[Mar 3-5 Weekend - Official Estimates - Logan 85.3m, Get Out 26.1m, Shack 16.1m, LEGO Bat 16.5, BIF 4.9m]

Logan's doing well - on its way to $230-270 million DOM. 

 

Get Out is holding phenomenally. I'm fully expecting it to reach $175 million DOM if it can do $20-21 million against Kong next weekend. 

 

The Shack might do $50 million+ DOM - solid considering its budget 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby]

Spoiler

3/10-3/12

1. Logan: $44.5 million ($163 million)
2. Kong - Skull Island: $34 million 
3. Get Out: $22.5 million ($119 million)
4. The Shack: $9.5 million ($32 million)
5. The LEGO Batman Movie: $8 million ($161 million) 
6. John Wick Chapter Two: $3.5 million ($88 million) 
7. Before I Fall: $3 million ($10 million)
8. Hidden Figures: $2.5 million ($162 million)
9. La La Land: $2 million ($148 million)
10. Moonlight: $1.5 million ($27 million) 

3/17-3/19

1. Beauty & the Beast: $148 million 
2. Logan: $23 million ($202 million) 
3. Get Out: $15.5 million ($148 million)
4. Kong - Skull Island: $14.5 million ($60 million) 
5. The Shack: $6 million ($42 million) 
6. The Belko Experiment: $3.5 million 
7. The LEGO Batman Movie: $3 million ($166 million) 
8. John Wick Chapter Two: $2 million ($91 million) 
9. Hidden Figures: $1.5 million ($164 million) 
10. Before I Fall: $1.5 million ($12 million)

3/24-3/26

1. Beauty & the Beast: $89 million ($306 million) 
2. Power Rangers: $48.5 million 
3. Get Out: $12 million ($170 million)
4. Life: $10.5 million 
5. Logan: $10 million ($221 million)
6. CHiPs: $9 million 
7. Kong - Skull Island: $6.5 million ($72 million) 
8. The Shack: $4 million ($47 million)
9. The LEGO Batman Movie: $2 million ($169 million) 
10. The Belko Experiment: $1.5 million ($5 million) 

3/31-4/2

1. Beauty & the Beast: $48 million ($388 million) 
2. Ghost in the Shell: $31 million
3. The Boss Baby: $24 million 
4. Power Rangers: $21 million ($86 million) 
5. Get Out: $9.5 million ($187 million)
6. The Zookeeper's Wife: $6 million 
7. Life: $5.5 million ($20 million)
8. Logan: $5.5 million ($230 million) 
9. CHiPs: $3.5 million ($15 million) 
10. The Shack: $3 million ($52 million)

4/7-4/9

1. Beauty & the Beast: $27 million ($440 million) 
2. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $18.5 million
3. Going in Style: $17.5 million 
4. Ghost in the Shell: $16 million ($58 million) 
5. The Boss Baby: $12.5 million ($44 million) 
6. Power Rangers: $11.5 million ($105 million) 
7. Get Out: $8 million ($200 million)
8. The Case for Christ: $6 million 
9. The Zookeeper's Wife: $3.5 million ($11 million) 
10. Life: $3 million ($25 million) 

4/14-4/16

1. The Fate of the Furious: $114 million 
2. Beauty & the Beast: $18 million ($468 million)
3. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $11 million ($34 million) 
4. Going in Style: $10.5 million ($34 million) 
5. The Boss Baby: $7 million ($54 million) 
6. Ghost in the Shell: $5.5 million ($67 million) 
7. Power Rangers: $5 million ($113 million) 
8. The Case for Christ: $4.5 million ($13 million) 
9. Get Out: $4.5 million ($207 million)
10. Spark: $2.5 million 

4/21-4/23

1. The Fate of the Furious: $46.5 million ($186 million)
2. Beauty & the Beast: $13.5 million ($486 million)
3. Unforgettable: $8.5 million
4. Going in Style: $8 million ($47 million)
5. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $7.5 million ($44 million)
6. Born in China: $5.5 million
7. The Promise: $4.5 million
8. Leap: $4 million
9. Get Out: $3.5 million ($212 million)
10. The Boss Baby: $3 million ($58 million)

4/28-4/30

1. The Fate of the Furious: $24 million ($223 million)
2. The Circle: $14.5 million
3. Beauty & the Beast: $11 million ($500 million)
4. Going in Style: $6 million ($56 million)
5. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $5 million ($51 million)
6. How to Be a Latin Lover: $3.5 million
7. Get Out: $2.5 million ($216 million)
8. Leap: $2.5 million ($7 million)
9. Born in China: $2 million ($8 million)
10. The Promise: $2 million ($7 million)

5/5-5/7

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $165.5 million
2. The Fate of the Furious: $10 million ($239 million)
3. Beauty & the Beast: $7.5 million ($510 million)
4. The Circle: $7 million ($25 million)
5. Going in Style: $4 million ($62 million)
6. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $3 million ($55 million)
7. How to Be a Latin Lover: $2 million ($6 million)
8. Get Out: $1.5 million ($218 million)
9. Leap: $1.5 million ($9 million)
10. The Promise: $1 million ($9 million)

5/12-5/14

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $70 million ($272 million)
2. Snatched: $33 million
3. King Arthur: $12.5 million
4. Beauty & the Beast: $6.5 million ($519 million)
5. The Fate of the Furious: $6 million ($248 million)
6. The Circle: $4.5 million ($32 million)
7. Going in Style: $3 million ($66 million)
8. Lowriders: $2.5 million
9. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $2 million ($58 million)
10. Get Out: $1 million ($219 million)

