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Walt Disney

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Posts posted by Walt Disney

  1. it's a badly put together action movie. nothing about it is well done. if you like taken you hate movies. just admit you like it for that one scene of liam neeson giving that speech on the phone. it's ok.

     

    No. I know what I like, and I like movies. But not all movies. But, I do like Taken.

    • Like 2
  2. Yeah, does anyone really think JP4 is 80% more popular than the original JP film? That's how it looks when you compare 650 with 357 gross. The National Assocation of Theater Owners is nice enough to provide the average ticket price every quarter. It's foolish to ignore that data when we have it available.

     

    I always use inflation adjusted numbers. It's the only way to try to compare movies from different time periods and to put a movie's BO into proper historical context.

  3. Jurassic World's success shows 3 things:

     

    1) You can't predict the box office. There is so much information out there, but no one is consistently predicting the box office correctly. There's just no way to gauge what will catch on.

     

    2) Franchises are where the big money is. This is why studios concentrate so much on franchises. This is why there is sequel after sequel and prequel after prequel. Franchises are what the majority of movie-goers want to see.

     

    3) Disney really needs to make an Indiana Jones movie. An excellent Indiana Jones movie could do massive numbers at the box office.

    • Like 1
  4. No you can't realistically quantify it, but you can take a reasonable guesstimate. When a celebrities death comes before a huge franchise movie releases that he or she stars in there will always be a boost because of increased media exposure. It will also bring people to the theaters who are casual fans and usually wait for it to come out on DVD. For a big movie with a big star's death I think 50m is a fair and reasonable number.

     

    I have to agree with you. There are 3 times where I can definitely see that the death of a star actor increased the BO of a movie. Giant was that James Dean was making when he died; that movie did massive numbers at the BO. Obviously, James Dean was a massive star at the time. It happened again with Heath Ledger dying while making The Dark Knight. Then, it happened again with Paul Walker while he was making Furious 7.

     

    This isn't a hard rule, as other actors have died while making films, and those films didn't do massive BO numbers. However, if a popular actor does die while making a movie, there is an increased chance that the film will turn into an event movie. Event movies are the most popular of blockbusters and the true winners of the game of BO grosses.

  5. The AOU fanboys using "it's still the second highest opening, weekend" blah blah blah. It was ALWAYS going to be that way, anything short of that would've been a major fail. People need to separate the macro from micro here. Disney was ALWAYS going to make a lot off this film, again who cares?

     

    Obviously you care. You have been complaining about other peoples' reactions to this movie's BO performance for over a week now.

    • Like 3
  6. Well it's not a great weekend, down on last year when nothing as big as AOU was playing.

     

    There's not much playing now. It's really just Avengers: Age of Ultron. There's nothing else that most people want to pay to see. Furious 7 has been out for a while, and after that there's just nothing there.

  7. For those that are looking to maintain skepticism in 28, I'll throw this out there to try and help.

    5/1 - 3413

    5/8 - 954(so far)

    There, how does that help?

     

    I don't know how to interpret those numbers. $28M would be about half of TA: AOU's Friday (w/out thursday previews). So your theater would need about 1700 for it to be half of that in your theater. I don't know if another 800 people is realistic for your theater or not.

  8. I try not to see movies multiple times in the movie theater, but the MCU has thrown a wrench into that. Too many people want to see those movies with me.

     

    Dumb and Dumber -2

     

    Scary Movie- 2

     

    What Women Want- 2 (no, I still don't have the answer to that question)

     

    The Dark Knight- 2

     

    Iron Man 3- 2

     

    Guardians of the Galaxy- 2

     

    The Avengers- 3

     

    Captain America: The Winter Soldier- 3

  9. I think the estimates should be ok with no pre-sales or sporting events to consider.  Should be no dramatic drop offs.

     

    I'm not going to disagree with you while you have that sniper rifle aimed at me, but I remain cautious.

     

    I feel like I should be wearing 3D glasses when I look at your avatar.

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