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Posts posted by John Harris
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1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:
Hahahhaahhahaa. No.
Cameron is Canadian and hates hollywood.
Heh, well, this is a North American record, so it would be a nice gesture on his part, whether he hates Hollywood or not.
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So will Jim Cameron send out a public congratulatory note to Star Wars this week?
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2 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:
I will still be surprised if TFA goes over $800m DOM. Most likely, it will top off between $750 and $800 million.
That's certainly a different take than just about everyone else on here, who seem to view $900 mil as the minimum DOM for SW. You think it'll crash pretty hard after the holidays?
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Probably noted somewhere recently, but Harrison Ford will overtake Samuel L. Jackson as the highest grossing actor ever sometime this week. Ford's cumulative BO earnings will soon cross $4.6 billion to take the top spot from SLJ. Ford has appeared in 27 fewer movies than Jackson and has been the lead in a much higher percentage of his 41 films. I recall Ford holding this title for a long time after Last Crusade; good to see him back on top, even though I generally enjoy SLJ's work, also. But there's really never been a box-office draw quite like Ford before.
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1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said:
I really must be one of the few people who loved the origins of Vader and everything else about the prequels.
"Everything else"? Jar Jar? Jake Lloyd? Hayden Christensen? The "romance"? I really like Ep 3, but having watched the marathon last week, I grew no new appreciation for Eps 1 and 2. A few cool scenes wrapped around a lot of barely watchable nonsense. The battle droids were almost as annoying as Jar Jar, for instance. Hey, I'm glad you like 'em, and they're certainly not the worst movies I've ever seen, but IMO, there's more wrong than right about the prequels, especially 1 and 2. Diff'rent strokes, though...
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17 minutes ago, edmkh said:
I wonder what is George Lucas thinking right now seeing this insane numbers for Episode 7. Quality aside, watching this episode 7 numbers; Episodes 2 and 3 were really a big box office disappointment.
He should be wondering why he bothered making prequels when the movie-going public clearly wanted to know what happens to Han, Luke, and Leia AFTER Return of the Jedi.
Does anyone think this movie would be making this much coin if the original cast wasn't involved? Yes, the prequels had that "Star Wars brand," but THIS is the story we've been waiting to see since 1983. I remember being disappointed when Lucas announced he was going through with Eps 1, 2, and 3 - I wanted Eps 7, 8, and 9! Apparently, a lot of people still feel this way.
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4 minutes ago, lilmac said:
This will definitely improve Harrison Ford's standing as one of the top grossing actors of all time.
They still haven't made a good Star Wars film without him!
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1 hour ago, setna said:
Very interesting work to compare movies with now, TFA run ; enjoy it!
All-Time Domestic Box Office Adjusted for Inflation Based on Initial Release Only (self.boxoffice)
enviado hace 5 meses* por JakkuScavenger
I decided to play around a bit and try to give an estimate of what the all-time adjusted for inflation domestic box office chart might look like, if only original releases were counted. As box office mojo doesn't really keep information on movies released multiple times before 1982, for these movies I've done a bit of research and have explained how I've reached the numbers below the chart. I've only listed the top 20, because I found the process of finding box office runs of older movies very hard and frustrating. If there's interest, I might extend it to top 50 in the future.
# Movie Adjusted Actuals 1 Titanic $1,042,168,600 600,788,188 2 The Sound of Music $1,037,145,000 $132,000,000 2 3 E.T. $1,009,631,300 359,197,037 4 Doctor Zhivago $1,007,979,900 111,721,910 1 5 The Ten Commandments 893,200,000 $55,000,000 2 6 The Exorcist $838,053,500 $193,000,000 7 Jaws $796,156,000 $201,000,000 3 8 Ben-Hur $795,760,000 $74,000,000 1 9 Star Wars $784,826,500 $215,537,332 4 10 Avatar $778,741,600 $749,766,139 11 The Sting $723,840,000 $156,000,000 1 12 Jurassic Park $699,991,400 $357,067,947 13 The Graduate $694,381,000 $104,642,560 14 The Phantom Menace $688,785,500 $431,088,295 15 Gone with the Wind $676,666,667 $20,000,000 5 16 Return of the Jedi $657,585,100 $252,583,617 17 The Empire Strikes Back $640,361,400 $209,398,025 18 The Godfather $638,609,000 $133,698,921 19 Forest Gump $637,790,400 $329,694,499 20 Raiders of the Lost Ark $627,181,700 $212,222,025 1 - I couldn't find evidence that these movies have had a wide re-release.
2 - Estimated by me based on rentals from the original release and subsequent releases.
3 - In January, 1978 it was reported that Star Wars had outgrossed Jaws at the domestic box office. Star Wars had grossed $195 million by December, 1977 and $207 million by February, 1978. $201 million seems kind of in the middle of those two. Could be higher, could be lower.
4 - Last reported gross for Star Wars, before July, 1978 re-release. It's quite possible that the movie earned more than that before its first re-release, but there is no way to know for sure.
5 - As reported by IMDb.Edit: I found a mistake in calculating The Sound of Music which has now been corrected.
I think The Avengers should be on your list. Adjusted, it's over $640 mil and hasn't had any re-releases...?
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I was at the 7-movie marathon yesterday, and was surprised to see how many women were there. I didn't take a formal poll, but my eyeballs told me it was maybe 40% women. That may sound low, but for a 19-hour marathon, which should draw in only the die-hardest of the die-hards, that seems like a pretty high number.
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it flopped. the premise of this movie doesnt warrant a movie.
It's presently at 86% positive on RT, so it seems the vast majority of pro critics disagree with you.