5/19-5/21

1. Alien - Covenant: $58 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $37 million ($328 million)
3. Snatched: $21 million ($65 million)
4. Everything, Everything: $10 million
5. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $7.5 million
6. King Arthur: $4 million ($19 million)
7. Beauty & the Beast: $3.5 million ($524 million)
8. The Fate of the Furious: $2.5 million ($252 million)
9. The Circle: $2.5 million ($36 million)
10. Going in Style: $2 million ($69 million)

5/26-5/28

1. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $57 million/$73 million
2. Baywatch: $45 million/$57 million
3. Alien - Covenant: $26 million/$33.5 million ($106 million)
4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $22.5 million/$29 million ($369 million)
5. Snatched: $13 million/$16 million ($88 million)
6. Everything, Everything: $6 million/$7.25 million ($21 million)
7. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $5 million/$6.5 million ($15 million)
8. Beauty & the Beast: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($528 million)
9. King Arthur: $2 million/$2.5 million ($22 million)
10. The Circle: $1.5 million/$2 million ($39 million)

6/2-6/4

1. Wonder Woman: $94.5 million 
2. Baywatch: $23 million ($89 million) 
3. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $21.5 million ($105 million) 
4. Captain Underpants: $16 million 
5. Alien - Covenant: $11.5 million ($124 million) 
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $10 million ($384 million) 
7. Snatched: $8 million ($99 million)
8. Everything, Everything: $3 million ($26 million) 
9. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $2.5 million ($18 million) 
10. Beauty & the Beast: $1.5 million ($530 million) 

6/9-6/11

1. The Mummy: $50.5 million
2. Wonder Woman: $38 million ($159 million)
3. Baywatch: $14 million ($113 million)
4. Captain Underpants: $10.5 million ($34 million) 
5. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $9.5 million ($122 million) 
6. Alien - Covenant: $6.5 million ($135 million)
7. Snatched: $5.5 million ($108 million) 
8. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5 million ($392 million) 
9. It Comes At Night: $3.5 million
10. Everything, Everything: $1.5 million ($28 million)

6/16-6/18

1. Cars 3: $73 million
2. The Mummy: $25.5 million ($97 million)
3. Wonder Woman: $18 million ($193 million) 
4. All Eyez on Me: $14 million
5. Rough Night: $9 million 
6. Baywatch: $8 million ($127 million) 
7. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $5 million ($131 million) 
8. Alien - Covenant: $4.5 million ($143 million) 
9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4 million ($399 million)
10. Snatched: $3 million ($113 million) 
11.  

 

 

 

[2017 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Pitchslapped!)]

Spoiler

January-April

1. Beauty & the Beast: $550 million 
2. The Fate of the Furious: $265 million 
3. Logan: $240 million 
4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $180 million
5. Get Out: $155 million 
6. Split: $140 million
7. Power Rangers: $125 million 
8. Fifty Shades Darker: $120 million

 

 

Spoiler

May-August

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $435 million
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $370 million
3. Despicable Me 3: $310 million 
4. Dunkirk: $305 million 
5. Wonder Woman: $255 million 
6. Cars 3: $210 million 
7. War for the Planet of the Apes: $185 million 
8. Transformers - The Last Knight: $165 million 
9. Alien - Covenant: $160 million 
10. Baywatch: $150 million 
11. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $145 million 
12. The Mummy: $135 million 
13. Snatched: $115 million 
14. Girls Trip: $110 million 
15. The House: $105 million 
16. The Emoji Movie: $100 million 

 

Spoiler

1. Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $850 million 
2. Justice League: $355 million 
3. Coco: $280 million 
4. Thor - Ragnorak: $230 million 
5. Murder on the Orient Express: $170 million 
6. Blade Runner 2049: $155 million 
7. The Star: $145 million 
8. Ninjago: $130 million 
9. Jumanji: $125 million 
10. Downsizing: $120 million 
11. The Greatest Showman: $115 million 
12. Untitled Cloverfield Movie: $110 million 
13. Daddy's Home 2: $105 million 
14. Pitch Perfect 3: $105 million 
15. Kingsman The Golden Circle: $100 million 

 

 

[Wednesday Numbers : GO: 3.79M Just -23% , INSANE!!!!]

3.6 

 

7.5 

10.5

7.5 ($25.5 million 2nd weekend, $75 million 10-day total)

[Best Picture predictions-2017!]

Battle of the Sexes

Blade Runner 2049 

Darkest Hour 

Downsizing

Dunkirk

Get Out

The Greatest Showman 

Logan 

mother! 

Wonderstruck 

 

Call me crazy, but Get Out's insane reception, possible $150 million+ DOM run, sociopolitical commentary and the desire to avoid an #OscarsSoWhite controversy again just might cause it to be that rare horror film to get some Oscar attention. I'm not saying it'll win, but it seems like it and Logan will be those rare crowdpleasers that wow critics also (kinda like Mad Max - Fury Road), 

[Monday Numbers - Get Out - 4.1m]

How high is Get Out's second weekend going to go?

 

Even if it has a small Tues bump, typical Wed drop, and 10-15% drop on Thurs, it'll still be on pace for a $20-22 million 2nd weekend.

 

Given the buzz/WOM and Logan possibly 'only' doing $55-70 million OW, there's room for Get Out to have a jaw-dropping hold for a horror film (especially if Universal adds another 500-700 theaters this weekend).

 

$25-28 million seems likely. But could it shock everyone with a $30 million+ 2nd weekend? I know it's unlikely, but perhaps it'll be the rare horror film that reaches mainstream America - helping it to leg its way to $175-225 million DOM.

