidey catching a helicopter in a web between the twin towers), and to this day I’m convinced that connection played a big role it’s OW and overall run 


    For my persuasive arguments class in college I did an entire paper based on the correlation between 9/11 and the super hero movie blow-up. I made an A and convinced pretty much my entire class it was a big factor.

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  2. 2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:


    Just enjoy the stronger legs. Spidey 1 in 2002 was similar. Very restricted on opening weekend (moreso than Barbie) and ended up with some pretty awesome legs by superhero genre standards. I much prefer the huge opening with great legs instead of a maxed out weekend and shitty legs. 


    Spider-Man 1 in 2002 is still the most impressive opening weekend to me. Adjusted for inflation it’s $208m without any IMAX, 3D, or premium at all. It did all this on “only” like 7000 (I think) screens. That adjusts to nearly $30k a screen! I don’t know the exact screen count Endgame had in the states, but I highly doubt it tops Spidey’s per-screen attendance. 

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  3. 3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

    Yeah, it’s the admissions record that is holding pretty much forever unless if/when there is ever a seismic shift again in people wanting to flock to movie theaters. 


    Even if there is a huge shift back to theaters and we get attendance levels from a decade ago back, getting something to Endgame admissions for opening weekend would be insanely difficult. The only thing I can think of that could even feasibly do this is if James Gunn’s new DC universe is as successful as it possibly could be. And even that would take a while. 

  4. 5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:


    We can ignore Interstellar. So far it has been tracking very similar to Inception in daily percentages. Probably won’t match Inception’s crazy weekend number of 32%, but I would be glad if it can land around 42%. That’s better than Dunkirk, TDK, and TDKR


    I’m hoping for a sub-40% but realistically 40-45% would be good and basically lock in $300m, or at least close to it. Inception would be a tough one regardless but especially because even if Saturday and Sunday match it, Oppy’s Friday will lose to Inception based on last weeks previews being factored in.

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  5. 7 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

    $12M is a hell of a lot better for Oppy. That means Tuesday is around 45% of Saturday. Very similar to Inception. Great 👍👍


    Oppenheimer’s second weekend if it follows other Nolan films

     

    TDK: $39.1m (-52.5%)

    Inception: $56m (-32%)

    TDKR: $31.8m (-61.4%)

    Interstellar: $49.1m (-40.4%)

    Dunkirk: $43.4m (-47.3%)

     

    Interstellar probably should have been excluded since it was a totally different time of year, and I didn’t bother with Tenet or anything pre-TDK.

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  6. Endgame was probably on a record number of screens as well. Over 4,600 theaters, I’d imagine at least 20,000 screens domestically. It’s $357m number isn’t as impossible to imagine when you factor in the screen count. TDK was on like 9,000 or so and Spider-Man 3 around 10-11,000. Add on the development of premium screens, IMAX, and 3D.

  7. 11 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

    All movies have better hold from Sunday as compared to last Monday. Is spillover effect not just on Barbieheimer?

     

    1 (1) Barbie Warner Bros. $26,105,167 -40%   4,243 $6,153 $188,127,211 4
    2 (2) Oppenheimer Universal $12,671,950 -45%   3,610 $3,510 $95,127,370 4
    3 (3) Sound of Freedom Angel Studios $3,168,715 -53% -36% 3,285 $965 $127,602,227 21
    4 (4) Mission: Impossible Dead … Paramount Pi… $2,374,770 -60% -55% 4,321 $550 $120,982,750 13
    5 (6) Insidious: The Red Door Sony Pictures $1,003,467 -49% -41% 2,554 $393 $72,140,350 18
    6 (5) Indiana Jones and the Dia… Walt Disney $961,273 -54% -37% 2,885 $333 $159,958,636 25
    7 (7) Elemental Walt Disney $949,136 -45% -24% 2,720 $349 $138,106,455 39
    8 (8) Spider-Man: Across the Sp… Sony Pictures $505,496 -45% -42% 1,669 $303 $375,783,389 53
    9 (9) Transformers: Rise of the… Paramount Pi… $156,579 -57% -64% 834 $188 $155,820,989 46
    10 (10) No Hard Feelings Sony Pictures $133,081 -49% -69% 1,017 $131 $49,353,792 32
    11 (11) The Little Mermaid Walt Disney $126,993 -45% -64% 620 $205 $296,234,600 60


    The second half of July usually has the best weekdays of the summer

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  8. $26m for Barbie seems huge. Down only 40% is pretty wild. So much for “female driven films are frontloaded”

     

    Oppenheimer beating Inception’s hold is sublime. I imagine it could have taken a shot at TDK’s glorious Monday hold but the long runtime may have caused the latest shows to be a bit weaker, 3 hours is a lot for a Monday night.

     

    Hoping for prolonged greatness from these movies. 
     

    Barbie is a lock for $400m, hopefully it can clear $500m with ease too. Gonna get crazy and hope Oppenheimer has a shot at $350m. 

     

     

     

     

    • Like 1
  9. 1 hour ago, vale9001 said:

    MI now seems like a real flop. 

    And wouldn't be surprised if part 2 even makes less.

     

    They should really come with something different than tom is 75 years old and he can drive a plane. It's fun the first - second time  then give us something girl....


    If so we are in for a hell of a run. If Oppenheimer manages $80m this weekend and has an under 50% drop Monday? I’m calling $300m minimum total domestic 

  10. 5 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

    Barbie could be 60M ish. Oppy 37 ish.

     
    Barbie being really frontloaded is a possibility based on the early Saturday number, but still 60% drop idk. With the glowing word of mouth and IMAX screen sell outs well past next weekend I can’t imagine Oppenheimer dipping 50% either. Even Dark Knight was only a 52% hit

  11. 14 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:


    It’s around $82M, but also need to adjust for PLF boost that did not exist in the 2010 ticket price. So maybe around $90M weekend in 2023 dollars with the full PLF boost included. 


    idk if it’s quite that high. NATO has the national average at $10.53 for 2022, and I get premium formats cost more but surely some of that is taken into consideration for the average?? I’d say maybe $85 million or so, and while Inception didn’t have nearly as many premium screens, it did have a record IMAX count at the time which definitely already boosted it

  12. 4 minutes ago, Day and Date The Best said:

    The future is already here, of probably just 2 or 3 movies performing good every year. Maybe even less as time passes. 

     

    7 minutes ago, Day and Date The Best said:

    You, Concentrate on Barbie and Oppenheimer and then forget about Box Office for the rest of the year because you will fall on depression when the rest of the movies 2023 even your faves all flop. People go to 1 or 3 movies a year probably these days. 


    you are fun at parties, huh?

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