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Gee?? So then what??? It would've made 35M instead of 25M??? At that point, what difference does it make?? That's nothing to be proud of FOX..
Ten million dollars is nothing to sneeze at. And at least it would've been THE NUMBER ONE MOVIE IN AMERICA! Whoopee... but that's better than getting embarrassed by MI5.
Still, I question how in the world any "analyst" could come up with that number. There were SO many negative variables to take into account, besides just Trank's tweet. And how many movie-goers were even aware of it??? I call bullsnot.
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Making Vacation an R-rated "adult" film was probably a mistake. I think if today's young people are familiar with the franchise, it's more likely because of Christmas Vacation, which is aired ad nauseum during the holidays and, despite some raunchy humor, is widely consider a Modern Holiday Family Classic. To try to return to the original's R-rated roots doesn't capitalize at all on the beloved status of the franchise's Christmas film.
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Ant-Man over Vacation for the 3-day weekend???
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So Ant-Man becomes the 9th of 12 MCU movies to hold the top spot in its first two weeks. The three that didn't:
Incredible Hulk
Captain America: The First Avenger
...and,
.
.
.
...surprisingly...
Guardians of the Galaxy, which got bumped by the Turtles in its second weekend last summer, but then rebounded to take the top spot for its 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th weekends. Somehow, I don't see the Ant pulling that off!
Still, it's a nice feather in Marvel's cap.
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Ant-Man $24,909,332 -56% 3,868 12 $6,440 $106,219,861 2
Inside Out (2015) $7,414,528 -36% 2,717 -546 $2,729 $320,393,339
Nice little increase for AM from estimates. Should be enough to hold off any increase for Pixels (which seems more likely to drop from estimates, IMO).
EDIT: And there it is! While Pixels did enjoy a huge 11K increase from estimates, it was nowhere near enough to overtake Ant-Man. Even though lousy competition was the biggest factor, it still nice to see such a lower-tier MCU movie hold on to the top spot for 2 weeks, especially since some thought it wouldn't even be number one last week.
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No one can argue that Paper Towns did well when even the head of Fox distribution said he was "Mystified".
“I’m really somewhat mystified,” said Chris Aronson, domestic distribution chief at Fox. “It’s something we’re going to have to look at and review on a post-mortem basis and find out why we didn’t get more people in.”
I realize I am miles away from this movie's demographic, but I had no idea "Paper Towns" was even coming out until a few days ago. I saw no publicity for it whatsoever. And I've seen "Ant-Man" three times over the past 2 weeks at 3 different venues - I don't remember seeing a poster and definitely no trailer for it.
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Probably the only BIG dissapointments would be Tomorrowland and Ted 2, for me. Avengers... well it's -27% down from the previous one but this one is crap and all these Marvel movies are just way too similar.
I'll concede the "way too similar" point, but the critical response to AOU says it's not "crap."
As for this weekend: I hope Ant-Man holds on to the top spot, but I wouldn't be shocked to see Minions have a big Saturday and take number one in this weak weekend.
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You know, there're people who travelled the world to see the same band 20+ times per year? Seeing the same movie 10+times is nothing.
It's called passion.
Plus, you know what you're getting. There aren't that many movies released each year that I feel a strong drive to see on the big screen, so if one comes out that I really enjoy, I prefer to see it multiple times rather than risk my hard-earned dollars on an unknown quantity that, considering my personal taste in films, I'm much more likely to dislike than like.
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Ant-Man has been neck and neck with Trainwreck this weekend. Minions is still doing better than both, but a good comparison for the new openers would be Tomorrowland numbers, and a tad better than Terminator Genisys. However, Trainwreck is going it KILL for Tuesday cheap night.
Maybe I'm misunderstanding your post, but how has Ant-Man been "neck and neck with Trainwreck all weekend"? Typo?
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I was anticipating a better Sunday drop as well.
A friend of mine went twice over the weekend and said both audiences really seemed to enjoy the film. Ergo, anecdotal as it may have been I kinda thought it's Sunday would be a bit better.
Still, $57m is a solid number by any studio standard for the budget of the film.
Marvel Studios has opened up 12 consecutive #1s which is worth mentioning as well.
And if you look at Marvel's lower-grossing openings, they are the ones that had significantly greater competition than the bigger-OW films.
Cap: The First Avenger was number 1 despite opening against the 2nd weekend of HP:DH2, which grabbed $47.4 mil the same WE.
Thor opened at number 1 despite opening against Fast Five's sophomore frame ($32 mil).
Incredible Hulk opened at the top against Kung Fu Panda's second weekend ($33.6 mil).
And now Ant-Man, facing the stiffest competition of any of its MCU predecessors (two movies over $30 mil, including Minions' $49 mil, the biggest single take against an MCU opening ever).
You could argue, I guess, that Ant-Man didn't do as good a job of vanquishing its competition as the other MCU movies did, but if you look at what they were up against, well, we're kind of comparing apples and oranges. Minions dropped huge against Ant-Man - could any MCU movie this side of an Avengers or Iron Man flick have caused it to drop much more than it did?
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Not loving that Sunday drop for Ant-Man. Hoped strong WOM would've eased it a bit.
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I thought the heat wave here on the East Coast might drive more people to their local air-conditioned theater... but I guess instead it kept them inside their air-conditioned homes!
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What does any of this "my opinion's better than your opinion" discussion have to do with the Weekend Estimates?
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Ouch, tough Friday number for Ant-Man. I'm hoping for one of those Marvel Saturday mega-jumps, which will be tough going up against Minions and IO, even if this is Marvel's most family-friendly flick.
Weekend Actuals: The Force Awakens - 90.2M !!!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
So it will most likely pass Avatar on Tuesday, possibly Wednesday.