[Monday Numbers - Get Out - 4.1m]

$4.9 million

$3.8 million

$3.7 million ($49 million 7-day)

 

$7.5 million

$10.5 million

$7 million ($74 million 10-day)

 

I might be a bit soft on Fri/Sat based on its holds so far, though 

[Weekend Thread 2/24-26 | Sat #s |Get Out: 12.8 (+18%) Lego: 9.4 (+120%) Wick: 4.2 (+70) (Pg 20)]

12 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Get Out is going to get over $100M domestic.

Yep

 

From a $31 million OW:

$21.5 million ($65 million)

$15 million ($89 million)

$8 million ($104 million)

$5.5 million ($114 million)

$3.5 million ($121 million)

$2.5 million ($125 million)

$1 million ($126 million)

$130 million DOM

[Weekend Thread 2/24-26 | Sat #s |Get Out: 12.8 (+18%) Lego: 9.4 (+120%) Wick: 4.2 (+70) (Pg 20)]

2 hours ago, YourMother said:

To me anything under $150M is a disappointment.

Realistically, with Get Out breaking out and likely doing $80 million+ DOM, Logan getting stellar buzz/reviews, B&tB set to do huge numbers and Power Rangers possibly surprising like TMNT did in 2014, anything over $100 million DOM is solid for Kong (and Ghost in the Shell, too). The market will be too crowded for it to develop any real late legs (by weeks 3 and 4, it'll lose a chunk of its screens to PR/Ghost/Boss Baby/Life/CHiPs)

 

It's not just Kong, though. I also think Ghost in the Shell and Boss Baby will be hurt by Logan/B&tB/Power Rangers becoming the top three films for the overall spring break period.

 

I see the March slate performing like this:

Spoiler

1. Beauty & The Beast: $550 million
2. Logan: $220 million
3. Power Rangers: $140 million
4. Kong - Skull Island: $85 million
5. Ghost in the Shell: $80 million
6. The Boss Baby: $70 million
7. Life: $50 million
8. The Shack: $45 million
9. CHiPs: $30 million
10. The Zookeeper's Wife: $20 million
11. Before I Fall: $10 million
12. Step Sisters: $10 million
13. The Belko Experiment: $5 million

 

At the very least, March 2017 should be much more well-rounded than last March, especially if Kong/Ghost/Power Rangers all do $100-125 million DOM.

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby]

Spoiler

3/3-3/5

1. Logan: $77 million 
2. Get Out: $21 million ($63 million) 
3. The LEGO Batman Movie: $13 million ($150 million) 
4. The Shack: $11.5 million 
5. John Wick Chapter Two: $4.5 million ($82 million) 
6. Fifty Shades Darker: $4 million ($109 million) 
7. Hidden Figures: $4 million ($151 million) 
8. Before I Fall: $3.5 million
9. La La Land: $3.5 million ($146 million) 
10. The Great Wall: $3 million ($38 million) 

3/10-3/12

1. Logan: $40 million ($143 million) 
2. Kong - Skull Island: $35 million 
3. Get Out: $15 million ($87 million) 
4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $9 million ($161 million) 
5. The Shack: $7.5 million ($24 million) 
6. The Wall: $3 million 
7. John Wick Chapter Two: $2.5 million ($85 million) 
8. Fifty Shades Darker: $2.5 million ($113 million) 
9. Hidden Figures: $2.5 million ($155 million) 
10. La La Land: $2 million ($149 million) 

3/17-3/19

1. Beauty & the Beast: $162 million 
2. Logan: $18.5 million ($176 million) 
3. Kong - Skull Island: $15.5 million ($63 million) 
4. Get Out: $8 million ($101 million) 
5. The Shack: $4.5 million ($31 million) 
6. The LEGO Batman Movie: $4 million ($168 million) 
7. The Belko Experiment: $3 million 
8. The Wall: $1.5 million ($5 million) 
9. John Wick Chapter Two: $1,5 million ($88 million) 
10. Hidden Figures: $1.5 million ($158 million) 

3/24-3/26

1. Beauty & the Beast: $91 million ($311 million) 
2. Power Rangers: $42 million 
3. Life: $13.5 million 
4. CHiPs: $11 million 
5. Logan: $9 million ($187 million) 
6. Kong - Skull Island: $7 million ($75 million) 
7. Get Out: $5.5 million ($111 million) 
8. The Shack: $3 million ($36 million)
9. The LEGO Batman Movie: $3 million ($173 million) 
10. The Belko Experiment: $1.5 million ($5 million)

3/31-4/2

1. Beauty & the Beast: $50 million ($397 million) 
2. Ghost in the Shell: $31 million 
3. The Boss Baby: $23 million
4. Power Rangers: $18 million ($74 million) 
5. Life: $7.5 million ($26 million) 
6. The Zookeeper's Wife: $6 million 
7. Logan: $5 million ($196 million) 
8. CHiPs: $4.5 million ($18 million) 
9. Get Out: $3 million ($116 million) 
10. Kong - Skull Island: $2.5 million ($80 million) 

 

 

[Weekend Thread 2/24-26 | Sat #s |Get Out: 12.8 (+18%) Lego: 9.4 (+120%) Wick: 4.2 (+70) (Pg 20)]

40 minutes ago, ban1o said:

Those are great numbers of course but hope they go higher 

Considering Deadline lowballed Split at $30-32 million during early/mid afternoon its OW and its solid buzz/reviews, Get Out will likely do low-mid 30s for the weekend.

[BOT: THE REVISITING -- TOP 25 of 2007! | Calculations Done. Reveal whenever Tele finds the time.]

1. Once 
2. The Bourne Ultimatum 
3. Enchanted
4. The Simpsons Movie
5. 3:10 to Yuma 
6. Juno 
7. Ratatouille
8. Hairspray
9. Stardust
10. Dan in Real Life
11. Hot Fuzz 
12. Meet the Robinsons 
13. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
14. Disturbia 
15. Atonement
16. Blades of Glory
17. Transformers
18. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
19. The Bucket List 
20. Surf's Up
21. Beowulf
22. The Host 
23. The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep 
24. Wild Hogs
25. The Nanny Diaries 

Someday I'll see enough 2007 films to where #24 and #25 won't be anywhere close to being finalists  

[Get Out | February 24th | Under Comedy/Musical Category at Golden Globes]

With these kinds of reviews, I wouldn't be shocked if it does $40-50 million OW and legs its way to $175-200 million DOM. 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby]

Spoiler

2/24-2/26

1. Get Out: $34.5 million 
2. The LEGO Batman Movie: $21 million ($133 million) 
3. John Wick Chapter Two: $10.5 million ($75 million) 
4. Fifty Shades Darker: $10 million ($105 million) 
5. The Great Wall: $8 million ($31 million) 
6. Hidden Figures: $6 million ($152 million) 
7. Fist Fight: $5 million ($21 million) 
8. Split: $4.5 million ($131 million) 
9. La La Land: $4 million ($139 million) 
10. A Dog's Purpose: $3.5 million ($57 million) 

3/3-3/5

1. Logan: $82 million 
2. Get Out: $21 million ($67 million) 
3. The LEGO Batman Movie: $15 million ($154 million) 
4. The Shack: $10 million 
5. John Wick Chapter Two: $5 million ($83 million) 
6. Fifty Shades Darker: $5 million ($113 million) 
7. Before I Fall: $4.5 million 
8. Hidden Figures: $4 million ($159 million) 
9. La La Land: $3.5 million ($145 million) 
10. The Great Wall: $3 million ($36 million)

3/10-3/12

1. Logan: $42 million ($153 million) 
2. Kong - Skull Island: $35 million 
3. Get Out: $14 million ($90 million) 
4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $11.5 million ($173 million) 
5. The Shack: $6.5 million ($21 million) 
6. The Wall: $4 million 
7. John Wick Chapter Two: $3 million ($89 million) 
8. Fifty Shades Darker: $3 million ($118 million) 
9. Hidden Figures: $2.5 million ($163 million) 
10. La La Land: $2.5 million ($149 million) 

3/17-3/19

1. Beauty & the Beast: $157.5 million 
2. Logan: $19.5 million ($189 million) 
3. Kong - Skull Island: $16.5 million ($65 million)
4. Get Out: $8 million ($105 million)
5. The LEGO Batman Movie: $4.5 million ($182 million)
6. The Shack: $4 million ($28 million)
7. The Belko Experiment: $3.5 million 
8. The Wall: $2 million
9. John Wick Chapter Two: $2 million ($92 million) 
10. Fifty Shades Darker: $1.5 million ($121 million) 

3/24-3/26

1. Beauty & the Beast: $92 million ($322 million) 
2. Power Rangers: $42.5 million 
3. Life: $14 million 
4. CHiPs: $11 million 
5. Logan: $9 million ($205 million) 
6. Kong - Skull Island: $7 million ($78 million) 
7. Get Out: $5.5 million ($115 million) 
8. The LEGO Batman Movie: $3 million ($188 million) 
9. The Shack: $2.5 million ($32 million) 
10. The Belko Experiment: $1.5 million ($6 million) 

3/31-4/2

1. Beauty & the Beast: $50 million ($408 million) 
2. Ghost in the Shell: $31.5 million 
3. The Boss Baby: $24 million 
4. Power Rangers: $18 million ($74 million) 
5. Life: $7.5 million ($27 million) 
6. The Zookeeper's Wife: $7 million 
7. CHiPs: $5 million ($19 million) 
8. Logan: $4 million ($212 million) 
9. Get Out: $3.5 million ($121 million) 
10. Kong - Skull Island: $2.5 million ($83 million) 

 

 

 

 

[2017 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Pitchslapped!)]

1. Split
2. The LEGO Batman Movie
3. Fifty Shades Darker
4. Logan
5. Kong - Skull Island
6. Beauty & the Beast
7. Power Rangers
8. The Fate of the Furious
9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
10. Snatched
11. Alien - Covenant
12. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales
13. Baywatch 
14. Wonder Woman
15. The Mummy
16. Cars 3
17. Transformers - The Last Knight 
18. Despicable Me 3
19. Spider-Man - Homecoming
20. War for the Planet of the Apes
21. Dunkirk
22. Girls Trip 
23. The Emoji Movie 
24. Ninjago 
25. Blade Runner 2049
26. My Little Pony Movie 
27. mother! 
28. Cloverfield 3 
29. Thor - Ragnorak
30. Daddy's Home 2
31. Justice League
32. Coco
33. Murder on the Orient Express
34. Star Wars - The Last Jedi
35. Jumanji
36. Pitch Perfect 3
37. The Greatest Showman 
38. Downsizing 

[Best films of 2017!]

A-

The LEGO Batman Movie 

 

Still to see (January-April) 

1. Split
2. A Dog's Purpose
3. The Founder
4. Get Out 
5. The Shack 
6. Logan 
7. Kong: Skull Island 
8. Beauty & the Beast
9. Life 
10. The Zookeeper's Wife
11. Ghost in the Shell 
12. Going in Style 
13. The Circle 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby]

Spoiler

2/24-2/26

1. Get Out: $27 million 
2. The LEGO Batman Movie: $22 million ($137 million)
3. Fifty Shades Darker: $10 million ($105 million) 
4. John Wick Chapter Two: $9 million ($71 million) 
5. The Great Wall: $8 million ($29 million) 
6. Fist Fight: $6 million ($21 million) 
7. Hidden Figures: $5.5 million ($151 million)
8. Split: $4.5 million ($131 million) 
9. A Dog's Purpose: $3.5 million ($56 million) 
10. La La Land: $3 million ($138 million) 

3/3-3/5

1. Logan: $75 million 
2. The LEGO Batman Movie: $16 million ($161 million) 
3. Get Out: $15 million ($51 million) 
4. The Shack: $11 million 
5. Fifty Shades Darker: $5 million ($113 million) 
6. John Wick Chapter Two: $4.5 million ($78 million) 
7. The Great Wall: $3.5 million ($35 million) 
8. Fist Fight: $3.5 million ($27 million) 
9. Before I Fall: $3.5 million
10. Hidden Figures: $3 million ($156 million)

3/10-3/12

1. Logan: $40.5 million ($144 million) 
2. Kong - Skull Island: $33.5 million 
3. The LEGO Batman Movie: $11.5 million ($181 million) 
4. Get Out: $9.5 million ($67 million) 
5. The Shack: $7.5 million ($23 million) 
6. The Wall: $3.5 million 
7. Fifty Shades Darker: $3 million ($118 million) 
8. John Wick Chapter Two: $2.5 million ($82 million) 
9. Fist Fight: $2 million ($30 million)
10. The Great Wall: $1.5 million ($38 million) 

3/17-3/19

1. Beauty & the Beast: $162 million 
2. Logan: $20 million ($178 million) 
3. Kong - Skull Island: $15 million ($61 million) 
4. Get Out: $6 million ($77 million)
5. The Shack: $5 million ($31 million) 
6. The LEGO Batman Movie: $4.5 million ($189 million) 
7. The Belko Experiment: $3 million 
8. The Wall: $2 million ($6 million) 
9. Fifty Shades Darker: $1.5 million ($121 million) 
10. John Wick Chapter Two: $1.5 million ($85 million) 

3/24-3/26

1. Beauty & the Beast: $92.5 million ($326 million)
2. Power Rangers: $42 million 
3. CHiPs: $14 million 
4. Life: $11 million 
5. Logan: $10.5 million ($196 million) 
6. Kong - Skull Island: $7 million ($73 million) 
7. Get Out: $3.5 million ($83 million) 
8. The Shack: $3 million ($36 million) 
9. The LEGO Batman Movie: $2.5 million ($193 million) 
10. The Belko Experiment: $2 million ($6 million) 

3/31-4/2

1. Beauty & the Beast: $50 million ($413 million) 
2. Ghost in the Shell: $30.5 million 
3. The Boss Baby: $24 million 
4. Power Rangers: $18 million ($74 million) 
5. The Zookeeper's Wife: $7 million 
6. CHiPs: $6 million ($24 million) 
7. Life: $6 million ($21 million) 
8. Logan: $5.5 million ($205 million) 
9. Kong - Skull Island: $3 million ($78 million) 
10. Get Out: $2 million ($86 million) 

4/7-4/9

1. Beauty & the Beast: $31 million ($466 million)  
2. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $19.5 million 
3. Going in Style: $18 million 
4. Ghost in the Shell: $15 million ($57 million) 
5. The Boss Baby: $13 million ($44 million) 
6. Power Rangers: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
7. The Case for Christ: $8 million 
8. The Zookeeper's Wife: $4.5 million ($14 million) 
9. Life: $3.5 million ($26 million) 
10. Logan: $3 million ($210 million)

4/14-4/16

1. The Fate of the Furious: $124.5 million 
2. Beauty & the Beast: $18.5 million ($494 million)
3. Going in Style: $12 million ($38 million) 
4. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $11.5 million ($36 million) 
5. The Boss Baby: $8 million ($55 million) 
6. Ghost in the Shell: $5 million ($65 million) 
7. The Case for Christ: $5 million ($16 million) 
8. Power Rangers: $4 million ($95 million) 
9. Spark: $3 million 
10. The Zookeeper's Wife: $2.5 million ($18 million) 

4/21-4/23

1. The Fate of the Furious: $50 million ($201 million) 
2. Beauty & the Beast: $14 million ($512 million) 
3. Unforgettable: $11 million 
4. Going in Style: $9 million ($52 million) 
5. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $7.5 million ($46 million) 
6. Born in China: $7 million 
7. The Boss Baby: $5 million ($62 million) 
8. Free Fire: $3.5 million 
9. Ghost in the Shell: $3 mlilion ($69 million) 
10. The Case for Christ: $3 mlilion ($20 million) 

4/28-4/30

1. The Fate of the Furious: $24 million ($237 million) 
2. The Circle: $14.5 million 
3. Beauty & the Beast: $11 million ($526 million) 
4. Going in Style: $6 million ($61 million) 
5. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $6 million ($54 million) 
6. The Promise: $5 million 
7. Unforgettable: $4.5 million ($18 million) 
8. How to Be a Latin Lover: $4.5 million 
9. The Boss Baby: $3.5 million ($66 million) 
10. Born in China: $3 million ($11 million) 

5/5-5/7

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $165 million 
2. The Fate of the Furious: $10 million ($253 million) 
3. Beauty & the Beast: $7.5 million ($536 million) 
4. The Circle: $7 million ($25 million) 
5. Going in Style: $4 million ($67 million)
6. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $3.5 million ($58 million) 
7. The Promise: $3 million ($9 million)
8. How to Be a Latin Lover: $2.5 million ($8 million) 
9. The Boss Baby: $2 million ($69 million) 
10. Unforgettable: $2 million ($21 million) 

5/12-5/14

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $70.5 million ($270 million) 
2. Snatched: $33.5 million 
3. King Arthur: $15.5 million 
4. Beauty & the Beast: $6.5 million ($544 million) 
5. The Fate of the Furious: $6 million ($262 million) 
6. The Circle: $5 million ($33 million) 
7. Going in Style: $3 million ($71 million) 
8. Lowriders: $3 million 
9. Smurfs - The Lost Village: $2.5 million ($61 million) 
10. The Promise: $2 million ($12 million) 

5/19-5/21

1. Alien - Covenant: $67 million 
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $36 million ($324 million) 
3. Snatched: $21 million ($64 million)
4. Everything, Everything: $12 million 
5. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $9.5 million 
6. King Arthur: $7 million ($26 million) 
7. Beauty & the Beast: $3.5 million ($548 million) 
8. The Circle: $3 million ($38 million) 
9. The Fate of the Furious: $2.5 million ($266 million) 
10. Going in Style: $2 million ($74 million) 

5/26-5/29

1. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $58 million/$72 million 
2. Baywatch: $46 million/$57 million 
3. Alien - Covenant: $33 million/$40.5 million ($124 million) 
4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $22.5 million/$29 million ($365 million) 
5. Snatched: $14 million/$17 million ($88 million) 
6. Everything, Everything: $7 million/$8 million ($24 million)
7. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $5.5 million/$6.75 million ($17 million) 
8. King Arthur: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($32 million) 
9. Beauty & the Beast: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($552 million)
10. The Circle: $2 million/$2.5 million ($41 million)

6/2-6/4

1. Wonder Woman: $101 million 
2. Baywatch: $25 million ($89 million) 
3. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $23 million ($102 million) 
4. Alien - Covenant: $15.5 million ($144 million) 
5. Captain Underpants: $14 million 
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $10 million ($378 million) 
7. Snatched: $8.5 million ($99 million) 
8. Everything, Everything: $3.5 million ($29 million)
9. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $2.5 million ($20 million) 
10. King Arthur: $1.5 million ($34 million)

6/9-6/11

1. The Mummy: $48.5 million 
2. Wonder Woman: $37 million ($166 million) 
3. Baywatch: $16.5 million ($118 million) 
4. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $12 million ($124 million)
5. Captain Underpants: $10 million ($32 million) 
6. Alien - Covenant: $8 million ($158 million)
7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $6.5 million ($389 million) 
8. Snatched: $6 million ($110 million) 
9. It Comes At Night: $4.5 million 
10. Everything, Everything: $2 million ($32 million) 

6/16-6/18

1. Cars 3: $72.5 million 
2. The Mummy: $24 million ($91 million)
3. Wonder Woman: $19 million ($200 million) 
4. All Eyez On Me: $14.5 million 
5. Rock That Body: $12 million 
6. Baywatch: $10.5 million ($137 million) 
7. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $7.5 million ($137 million) 
8. Alien - Covenant: $5.5 million ($168 million) 
9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5 million ($397 million) 
10. Captain Underpants: $3.5 million ($39 million) 

6/23-6/25

1. Transformers - The Last Knight: $79 million
2. Cars 3: $37.5 million ($144 million) 
3. The Mummy: $10.5 million ($111 million)
4. Wonder Woman: $9 million ($218 million)
5. All Eyez on Me: $8 million ($30 million) 
6. Rock That Body: $6.5 million ($24 million) 
7. Baywatch: $5 million ($146 million) 
8. Captain Underpants: $2.5 million ($44 million) 
9. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $2.5 million ($142 million) 
10. Alien - Covenant: $2.5 million ($173 million) 

6/30-7/2

1. Despicable Me 3: $116 million 
2. Transformers - The Last Knight: $30.5 million ($141 million) 
3. The House: $27 million 
4. Cars 3: $16 million ($176 million) 
5. The Mummy: $5.5 million ($122 million) 
6. Wish Upon: $5 million 
7. Wonder Woman: $4.5 million ($227 million) 
8. All Eyez on Me: $4.5 million ($39 million)
9. Rock That Body: $3.5 million ($31 million)
10. Baywatch: $2.5 million ($151 million)

7/7-7/9

1. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $134 million 
2. Despicable Me 3: $54 million ($228 million) 
3. The House: $16 million ($60 million) 
4. Transformers - The Last Knight: $11 million ($164 million) 
5. Cars 3: $10 million ($197 million) 
6. The Mummy: $3 million ($128 million)
7. Wish Upon: $3 million ($11 million)
8. All Eyez on Me: $3 million ($45 million) 
9. Rock That Body: $2.5 million ($36 million)
10. Wonder Woman: $2 million ($231 million)

7/14-7/16

1. War for the Planet of the Apes: $66 million 
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $55 million ($247 million) 
3. Despicable Me 3: $28 million ($283 million) 
4. Bad Dads: $10 million
5. Midnight Sun: $8 million 
6. The House: $7 million ($74 million) 
7. Cars 3: $6.5 million ($210 million) 
8. Transformers - The Last Knight: $4 million ($172 million) 
9. All Eyez On Me: $2 million ($49 million) 
10. The Mummy: $1.5 million ($131 million) 

7/21-7/23

1. Dunkirk: $57 million 
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $26.5 million ($301 million) 
3. War for the Planet of the Apes: $26 million ($119 million)
4. Girls Trip: $19 million 
5. Despicable Me 3: $14.5 million ($312 million) 
6. Bad Dads: $4 million ($18 million) 
7. Cars 3: $3.5 million ($217 million) 
8. The House: $3 million ($80 million) 
9. Midnight Sun: $3 million ($14 million)
10. Transformers - The Last Knight: $1.5 million ($175 million)

7/28-7/30

1. Dunkirk: $38.5 million ($136 million) 
2. The Dark Tower: $25 million
3. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $16 million ($333 million) 
4. War for the Planet of the Apes: $15 million ($150 million) 
5. Girls Trip: $12.5 million ($44 million) 
6. Despicable Me 3: $8 million ($328 million) 
7. An Inconvenient Sequel: $7 million 
8. The Coldest City: $5 million 
9. Bad Dads: $2 million ($22 million) 
10. Cars 3: $2 million ($221 million) 

 

 

[WEEKEND THREAD! FRI #s: Lego: 8M: 50SD: 6.6M: GW: 5.8: JW2: 4.1 (pg 8)]

6 hours ago, John Marston said:

1. The LEGO Batman Movie (WB) 4,088 theaters /$8M Fri. (-45%)/3-day: $35.3M (-33%)/4-day:$46.5M/Total:$111.1M /Wk 2

2. Fifty Shades Darker (Uni) 3,714 theaters (+4) /$6.6M Fri. (-69%)/ 3-day: $22.5M (-52%)/4-day:$26.1M/Total: $94.8M/Wk 2

3. The Great Wall (Uni/Leg) 3,325 theaters /$5.8M Fri. (includes $970K in previews)/3-day: $16.3M /4-day:$19M /Wk 1

4. John Wick: Chapter 2(LG) 3,113 theaters /$4.1M Fri. (-63%)/3-day: $14.7M (-52%)/4-day:$17.4/Total:$59.6M/ Wk 2

5. Fist Fight (WB/NL) 3,185 theaters /$3.9M Fri. (includes $600K in previews)/3-day: $11.1M /4-day:$13.1M/Wk 1
6. Hidden Figures (Fox) 2,217 theaters (-450)/$1.8M Fri (-17%)/3-day: $7.1M(-11%)/4-day: $8.5M/Total:$144M /Wk 9
7. Split(Uni/Blumhouse) 2,445 theaters (-516)  /$1.8M Fri (-32%)/3-day: $7.1M (-26%)/4-day: $8.3M/Total:$124.9M /Wk 5
8.  A Dog’s Purpose (Uni/Amblin/Walden) 2,400 theaters   (-625)/$1.3M Fri (-24%) /3-day: $5.9M(-18%)/4-day:$7.6M/Total: $52.7M/ Wk 4

9. A Cure for Wellness (New Reg/Fox) 2,704 theaters /$1.6M Fri. (includes $300K in previews)/3-day: $4.7M /4-day: $5.4M/Wk 1

10. La La Land (Lionsgate) 1,587 (-478) /$1.1M Fri (-17%)/3-day:$4.4M (-10%)/4-day: $5.3M/Total:$134.3M / Wk 11

11. Lion(TWC) 1,542 theaters  (+205) /$981K Fri (-9%) /3-day: $3.8M (-4%)/4-day: $4.6M/Total:$36.9M/Wk 13

LEGO Batman on its way to $175-205 million DOM.

 

50 Shades held better than expected, so $125 million DOM looks likely.

 

Tough to see John Wick 2 miss $100 million DOM, but $80-90 million is still excellent. 

 

Split is having some monster legs. It might top The Conjuring's multi. 

 

Everything held as well as expected (Dog, Hidden Figures, LLL, Lion). New releases seem to be non-starters.

 

 

 

[WEEKEND THREAD! FRI #s: Lego: 8M: 50SD: 6.6M: GW: 5.8: JW2: 4.1 (pg 8)]

Spoiler

My guess for where the projections will wind up

1. LEGO Batman: $35.5 million/$43 million ($107 million) 
2. Fist Fight: $19.5 million/$23 million 
3. John Wick Chapter Two: $19 million/$22.5 million ($64 million) 
4. Fifty Shades Darker: $18 million/$21.5 million ($90 million) 
5. The Great Wall: $16.5 million/$19 million 
6. Hidden Figures: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($143 million) 
7. A Cure for Wellness: $6 million/$7 million 
8. Split: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($123 million) 
9. A Dog's Purpose: $5 million/$6 million ($51 million) 
10. Lion: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($37 million) 
11. La La Land: $4 million/$4.75 million ($133 million) 
12. Rings: $2 million/$2.5 million ($26 million) 

 

 

[Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018]

Spoiler

1. Avengers - Infinity War: $550 million
2. Avatar 2: $485 million
3. Jurassic World 2: $425 million 
4. The Incredibles 2: $410 million 
5. Han Solo - A Star Wars Story: $375 million 
6. How the Grinch Stole Christmas: $355 million 
7. Deadpool 2: $315 million 
8. Black Panther: $285 million  
9. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2: $270 million 
10. Gigantic: $260 million 

 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby]

Spoiler

2/17-2/20

1. The LEGO Batman Movie: $38 million/$47 million ($113 million)
2. Fist Fight: $22.5 million/$27 million 
3. John Wick Chapter Two: $19 million/$22.5 million ($65 million)
4. Fifty Shades Darker: $18.5 million/$22 million ($89 million) 
5. The Great Wall: $13 million/$15.5 million 
6. Hidden Figures: $7.5 million/$9 million ($144 million) 
7. A Cure for Wellness: $7 million/$8 million 
8. Split: $6.5 million/$7.5 million ($122 million) 
9. A Dog's Purpose: $5.5 million/$6.25 million ($53 million) 
10. La La Land: $4.5 million/$5 million ($134 million) 

2/24-2/26

1. Get Out: $26 million 
2. The LEGO Batman Movie: $25 million ($144 million)
3. Fist Fight: $12.5 million ($43 million) 
4. John Wick Chapter Two: $12 million ($80 million) 
5. Fifty Shades Darker: $9 million ($100 million) 
6. Hidden Figures: $5.5 million ($151 million) 
7. The Great Wall: $5 million ($22 million) 
8. A Dog's Purpose: $3.5 million ($57 million) 
9. A Cure for Wellness: $3 million ($12 million)
10. La La Land: $3 million ($138 million) 

3/3-3/5

1. Logan: $71 million 
2. The LEGO Batman Movie: $18 million ($169 million) 
3. Get Out: $13.5 million ($47 million) 
4. The Shack: $11.5 million 
5. Fist Fight: $8 million ($56 million) 
6. John Wick Chapter Two: $6.5 million ($90 million)
7. Fifty Shades Darker: $4.5 million ($107 million)
8. Before I Fall: $4 million 
9. La La Land: $3.5 million ($144 million) 
10. Leap!: $3 million 

3/10-3/12

1. Logan: $38.5 million ($132 million)
2. Kong - Skull Island: $32 million 
3. The LEGO Batman Movie: $12.5 million ($189 million) 
4. Get Out: $7.5 million ($59 million) 
5. The Shack: $7 million ($22 million) 
6. Fist Fight: $5.5 million ($65 million) 
7. John Wick Chapter Two: $3.5 million ($96 million) 
8. The Wall: $3 million 
9. Fifty Shades Darker: $2.5 million ($111 million) 
10. La La Land: $2 million ($147 million) 

3/17-3/19

1. Beauty & the Beast: $160.5 million 
2. Logan: $18.5 million ($163 million) 
3. Kong - Skull Island: $13.5 million ($56 million) 
4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $4.5 million ($197 million) 
5. Get Out: $4 million ($66 million) 
6. The Shack: $4 million ($29 million) 
7. Fist Fight: $3 million ($70 million)
8. The Belko Experiment: $2.5 million 
9. John Wick Chapter Two: $2 million ($99 million) 
10. The Wall: $1.5 million ($5 million) 

3/24-3/26

1. Beauty & the Beast: $92 million ($323 million) 
2. Power Rangers: $41 million 
3. CHiPs: $14 million 
4. Life: $13 million 
5. Logan: $9 million ($179 million) 
6. Kong - Skull Island: $6.5 million ($68 million)
7. The LEGO Batman Movie: $3 million ($202 million)
8. Get Out: $2.5 million ($70 million) 
9. The Shack: $2.5 million ($33 million) 
10. Fist Fight: $1.5 million ($72 million) 

3/31-4/2

1. Beauty & the Beast: $50.5 million ($411 million) 
2. Ghost in the Shell: $29 million 
3. The Boss Baby: $23.5 million 
4. Power Rangers: $18.5 million ($73 million) 
5. Life: $7 million ($25 million) 
6. The Zookeeper's Wife: $6.5 million 
7. CHiPs: $6 million ($25 million) 
8. Logan: $5 million ($187 million) 
9. Kong - Skull Island: $3.5 million ($74 million) 
10. Get Out: $1.5 million ($72 million) 

 

 

[Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

To early to call HF as the winner.

 

We don't know the size of LLL's Oscar bump yet.

I doubt it'll be large enough.

 

HF

$8 million/$9.5 million ($147 million)

$5.5 million ($154 million)

$4 million ($161 million)

$2.5 million ($165 million)

$1.5 million ($167 million)

$172 million DOM

 

LLL

$5 million/$5.75 million ($134 million)

$3.5 million ($138 million)

$3 million ($144 million)

$2 million ($147 million)

$154 million DOM 

 

[Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Anyone who doesn't think that John Wick 2 is a big success is crazy. the movie expanded its audience. Got even better reviews than the first one. That's what sequels should do. Keanu's back.

 

Lego Batman's real test is today. Kids movies tend to do insane business on Saturday so all bets are off. That said, maybe recent Batman movies devalued Batman somewhat?

 

HF and Split are monsters. HF is gonna end up above LLL, that isn't doing too shabby itself. It's widening the gap. 

 

 

If it wasn't for the two horror films over the next two weeks, Split would have a chance at $150 million.

 

Hidden Figures is quietly on its way to $160-165 million DOM. LLL will do $135-140 million DOM, so it's still a solid hit. 

[Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M]

Unlike last February, at least it won't be one blockbuster carrying the entire month 

 

LEGO Batman - 55/200

50 Shades Darker - 45/105

John Wick - 30/95

Get Out - 25/80

Fist Fight - 25/75 

The Great Wall - 20/55

 

 

[Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M]

LEGO Batman should still do $56-63 million OW. That puts it on pace for $190-250 million DOM - solid for a mid-budget February animated film.

 

50 Shades could hit $47 million OW with a $21 million Fri. That'd likely put it on track for $105-110 million DOM. 

 

John Wick surprising everyone with a $27-32 million OW. $75 million+ DOM is solid considering it's a sequel to a film that never really got huge. I wasn't expecting Chapter Two to potentially double the original (and nearly triple if the Friday number increases and it hits $35 million OW). A welcome surprise by any stretch.

 

February could have 3 $100 million+ DOM performers (with Fist Fight and Get Out possibly doing some solid numbers of their own)